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Match analysis

EnglandChampionship

Middlesbrough vs Preston

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Championship fixture.

Full time4:0HT 3–0

Match Timeline

9'
Alan Browne⚽
Normal Goal → Matt Targett
26'
Benjamin Whiteman🟨
Yellow Card
28'
Tommy Conway⚽
Normal Goal → Luke Ayling
42'
Morgan Whittaker⚽
Normal Goal
50'
Jordan Storey🟥
Red Card
54'
Tommy Conway⚽
Normal Goal
58'
Lewis Dobbin🔄
Substitution 1 → Thierry Small
58'
Benjamin Whiteman🔄
Substitution 2 → Jordan Thompson
58'
Alfie Devine🔄
Substitution 3 → Mads Frøkjær-Jensen
60'
Matt Targett🔄
Substitution 1 → Samuel Silvera
61'
Aidan Morris🔄
Substitution 2 → Delano Burgzorg
61'
Tommy Conway🔄
Substitution 3 → Alexander Gilbert
74'
Hayden Hackney🔄
Substitution 4 → Riley McGree
76'
Jamal Lewis🔄
Substitution 4 → Andrija Vukčević
76'
Daniel Jebbison🔄
Substitution 5 → Michael Smith
82'
Jordan Thompson🟨
Yellow Card
85'
Adilson Malanda🔄
Substitution 5 → Finley Munroe

Match Statistics

8Shots on Goal1
4Shots off Goal1
16Total Shots4
4Blocked Shots2
8Shots insidebox4
8Shots outsidebox0
11Fouls19
8Corner Kicks3
3Offsides1
67Ball Possession33
0Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
1Goalkeeper Saves4
542Total passes263
487Passes accurate203
90Passes %77
2.83expected_goals0.38
-1goals_prevented-1

Tipster previews (5)

PajimonWon

Boro to Braai Preston at the Riverside

The pickMiddlesbrough win

Chance
65%
Odds
1.65
Model EV
+7.2%

Alright, my braai masters and beer lovers, let's get straight into it! We've got a proper Championship showdown here as third-placed Middlesbrough host sixth-placed Preston. This isn't just any match – it's a clash between a team chasing automatic promotion and one clinging to a…

Umery UnderdogLost

Can Preston Halt Boro's Promotion Charge?

The pickDraw

Chance
32%
Odds
3.50
Model EV
+12.0%

The Championship offers a fascinating clash at the Riverside as third-placed Middlesbrough host sixth-placed Preston. On paper, this is a top-six battle, but the narrative I love is the historical underdog. Preston may sit three places lower, but they've traditionally had the…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Middlesbrough

5W 1D 4L1.60 pts/game

Preston

3W 3D 4L1.20 pts/game

Per game

Middlesbrough at home vs Preston away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Championship

Overall edge
+68Middlesbrough
Venue edge
+100Middlesbrough
Rating period
Match snapshot
Middlesbrough versus Preston: long term Elo, before the match
MiddlesbroughHomeRatingPrestonAway
Strength
1,573Overall1,505
1,584Match venue1,485
1,584At home1,508
1,526Away1,485
Attack & defence
1,507Attack1,460
1,568Defence1,552
1,496Home attack1,447
1,524Away attack1,458
1,601Home defence1,551
1,511Away defence1,533
Match profile
1,402Goal environment1,360
1,292Home goals1,468
1,610Away goals1,392
1,534Possession1,481
Specialist ratings
1,545Set-piece attack1,453
1,544Set-piece defence1,454
1,548Close games1,481
1,585Winning margin1,509

Match venue compares Middlesbrough at home with Preston away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbroughUnknown

Starting XI

31Solomon BrynnG
12Luke AylingD
6Dael FryD
29Adilson MalandaD
3Matt TargettD
16Alan BrowneM
7Hayden HackneyM
18Aidan MorrisM
11Morgan WhittakerF
9Tommy ConwayF
23Leo CastledineF

PrestonPrestonUnknown

Starting XI

12Jack WaltonG
42Odeluga OffiahD
14Jordan StoreyD
19Lewis GibsonD
2Pol ValentínM
8Alistair McCannM
4Benjamin WhitemanM
21Alfie DevineM
18Jamal LewisM
17Lewis DobbinF
9Daniel JebbisonF