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Match analysis

EnglandChampionship

QPR vs Wrexham

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Championship fixture.

Full time2:3HT 1–0

Match Timeline

6'
Harvey Vale⚽
Normal Goal
12'
Dan Scarr🟨
Yellow Card
44'
Amadou Salif Mbengue🟨
Yellow Card
54'
Callum Doyle⚽
Normal Goal → Nathan Broadhead
56'
Ben Sheaf🟨
Yellow Card
61'
Paul Smyth🟨
Yellow Card
64'
Kieran Morgan🔄
Substitution 1 → Isaac Hayden
74'
Karamoko Dembélé🔄
Substitution 2 → Daniel Bennie
74'
Paul Smyth🔄
Substitution 3 → Rayan Kolli
75'
Ben Sheaf🔄
Substitution 1 → George Dobson
75'
Nathan Broadhead🔄
Substitution 2 → Oliver Rathbone
80'
Steve Cook⚽
Normal Goal → Nicolas Madsen
82'
Harvey Vale🔄
Substitution 4 → Sam Field
84'
Dan Scarr🔄
Substitution 3 → Josh Windass
84'
Matty James🔄
Substitution 4 → Sam Smith
90'
Amadou Salif Mbengue🟨
Yellow Card
90'
Amadou Salif Mbengue🟥
Red Card
90'
Issa Kaboré🔄
Substitution 5 → Ryan Longman
90+3'
Josh Windass⚽
Normal Goal
90+4'
Oliver Rathbone⚽
Normal Goal → Josh Windass

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal7
9Shots off Goal0
13Total Shots11
1Blocked Shots4
8Shots insidebox5
5Shots outsidebox6
13Fouls13
7Corner Kicks3
0Offsides1
46Ball Possession54
3Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
4Goalkeeper Saves1
375Total passes448
278Passes accurate331
74Passes %74
0.9expected_goals0.48
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (6)

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceWon

At Loftus Road, Goals Flow, The Force Does

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
62%
Odds
1.73
Model EV
+7.3%

Close in the table, these two sides are. Separated by a single point, the battle for mid-table supremacy, it is. Yet, deeper than the standings, the story lies. In the recent past, we must look. Strong at home, QPR has been. From their last four matches at their own ground…

PajimonWon

Goals Galore Expected at Loftus Road

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
65%
Odds
1.73
Model EV
+12.4%

Listen up, braai masters and football fans! We've got a proper Championship clash here between two mid-table sides who love to entertain. QPR sit 12th with 40 points, while Wrexham are just one place and one point ahead in 9th. On paper, it's tight as a drum, but when you dig…

The Big "O"Won

Goals Galore Expected as QPR Host Wrexham

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
55%
Odds
2.00
Model EV
+10.0%

Two mid-table Championship sides separated by just a single point collide this weekend, and for a tipster who lives for excitement, this one has all the ingredients for a proper spectacle. I'm The Big O, and I'm here to tell you why this clash between QPR and Wrexham is primed…

Mr CertaintyWon

Goals at Both Ends Likely in Tight Mid-Table Clash

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
68%
Odds
1.73
Model EV
+17.6%

Two sides separated by just a single point in the congested Championship mid-table meet at Loftus Road, with recent patterns strongly suggesting both teams will find the net. QPR's impressive home form contrasts with their struggles on the road, while Wrexham's matches have been…

Mr SimpleLost

QPR to Continue Home Rule Against Wrexham?

The pickQPR win

Chance
50%
Odds
2.20
Model EV
+10.0%

Alright, gather 'round. We've got a proper Championship scrap here between two sides separated by just one point and one place in the table. QPR in 12th on 40 points, Wrexham in 9th on 41. On paper, it's a coin flip. But football isn't played on paper, it's played on grass, and…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

QPR

3W 4D 3L1.30 pts/game

Wrexham

4W 3D 3L1.50 pts/game

Per game

QPR at home vs Wrexham away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Championship

Overall edge
+54Wrexham
Venue edge
+19Wrexham
Rating period
Match snapshot
QPR versus Wrexham: long term Elo, before the match
QPRHomeRatingWrexhamAway
Strength
1,489Overall1,543
1,494Match venue1,513
1,494At home1,521
1,481Away1,513
Attack & defence
1,471Attack1,503
1,529Defence1,528
1,511Home attack1,516
1,414Away attack1,478
1,503Home defence1,487
1,543Away defence1,543
Match profile
1,555Goal environment1,510
1,705Home goals1,528
1,350Away goals1,482
1,483Possession1,487
Specialist ratings
1,496Set-piece attack1,492
1,496Set-piece defence1,492
1,484Close games1,510
1,495Winning margin1,552

Match venue compares QPR at home with Wrexham away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

QPRQPRUnknown

Starting XI

13Joe WalshG
27Amadou Salif MbengueD
3Jimmy DunneD
5Steve CookD
18Rhys Norrington-DaviesD
24Nicolas MadsenM
21Kieran MorganM
7Karamoko DembéléM
20Harvey ValeM
11Paul SmythM
22Richard KoneF

WrexhamWrexhamUnknown

Starting XI

1Arthur OkonkwoG
5Dominic HyamD
24Dan ScarrD
2Callum DoyleD
12Issa KaboréM
37Matty JamesM
18Ben SheafM
14George ThomasonM
27Lewis O'BrienF
33Nathan BroadheadF
19Kieffer MooreF