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Match analysis

EnglandChampionship

Charlton vs Derby

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Championship fixture.

Full time1:2HT 0–1

Match Timeline

17'
Macaulay Gillesphey⚽
Own Goal
31'
Matthew Clarke🟨
Yellow Card
46'
Miles Leaburn🔄
Substitution 1 → Ibrahim Fullah
46'
Lloyd Jones🔄
Substitution 2 → Harry Clarke
47'
Patrick Agyemang🟨
Yellow Card
59'
Corey Blackett-Taylor🔄
Substitution 1 → Rhian Brewster
59'
David Ozoh🔄
Substitution 2 → Lewis Travis
60'
Bobby Clark⚽
Normal Goal → Ben Brereton Díaz
67'
Tyreece Campbell⚽
Normal Goal → Karoy Anderson
72'
Conor Coventry🔄
Substitution 3 → Charlie Kelman
76'
Bobby Clark🔄
Substitution 3 → Oscar Fraulo
76'
Patrick Agyemang🔄
Substitution 4 → Lars-Jørgen Salvesen
85'
Matthew Clarke🟨
Yellow Card
85'
Matthew Clarke🟥
Red Card
86'
Karoy Anderson🔄
Substitution 4 → Luke Berry
87'
Reece Burke🔄
Substitution 5 → Matt Godden
89'
Ben Brereton Díaz🔄
Substitution 5 → Callum Elder
90+3'
Lewis Travis🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal5
5Shots off Goal7
10Total Shots15
2Blocked Shots3
6Shots insidebox10
4Shots outsidebox5
12Fouls14
4Corner Kicks0
1Offsides1
61Ball Possession39
0Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards1
4Goalkeeper Saves2
470Total passes300
379Passes accurate215
81Passes %72
0.88expected_goals1.71
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (6)

PajimonWon

Derby's Road Warriors Ready to Raid The Valley

The pickDerby win

Chance
38%
Odds
3.20
Model EV
+21.6%

Alright, my braai buddies and football fanatics, let's break down this Championship clash between Charlton and Derby. We've got two sides separated by six points in the table, but the recent form book tells a very different story when you look at their travels. Charlton are…

The Big "O"Won

The Valley Set for a Goal-Filled Clash?

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
42%
Odds
2.65
Model EV
+11.3%

Alright, let's get straight to the good stuff. The Big O is here, and we're looking at a Championship clash between Charlton and Derby that has the potential to deliver the kind of action we crave. Forget the cagey, tactical battles – I'm here for goals, excitement, and value…

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceLost

In the Valley, a Defensive Duel, It Will Be

The pickBTTS No

Chance
60%
Odds
1.73
Model EV
+3.8%

Hmm. Look at this match, we must. Two sides in the middle of the Championship, separated by six points but united by inconsistency. Charlton, 19th with 29 points from 25 games, welcome Derby, 13th with 35 from 26. Close in the table, close in history, close this game will be…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Charlton

2W 3D 5L0.90 pts/game

Derby

3W 3D 4L1.20 pts/game

Per game

Charlton at home vs Derby away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Championship

Overall edge
+63Derby
Venue edge
+39Charlton
Rating period
Match snapshot
Charlton versus Derby: long term Elo, before the match
CharltonHomeRatingDerbyAway
Strength
1,446Overall1,508
1,495Match venue1,457
1,495At home1,485
1,389Away1,457
Attack & defence
1,404Attack1,465
1,528Defence1,553
1,435Home attack1,426
1,385Away attack1,464
1,559Home defence1,569
1,481Away defence1,523
Match profile
1,460Goal environment1,508
1,472Home goals1,457
1,488Away goals1,552
1,473Possession1,470
Specialist ratings
1,481Set-piece attack1,505
1,481Set-piece defence1,504
1,466Close games1,492
1,441Winning margin1,513

Match venue compares Charlton at home with Derby away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

CharltonCharlton1:1

Starting XI

1Thomas KaminskiG
3Macaulay GillespheyD
6Conor CoventryM
7Tyreece CampbellM
99Lyndon DykesF
5Lloyd JonesD
18Karoy AndersonM
11Miles LeaburnF
32Reece BurkeD
14Sonny CareyM
2Kayne RamsayM

DerbyDerby1:1

Starting XI

12Richard O'DonnellG
3Craig ForsythD
16Liam ThompsonM
11Corey Blackett-TaylorM
7Patrick AgyemangF
5Matthew ClarkeD
18David OzohM
42Bobby ClarkM
6Sondre LangåsD
25Ben Brereton DíazM
23Joe WardD