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Match analysis

EnglandChampionship

Stoke City vs Middlesbrough

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Championship fixture.

Match Timeline

15'
Tomáš Rigo⚽
Normal Goal → Lamine Cissé
45+2'
Bosun Lawal🟨
Yellow Card
46'
Samuel Silvera🔄
Substitution 1 → Leo Castledine
46'
Alexander Gilbert🔄
Substitution 2 → Delano Burgzorg
48'
Alan Browne⚽
Normal Goal → Morgan Whittaker
52'
Luke Ayling🟨
Yellow Card
59'
Tommy Conway⚽
Normal Goal → Alan Browne
66'
Ben Pearson🟨
Yellow Card
67'
Million Manhoef🔄
Substitution 1 → Tatsuki Seko
75'
Ben Pearson🔄
Substitution 2 → Eric Bocat
77'
Bosun Lawal🟨
Yellow Card
77'
Bosun Lawal🟥
Red Card
79'
Morgan Whittaker🔄
Substitution 3 → Sverre Nypan
90'
Tommy Conway🔄
Substitution 4 → Dael Fry

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal7
4Shots off Goal4
10Total Shots16
2Blocked Shots5
7Shots insidebox8
3Shots outsidebox8
11Fouls10
5Corner Kicks4
2Offsides4
40Ball Possession60
3Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
5Goalkeeper Saves3
332Total passes497
256Passes accurate416
77Passes %84
0.81expected_goals1.22
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (5)

PajimonLost

Stoke's Fortress Defense vs Boro's Road Warriors

The pickBTTS No

Chance
58%
Odds
2.08
Model EV
+20.6%

Alright, my braai masters and beer lovers! We've got a proper Championship clash here that's got me licking my lips more than a perfectly grilled boerewors. Stoke City hosting Middlesbrough in a battle that could shape the promotion race. Let's break this down like a proper…

Mr SimpleLost

Stoke vs Boro: A Championship Clash of Contrasts

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
60%
Odds
1.85
Model EV
+11.0%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Championship top-of-the-table clash... well, sort of. Middlesbrough are sitting pretty in second, eight points ahead of Stoke in seventh. On paper, you'd fancy the away side. But football isn't played on paper, is it? It's played on a…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Stoke City

4W 2D 4L1.40 pts/game

Middlesbrough

5W 1D 4L1.60 pts/game

Per game

Stoke City at home vs Middlesbrough away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Championship

Overall edge
+53Middlesbrough
Venue edge
+16Middlesbrough
Rating period
Match snapshot
Stoke City versus Middlesbrough: long term Elo, before the match
Stoke CityHomeRatingMiddlesbroughAway
Strength
1,506Overall1,559
1,498Match venue1,514
1,498At home1,584
1,471Away1,514
Attack & defence
1,416Attack1,497
1,613Defence1,569
1,425Home attack1,496
1,414Away attack1,515
1,594Home defence1,601
1,562Away defence1,510
Match profile
1,308Goal environment1,400
1,400Home goals1,292
1,408Away goals1,608
1,518Possession1,533
Specialist ratings
1,534Set-piece attack1,547
1,533Set-piece defence1,546
1,475Close games1,536
1,522Winning margin1,571

Match venue compares Stoke City at home with Middlesbrough away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Stoke CityStoke City1:1

Starting XI

25Tommy SimkinG
18Bosun LawalD
4Ben PearsonM
7Sorba ThomasM
29Lamine CisséF
16Ben WilmotD
19Tomáš RigoM
10Jun-Ho BaeM
26Ashley PhillipsD
42Million ManhoefM
40Maksym TalovierovD

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1:1

Starting XI

31Solomon BrynnG
3Matt TargettD
18Aidan MorrisM
14Alexander GilbertM
9Tommy ConwayF
29Adilson MalandaD
7Hayden HackneyM
11Morgan WhittakerM
12Luke AylingD
22Samuel SilveraM
16Alan BrowneD