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Match analysis

EnglandChampionship

Preston vs Derby

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Championship fixture.

Full time0:1HT 0–0

Match Timeline

38'
Bobby Clark🟨
Yellow Card
40'
David Ozoh🟨
Yellow Card
57'
Ben Brereton Díaz🟨
Yellow Card
58'
Jamal Lewis🔄
Substitution 1 → Thierry Small
63'
Callum Elder🟨
Yellow Card
66'
Lewis Dobbin🟨
Yellow Card
67'
Milutin Osmajić🔄
Substitution 2 → Daniel Jebbison
68'
Brad Potts🔄
Substitution 3 → Pol Valentín
72'
Rhian Brewster🔄
Substitution 1 → Oscar Fraulo
73'
David Ozoh🔄
Substitution 2 → Liam Thompson
79'
Alistair McCann🔄
Substitution 4 → Michael Smith
79'
Lewis Dobbin🔄
Substitution 5 → Jordan Thompson
82'
Patrick Agyemang⚽
Normal Goal → Ben Brereton Díaz
87'
Jordan Thompson🟨
Yellow Card
87'
Liam Thompson🟨
Yellow Card
89'
Bobby Clark🔄
Substitution 3 → Andreas Weimann
89'
Patrick Agyemang🔄
Substitution 4 → Lars-Jørgen Salvesen

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal4
8Shots off Goal8
13Total Shots18
3Blocked Shots6
6Shots insidebox14
7Shots outsidebox4
7Fouls11
5Corner Kicks10
0Offsides2
51Ball Possession49
2Yellow Cards5
4Goalkeeper Saves2
353Total passes336
256Passes accurate233
73Passes %69
0.73expected_goals1.76
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (5)

Value VinnyLost

Preston vs Derby: Value Vinnie Spots BTTS Banker

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
58%
Odds
2.00
Model EV
+16.0%

Fourth-placed Preston welcome mid-table Derby to Deepdale in a Championship fixture that, on paper, looks like a home banker. But we don't bet on paper, we bet on numbers. And the numbers are screaming one thing: back both teams to score. Let's cut through the noise. Preston sit…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Preston

4W 4D 2L1.60 pts/game

Derby

2W 3D 5L0.90 pts/game

Per game

Preston at home vs Derby away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Championship

Overall edge
+48Preston
Venue edge
+95Preston
Rating period
Match snapshot
Preston versus Derby: long term Elo, before the match
PrestonHomeRatingDerbyAway
Strength
1,538Overall1,490
1,536Match venue1,441
1,536At home1,485
1,485Away1,441
Attack & defence
1,485Attack1,466
1,568Defence1,541
1,473Home attack1,426
1,458Away attack1,464
1,566Home defence1,569
1,533Away defence1,511
Match profile
1,363Goal environment1,513
1,472Home goals1,457
1,392Away goals1,557
1,480Possession1,470
Specialist ratings
1,455Set-piece attack1,501
1,456Set-piece defence1,501
1,497Close games1,476
1,552Winning margin1,494

Match venue compares Preston at home with Derby away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

PrestonPreston1:1

Starting XI

12J. WaltonG
19L. GibsonD
4B. WhitemanM
18J. LewisM
17L. DobbinF
14J. StoreyD
8A. McCannM
28M. OsmajicF
42O. OffiahD
21A. DevineM
44B. PottsM

DerbyDerby1:1

Starting XI

1J. Widell ZetterstromG
20C. ElderD
18D. OzohM
10R. BrewsterM
7P. AgyemangF
5M. ClarkeD
27L. TravisM
42B. ClarkM
6S. LangasD
25B. Brereton DiazM
4D. Batth2:4