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Match analysis

EnglandChampionship

Stoke City vs Southampton

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Championship fixture.

Full time0:2HT 0–1

Match Timeline

10'
F. Azaz⚽
Normal Goal → T. Fellows
30'
F. Azaz🟨
Yellow Card
46'
S. N'Zonzi🔄
Substitution 1 → B. Pearson
46'
M. Talovierov🔄
Substitution 2 → B. Wilmot
46'
T. Rigo🔄
Substitution 3 → T. Seko
52'
F. Downes⚽
Normal Goal → R. Stewart
65'
L. Scienza🔄
Substitution 1 → K. Matsuki
65'
R. Stewart🔄
Substitution 2 → N. Oyekunle
71'
J. Stephens🟨
Yellow Card
73'
D. Peretz🟨
Yellow Card
74'
C. Jander🔄
Substitution 3 → S. Charles
78'
J. Bae🔄
Substitution 4 → R. Curley
83'
F. Fawunmi🟨
Yellow Card
90+1'
T. Fellows🔄
Substitution 4 → R. Manning
90+2'
B. Lawal🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal4
4Shots off Goal2
10Total Shots11
3Blocked Shots5
7Shots insidebox8
3Shots outsidebox3
8Fouls18
4Corner Kicks5
1Offsides3
52Ball Possession48
2Yellow Cards3
2Goalkeeper Saves3
474Total passes443
391Passes accurate351
82Passes %79
0.89expected_goals1.59
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (4)

PajimonLost

Stoke to Capitalize on Saints' Leaky Away Defence

The pickStoke City win

Chance
40%
Odds
3.00
Model EV
+20.0%

Listen up, braai masters and football lovers! We've got a proper Championship clash here between Stoke City and Southampton, and the numbers are telling a juicy story. Stoke sitting pretty in 10th with 42 points, while Southampton are languishing down in 15th with 37. On paper…

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceWon

Stoke vs Southampton: Defense Meets Struggle

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
62%
Odds
1.80
Model EV
+11.6%

A clash of paths, this is. One climbing, one stumbling. Tenth place Stoke City welcomes fifteenth place Southampton. Five points separate them, but in form, a wider gulf exists. Deeply, we must look. Stoke's recent journey, examined. Four wins, three draws, three defeats in…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Stoke City

4W 3D 3L1.50 pts/game

Southampton

2W 4D 4L1.00 pts/game

Per game

Stoke City at home vs Southampton away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Championship

Overall edge
+26Southampton
Venue edge
+28Southampton
Rating period
Match snapshot
Stoke City versus Southampton: long term Elo, before the match
Stoke CityHomeRatingSouthamptonAway
Strength
1,492Overall1,518
1,486Match venue1,514
1,486At home1,585
1,474Away1,514
Attack & defence
1,416Attack1,508
1,602Defence1,514
1,423Home attack1,547
1,415Away attack1,506
1,586Home defence1,573
1,565Away defence1,479
Match profile
1,308Goal environment1,637
1,402Home goals1,577
1,407Away goals1,560
1,517Possession1,531
Specialist ratings
1,535Set-piece attack1,522
1,534Set-piece defence1,522
1,464Close games1,510
1,507Winning margin1,520

Match venue compares Stoke City at home with Southampton away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Stoke CityStoke City1:1

Starting XI

25Tommy SimkinG
17Eric BocatD
15Steven​ N'ZonziM
7Sorba ThomasM
49Milan SmitF
18Bosun LawalD
19Tomáš RigoM
10Jun-Ho BaeM
26Ashley PhillipsD
29Lamine CisséM
40Maksym TalovierovD

SouthamptonSouthampton1:1

Starting XI

41Daniel PeretzG
34WelingtonD
4Flynn DownesM
13Leo ScienzaM
11Ross StewartF
5Jack StephensD
20Caspar JanderM
10Finn AzazM
6Taylor Harwood-BellisD
18Tom FellowsM
14James BreeD