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Match analysis

EnglandChampionship

Derby vs West Brom

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Championship fixture.

Full time1:1HT 1–0

Match Timeline

5'
Karlan Grant🟨
Yellow Card
8'
Karlan Grant🔄
Substitution 1 → Samuel Iling Junior
40'
Aune Selland Heggebø🟨
Yellow Card
44'
Patrick Agyemang⚽
Normal Goal
53'
Jayson Molumby🟨
Yellow Card
59'
Lewis Travis🟨
Yellow Card
61'
Aune Selland Heggebø🔄
Substitution 2 → Josh Maja
61'
Callum Styles🔄
Substitution 3 → Daryl Dike
61'
Michael Johnston🔄
Substitution 4 → Jed Wallace
64'
Rhian Brewster🔄
Substitution 1 → Corey Blackett-Taylor
64'
David Ozoh🔄
Substitution 2 → Liam Thompson
64'
Bobby Clark🔄
Substitution 3 → Oscar Fraulo
74'
Krystian Bielik🔄
Substitution 5 → Chris Mepham
83'
Callum Elder🟨
Yellow Card
85'
Patrick Agyemang🔄
Substitution 4 → Lars-Jørgen Salvesen
85'
Ben Brereton Díaz🔄
Substitution 5 → Dion Sanderson
90+5'
Chris Mepham⚽
Normal Goal → Jayson Molumby

Match Statistics

1Shots on Goal4
3Shots off Goal4
5Total Shots12
1Blocked Shots4
5Shots insidebox9
0Shots outsidebox3
14Fouls13
1Corner Kicks6
1Offsides1
58Ball Possession42
2Yellow Cards3
3Goalkeeper Saves0
441Total passes313
369Passes accurate238
84Passes %76
0.29expected_goals0.96
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (6)

PajimonLost

Derby to Continue Dominance Over Struggling West Brom

The pickDerby win

Chance
45%
Odds
2.62
Model EV
+17.9%

Alright, my braai-loving mates, let's talk about this Championship clash between Derby and West Brom. I'm here for the wins, not the veggies, and this match has got my attention. Derby sitting 12th with 38 points, West Brom down in 19th with 31 points – that's a proper gap in…

Mr SimpleLost

Derby to Continue Dominance Over Struggling Baggies?

The pickDerby win

Chance
55%
Odds
2.62
Model EV
+44.1%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Championship clash. Derby County, sitting 12th, welcome West Bromwich Albion, down in 19th, to Pride Park. On paper, it's a mid-table side against one flirting with the drop, and the recent form book tells a pretty clear story. Derby…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Derby

4W 3D 3L1.50 pts/game

West Brom

2W 1D 7L0.70 pts/game

Per game

Derby at home vs West Brom away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Championship

Overall edge
+100Derby
Venue edge
+92Derby
Rating period
Match snapshot
Derby versus West Brom: long term Elo, before the match
DerbyHomeRatingWest BromAway
Strength
1,522Overall1,421
1,485Match venue1,393
1,485At home1,567
1,470Away1,393
Attack & defence
1,473Attack1,443
1,552Defence1,487
1,426Home attack1,477
1,473Away attack1,423
1,569Home defence1,561
1,525Away defence1,493
Match profile
1,510Goal environment1,523
1,457Home goals1,537
1,553Away goals1,487
1,468Possession1,507
Specialist ratings
1,489Set-piece attack1,548
1,489Set-piece defence1,546
1,506Close games1,430
1,525Winning margin1,412

Match venue compares Derby at home with West Brom away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

DerbyDerby1:1

Starting XI

1Jacob Widell ZetterströmG
20Callum ElderD
18David OzohM
10Rhian BrewsterM
7Patrick AgyemangF
4Danny BatthD
27Lewis TravisM
42Bobby ClarkM
6Sondre LangåsD
25Ben Brereton DíazM
23Joe WardD

West BromWest Brom1:1

Starting XI

1Max O'LearyG
4Callum StylesD
10Karlan GrantM
19Aune Selland HeggebøF
6George CampbellD
8Jayson MolumbyM
3Nathaniel PhillipsD
17Ousmane DiakitéM
5Krystian BielikD
11Michael JohnstonM
21Isaac PriceD