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Match analysis

EnglandChampionship

Southampton vs Millwall

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Championship fixture.

Full time0:0HT 0–0

Match Timeline

30'
Nathan Wood🟨
Yellow Card
37'
Zak Sturge🟨
Yellow Card
46'
Leo ScienzaπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ Finn Azaz
59'
Cameron ArcherπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ Adam Armstrong
59'
Elias JelertπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ Tom Fellows
69'
Macaulay Langstaff🟨
Yellow Card
75'
Ryan LeonardπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ Danny McNamara
75'
Alfie DoughtyπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ Billy Mitchell
78'
Kuryu MatsukiπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ Jay Robinson
83'
Femi AzeezπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ Aidomo Emakhu
83'
Zak SturgeπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ Joe Bryan
84'
Flynn DownesπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ Caspar Jander
87'
Camiel NeghliπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ Raees Bangura-Williams
90+1'
Billy Mitchell🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal6
12Total Shots12
4Blocked Shots3
8Shots insidebox10
4Shots outsidebox2
6Fouls11
6Corner Kicks6
0Offsides1
67Ball Possession33
1Yellow Cards3
3Goalkeeper Saves2
582Total passes277
508Passes accurate193
87Passes %70
0.96expected_goals1.34
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (6)

PajimonLost

New Year's Braai: Goals on the Menu at St Mary's

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
65%
Odds
1.80
Model EV
+17.0%

Alright, my braai buddies and football fanatics! Let's fire up the grill and talk about the first Championship fixture of 2026. Southampton hosting Millwall is a proper New Year's clash, and if the data is anything to go by, we could be in for a lekker goal-fest. Forget the…

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceLost

Goals at Both Ends, the Force Predicts

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
70%
Odds
1.75
Model EV
+22.5%

A New Year's Day clash at St Mary's, this is. Seventh meets twelfth, but the table deceives. Millwall, with a negative goal difference yet sitting higher, a puzzle it presents. Southampton, at home a fortress they have built, but recent cracks have appeared. Deeply, we must…

Mr SimpleLost

Saints to Start the New Year with a Home Win?

The pickSouthampton win

Chance
65%
Odds
1.83
Model EV
+18.9%

Right then, let's talk about the New Year's Day fixture down at St Mary's. Southampton welcome Millwall, and on paper, it looks a straightforward home banker. But as we all know, football's never that simple, is it? Southampton at home are a different animal. Their last five on…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Southampton

5W 2D 3L1.70 pts/game

Millwall

4W 3D 3L1.50 pts/game

Per game

Southampton at home vs Millwall away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match Β· within Championship

Overall edge
+22Millwall
Venue edge
+94Southampton
Rating period
Match snapshot
Southampton versus Millwall: long term Elo, before the match
SouthamptonHomeRatingMillwallAway
Strength
1,535Overall1,557
1,592Match venue1,498
1,592At home1,565
1,525Away1,498
Attack & defence
1,550Attack1,438
1,506Defence1,550
1,576Home attack1,437
1,521Away attack1,421
1,559Home defence1,588
1,490Away defence1,532
Match profile
1,645Goal environment1,177
1,588Home goals1,370
1,557Away goals1,307
1,530Possession1,485
Specialist ratings
1,528Set-piece attack1,496
1,528Set-piece defence1,497
1,507Close games1,645
1,549Winning margin1,529

Match venue compares Southampton at home with Millwall away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

SouthamptonSouthamptonUnknown

Starting XI

31Gavin BazunuG
15Nathan WoodD
6Taylor Harwood-BellisD
5Jack StephensD
38Elias JelertM
4Flynn DownesM
48Cameron BraggM
3Ryan ManningM
13Leo ScienzaF
27Kuryu MatsukiF
19Cameron ArcherF

MillwallMillwallUnknown

Starting XI

15Max CrocombeG
4Tristan CramaD
6Caleb TaylorD
5Jake CooperD
3Zak SturgeD
18Ryan LeonardM
14Alfie DoughtyM
17Macaulay LangstaffM
10Camiel NeghliM
7Thierno BalloM
11Femi AzeezF