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Match analysis

EnglandChampionship

Watford vs Swansea

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Championship fixture.

Full time0:2HT 0–0

Match Timeline

7'
C. Burgess🟨
Yellow Card
53'
I. Louza🟨
Yellow Card
55'
M. Stamenic⚽
Normal Goal → Z. Vipotnik
59'
J. Fulton🔄
Substitution 1 → L. Cullen
59'
J. Eom🔄
Substitution 2 → Gustavo Nunes
65'
T. Ince🔄
Substitution 2 → K. Baah
65'
O. Maamma🔄
Substitution 1 → G. Chakvetadze
68'
J. Ward🔄
Substitution 3 → E. Galbraith
69'
G. Franco🔄
Substitution 4 → M. Yalcouye
76'
M. Doumbia🔄
Substitution 3 → N. Irankunda
77'
I. Louza🔄
Substitution 4 → N. Mendy
80'
Ronald🔄
Substitution 5 → J. Key
80'
J. Key⚽
Normal Goal → M. Stamenic
90+2'
L. Cullen🟨
Yellow Card
90+2'
N. Irankunda🟥
Red Card

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal6
7Shots off Goal3
17Total Shots14
5Blocked Shots5
7Shots insidebox9
10Shots outsidebox5
7Fouls11
5Corner Kicks8
1Offsides4
57Ball Possession43
1Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
4Goalkeeper Saves5
446Total passes326
350Passes accurate242
78Passes %74
0.9expected_goals2.7
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (4)

PajimonLost

Watford to Braai Swansea's Poor Away Form

The pickWatford win

Chance
55%
Odds
2.15
Model EV
+18.3%

Alright, my braai masters and football fanatics! Let's talk about the only thing that matters besides a perfectly cooked boerewors – winning. We've got Watford hosting Swansea in the Championship, and the data is telling a juicy story. Watford sits comfortably in 8th with 43…

Mr SimpleLost

Watford to Swat Aside Struggling Swans?

The pickWatford win

Chance
55%
Odds
2.15
Model EV
+18.3%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Championship clash. Watford at home to Swansea. On paper, it's a game the Hornets will be fancying, and the numbers back that up. Watford are sitting pretty in 8th, just outside the playoffs on goal difference but with a game in hand…

Value VinnyLost

Home Comforts vs Road Woes: Value Lies With Watford

The pickWatford win

Chance
50%
Odds
2.15
Model EV
+7.5%

The Championship serves up a classic mid-table clash with Watford hosting Swansea, but don't let the league positions fool you. The underlying numbers reveal a glaring mismatch in venue performance that the oddsmakers haven't fully priced in. My mathematical lens is focused, and…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Watford

4W 4D 2L1.60 pts/game

Swansea

4W 2D 4L1.40 pts/game

Per game

Watford at home vs Swansea away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Championship

Overall edge
+41Watford
Venue edge
+122Watford
Rating period
Match snapshot
Watford versus Swansea: long term Elo, before the match
WatfordHomeRatingSwanseaAway
Strength
1,524Overall1,483
1,558Match venue1,436
1,558At home1,530
1,449Away1,436
Attack & defence
1,482Attack1,457
1,537Defence1,528
1,480Home attack1,491
1,455Away attack1,426
1,575Home defence1,547
1,499Away defence1,505
Match profile
1,672Goal environment1,527
1,582Home goals1,480
1,590Away goals1,547
1,506Possession1,520
Specialist ratings
1,487Set-piece attack1,498
1,487Set-piece defence1,498
1,515Close games1,474
1,530Winning margin1,482

Match venue compares Watford at home with Swansea away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

WatfordWatford1:1

Starting XI

1Egil SelvikG
16Marc BolaD
39Edo KayembeM
42Othmane MaammaM
9Luca KjerrumgaardF
25James AbankwahD
10Imrân LouzaM
20Mamadou DoumbiaM
4Kévin Keben BiakoloD
7Thomas InceM
2Jeremy NgakiaD

SwanseaSwansea1:1

Starting XI

22Lawrence VigourouxG
14Josh TymonD
6Marko StamenićM
10Ji-sung EomM
9Žan VipotnikF
15Cameron BurgessD
4Jay FultonM
5Ben CabangoD
17Gonçalo FrancoM
25Joel WardD
35RonaldM