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Match analysis

EnglandChampionship

Birmingham vs Coventry

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Championship fixture.

Full time3:2HT 2–1

Match Timeline

6'
Marvin Ducksch⚽
Normal Goal → Kai Wagner
8'
Josh Eccles⚽
Normal Goal → Ephron Mason-Clark
17'
Lewis Koumas⚽
Normal Goal → Patrick Roberts
36'
Marvin Ducksch🟨
Yellow Card
51'
Kai Wagner🟨
Yellow Card
60'
Ellis Simms⚽
Normal Goal → Jack Rudoni
63'
Marvin Ducksch⚽
Normal Goal → Patrick Roberts
65'
Lewis Koumas🔄
Substitution 1 → Eiran Cashin
67'
Tatsuhiro Sakamoto🔄
Substitution 1 → Haji Wright
71'
Kai Wagner🔄
Substitution 2 → Alfons Sampsted
72'
Marvin Ducksch🔄
Substitution 3 → Kyogo Furuhashi
72'
Patrick Roberts🔄
Substitution 4 → Willum Thor Willumsson
86'
Josh Eccles🟨
Yellow Card
88'
James Beadle🟨
Yellow Card
89'
Josh Eccles🔄
Substitution 2 → Kai Andrews
90'
Jay Stansfield🔄
Substitution 5 → Kanya Fujimoto
90+5'
Bobby Thomas🟥
Red Card

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal6
2Shots off Goal10
9Total Shots18
3Blocked Shots2
6Shots insidebox12
3Shots outsidebox6
13Fouls9
2Corner Kicks6
4Offsides2
25Ball Possession75
3Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
4Goalkeeper Saves1
177Total passes517
89Passes accurate429
50Passes %83
1.16expected_goals1.5
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (6)

Mr SimpleLost

Top vs Tough at Home: Can Birmingham Hold Coventry?

The pickDraw

Chance
38%
Odds
3.30
Model EV
+25.4%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Championship clash. Coventry are sitting pretty at the top of the tree, a massive 20 points ahead of Birmingham who are languishing in 15th. On paper, it's a no-brainer for the Sky Blues, but football's never that simple, is it? Let's…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Birmingham

2W 4D 4L1.00 pts/game

Coventry

5W 3D 2L1.80 pts/game

Per game

Birmingham at home vs Coventry away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Championship

Overall edge
+176Coventry
Venue edge
+16Coventry
Rating period
Match snapshot
Birmingham versus Coventry: long term Elo, before the match
BirminghamHomeRatingCoventryAway
Strength
1,446Overall1,622
1,523Match venue1,539
1,523At home1,614
1,361Away1,539
Attack & defence
1,430Attack1,558
1,502Defence1,555
1,488Home attack1,567
1,365Away attack1,520
1,574Home defence1,577
1,435Away defence1,516
Match profile
1,548Goal environment1,550
1,515Home goals1,517
1,533Away goals1,533
1,519Possession1,514
Specialist ratings
1,523Set-piece attack1,504
1,522Set-piece defence1,504
1,471Close games1,572
1,444Winning margin1,633

Match venue compares Birmingham at home with Coventry away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

BirminghamBirminghamUnknown

Starting XI

25James BeadleG
24Tomoki IwataD
5Phil NeumannD
6Jack RobinsonD
31Kai WagnerD
8Seung-Ho PaikM
7Tommy DoyleM
16Patrick RobertsM
28Jay StansfieldM
30Lewis KoumasM
33Marvin DuckschF

CoventryCoventryUnknown

Starting XI

19Carl RushworthG
27Milan van EwijkD
4Bobby ThomasD
15Liam KitchingD
3Jay DasilvaD
6Matt GrimesM
5Jack RudoniM
7Tatsuhiro SakamotoM
28Josh EcclesM
10Ephron Mason-ClarkM
9Ellis SimmsF