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Match analysis

EnglandChampionship

Watford vs Portsmouth

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Championship fixture.

Full time1:1HT 0–0

Match Timeline

46'
Matthew Pollock🔄
Substitution 1 → Kévin Keben Biakolo
46'
Giorgi Chakvetadze🔄
Substitution 2 → Mamadou Doumbia
46'
Zak Swanson🔄
Substitution 1 → Jordan Williams
51'
Andre Dozzell🟨
Yellow Card
64'
Othmane Maamma🔄
Substitution 3 → Rocco Vata
73'
Adrian Segecic⚽
Normal Goal → Conor Chaplin
79'
Mamadou Doumbia⚽
Normal Goal → Luca Kjerrumgaard
81'
James Abankwah🔄
Substitution 4 → Edo Kayembe
81'
Thomas Ince🔄
Substitution 5 → Nestory Irankunda
83'
Terry Devlin🔄
Substitution 2 → Jacob Farrell
90'
Millenic Alli🔄
Substitution 3 → John Swift
90'
Adrian Segecic🔄
Substitution 4 → Luke Le Roux
90'
Ebou Adams🔄
Substitution 5 → Ibane Bowat
90+10'
Nestory Irankunda🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal2
3Shots off Goal3
15Total Shots10
8Blocked Shots5
6Shots insidebox5
9Shots outsidebox5
9Fouls12
8Corner Kicks7
1Offsides2
56Ball Possession44
1Yellow Cards1
1Goalkeeper Saves3
449Total passes359
368Passes accurate276
82Passes %77
0.8expected_goals0.64
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (6)

PajimonLost

Watford to Bounce Back Against Struggling Pompey

The pickWatford win

Chance
65%
Odds
1.78
Model EV
+15.7%

Alright, my braaiside companions, let's talk some proper football! We've got a classic Championship clash where the form book and the league table are shouting the same thing: Watford should be taking care of business at home. The Hornets are sitting pretty in 8th, hunting down…

Mr SimpleWon

Watford to Edge It in a Low-Scorer?

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
62%
Odds
1.87
Model EV
+15.9%

Alright, let's have a proper look at this Championship clash. Watford, sitting pretty in 8th, welcome Portsmouth, who are down in 22nd and having a right old struggle. On paper, it's a home banker, but football's never that simple, is it? Let's dig into the numbers and see where…

Value VinnyLost

Watford vs Portsmouth: Home Value Stands Out

The pickWatford win

Chance
65%
Odds
1.78
Model EV
+15.7%

The Championship table tells a simple story ahead of this one: Watford in 8th, pushing for the playoffs; Portsmouth languishing in 22nd, deep in a relegation scrap. But for us value hunters, the table is just the opening act. The real show is in the underlying numbers, and…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Watford

5W 2D 3L1.70 pts/game

Portsmouth

3W 2D 5L1.10 pts/game

Per game

Watford at home vs Portsmouth away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Championship

Overall edge
+73Watford
Venue edge
+169Watford
Rating period
Match snapshot
Watford versus Portsmouth: long term Elo, before the match
WatfordHomeRatingPortsmouthAway
Strength
1,531Overall1,458
1,564Match venue1,395
1,564At home1,520
1,449Away1,395
Attack & defence
1,490Attack1,412
1,537Defence1,507
1,487Home attack1,457
1,458Away attack1,406
1,577Home defence1,567
1,496Away defence1,444
Match profile
1,675Goal environment1,520
1,583Home goals1,467
1,592Away goals1,553
1,506Possession1,496
Specialist ratings
1,483Set-piece attack1,499
1,484Set-piece defence1,499
1,519Close games1,473
1,539Winning margin1,442

Match venue compares Watford at home with Portsmouth away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

WatfordWatford1:1

Starting XI

1Egil SelvikG
16Marc BolaD
10Imrân LouzaM
7Thomas InceM
9Luca KjerrumgaardF
25James AbankwahD
5Hector KyprianouM
8Giorgi ChakvetadzeM
6Matthew PollockD
42Othmane MaammaM
2Jeremy NgakiaD

PortsmouthPortsmouth1:1

Starting XI

1Nicolas SchmidG
22Zak SwansonD
38Ebou AdamsM
27Millenic AlliM
9Colby BishopF
3Connor OgilvieD
21Andre DozzellM
36Conor ChaplinM
5Regan PooleD
10Adrian SegecicM
24Terry DevlinD