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Match analysis

EnglandChampionship

Derby vs Wrexham

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Championship fixture.

Full time1:2HT 1–1

Match Timeline

25'
Sam Smith⚽
Normal Goal → Nathan Broadhead
30'
Max Cleworth🟨
Yellow Card
34'
Ben Brereton Díaz⚽
Normal Goal → Matthew Clarke
48'
Matty James⚽
Normal Goal
60'
Callum Elder🔄
Substitution 1 → Corey Blackett-Taylor
60'
Liam Thompson🔄
Substitution 2 → Lewis Travis
60'
Patrick Agyemang🔄
Substitution 3 → Andreas Weimann
60'
Rhian Brewster🔄
Substitution 4 → Lars-Jørgen Salvesen
66'
Josh Windass🔄
Substitution 1 → Oliver Rathbone
69'
Matty James🟨
Yellow Card
73'
Dion Sanderson🟨
Yellow Card
75'
Nathan Broadhead🔄
Substitution 2 → Lewis O'Brien
81'
Dion Sanderson🔄
Substitution 5 → Kayden Jackson
90'
George Thomason🔄
Substitution 3 → Liberato Cacace
90'
Sam Smith🔄
Substitution 4 → Jay Rodriguez

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal5
14Total Shots11
4Blocked Shots3
12Shots insidebox6
2Shots outsidebox5
9Fouls8
12Corner Kicks2
1Offsides2
52Ball Possession48
1Yellow Cards2
1Goalkeeper Saves5
431Total passes413
346Passes accurate329
80Passes %80
1.1expected_goals1.46
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (5)

The Big "O"Won

Mid-Table Clash Promises Goals at Pride Park

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
44%
Odds
2.38
Model EV
+4.7%

Alright folks, The Big O is here, and I'm feeling a tingle of excitement about this Championship clash. Derby and Wrexham are separated by just two points in the table, and when two evenly matched sides go at it, we often get the kind of open, end-to-end football that gets my…

Mr SimpleLost

Derby vs Wrexham: A Proper Championship Scrap

The pickDraw

Chance
38%
Odds
3.30
Model EV
+25.4%

Alright, let's have a proper look at this one. Derby at home to Wrexham – it's a mid-table Championship clash that's got 'tight' written all over it. The Rams are 11th with 35 points, the Red Dragons are 10th with 37. Two points in it. You don't need a maths degree to see this…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Derby

3W 3D 4L1.20 pts/game

Wrexham

4W 4D 2L1.60 pts/game

Per game

Derby at home vs Wrexham away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Championship

Overall edge
+48Wrexham
Venue edge
+3Wrexham
Rating period
Match snapshot
Derby versus Wrexham: long term Elo, before the match
DerbyHomeRatingWrexhamAway
Strength
1,504Overall1,552
1,498Match venue1,501
1,498At home1,536
1,441Away1,501
Attack & defence
1,469Attack1,507
1,547Defence1,528
1,426Home attack1,529
1,464Away attack1,468
1,578Home defence1,486
1,511Away defence1,542
Match profile
1,512Goal environment1,508
1,455Home goals1,528
1,557Away goals1,480
1,469Possession1,486
Specialist ratings
1,491Set-piece attack1,483
1,491Set-piece defence1,483
1,490Close games1,514
1,508Winning margin1,562

Match venue compares Derby at home with Wrexham away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

DerbyDerbyUnknown

Starting XI

1Jacob Widell ZetterströmG
6Sondre Klingen LangåsD
28Dion SandersonD
5Matthew ClarkeD
23Joe WardM
16Liam ThompsonM
42Bobby ClarkM
20Callum ElderM
25Ben Brereton DíazF
7Patrick AgyemangF
10Rhian BrewsterF

WrexhamWrexhamUnknown

Starting XI

1Arthur OkonkwoG
4Max CleworthD
5Dominic HyamD
2Callum DoyleD
37Matty JamesM
47Ryan LongmanM
10Josh WindassM
18Ben SheafM
14George ThomasonM
33Nathan BroadheadF
28Sam SmithF