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Match analysis

EnglandChampionship

Southampton vs Hull City

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Championship fixture.

Full time1:2HT 0–2

Match Timeline

20'
Kyle Joseph⚽
Normal Goal → Oliver McBurnie
34'
Charlie Hughes⚽
Normal Goal → Amir Hadžiahmetović
38'
Lewie Coyle🟨
Yellow Card
45+1'
Charlie Hughes🟨
Yellow Card
46'
Joshua Quarshie🔄
Substitution 1 → Elias Jelert
46'
Akin Famewo🔄
Substitution 1 → Cathal McCarthy
54'
Kyle Joseph🔄
Substitution 2 → Matty Jacob
66'
Finn Azaz🔄
Substitution 2 → Ross Stewart
67'
Tom Fellows🔄
Substitution 3 → Jay Robinson
71'
Ross Stewart⚽
Normal Goal → Leo Scienza
75'
Liam Millar🔄
Substitution 3 → John Lundstram
76'
Lewie Coyle🔄
Substitution 4 → Joel Ndala
77'
Caspar Jander🔄
Substitution 4 → Kuryu Matsuki
89'
Ryan Manning🔄
Substitution 5 → Cameron Archer
90'
Amir Hadžiahmetović🔄
Substitution 5 → Babajide David Akintola

Match Statistics

7Shots on Goal3
9Shots off Goal0
22Total Shots8
6Blocked Shots5
16Shots insidebox5
6Shots outsidebox3
5Fouls14
8Corner Kicks2
2Offsides1
67Ball Possession33
0Yellow Cards2
1Goalkeeper Saves5
573Total passes286
498Passes accurate204
87Passes %71
2.68expected_goals0.62
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (5)

PajimonWon

Saints Host Tigers: Will Both Nets Bulge?

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
65%
Odds
1.62
Model EV
+5.3%

Alright, let's braai some facts and see what's cooking this weekend in the Championship. Southampton welcome Hull City to St Mary's in a clash that could have playoff implications for the visitors. The Saints sit 15th with 33 points, while the Tigers are flying high in 7th with…

Mr SimpleLost

Saints Host Tigers: A Proper Championship Tussle

The pickDraw

Chance
35%
Odds
4.00
Model EV
+40.0%

Alright, let's have a proper look at this Championship clash. Southampton, sitting 15th, welcome Hull City, who are up in 7th and eyeing the playoffs. On paper, you'd fancy the away side, but football's never that simple, is it? Southampton's form has been a bit of a mixed bag…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Southampton

3W 3D 4L1.20 pts/game

Hull City

5W 2D 3L1.70 pts/game

Per game

Southampton at home vs Hull City away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Championship

Overall edge
+15Hull City
Venue edge
+70Southampton
Rating period
Match snapshot
Southampton versus Hull City: long term Elo, before the match
SouthamptonHomeRatingHull CityAway
Strength
1,520Overall1,534
1,589Match venue1,519
1,589At home1,483
1,514Away1,519
Attack & defence
1,521Attack1,509
1,501Defence1,516
1,559Home attack1,459
1,509Away attack1,512
1,568Home defence1,512
1,475Away defence1,522
Match profile
1,642Goal environment1,563
1,580Home goals1,517
1,562Away goals1,547
1,531Possession1,488
Specialist ratings
1,522Set-piece attack1,475
1,522Set-piece defence1,476
1,513Close games1,511
1,522Winning margin1,538

Match venue compares Southampton at home with Hull City away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

SouthamptonSouthampton1:1

Starting XI

41D. PeretzG
17J. QuarshieD
3R. ManningM
13L. ScienzaF
9A. ArmstrongF
15N. WoodD
4F. DownesM
10F. AzazF
6T. Harwood-BellisD
20C. JanderM
18T. FellowsM

Hull CityHull City1:1

Starting XI

1I. PandurG
23A. FamewoD
27R. SlaterM
7L. MillarM
9O. McBurnieF
15J. EganD
25M. CrooksM
20A. HadziahmetovicM
4C. HughesD
22K. JosephM
2L. CoyleD