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Match analysis

EnglandChampionship

Wrexham vs Millwall

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Championship fixture.

Full time0:2HT 0–0

Match Timeline

35'
M. James🔄
Substitution 1 → G. Dobson
51'
L. Cacace🔄
Substitution 2 → G. Thomason
57'
M. Cleworth🟨
Yellow Card
59'
M. Cleworth⚽
Own Goal
62'
M. Ivanovic🟨
Yellow Card
67'
M. Ivanovic🔄
Substitution 1 → J. Coburn
69'
B. Bannan🟨
Yellow Card
72'
B. Sheaf🔄
Substitution 3 → S. Smith
72'
L. O'Brien🔄
Substitution 5 → J. Windass
72'
O. Rathbone🔄
Substitution 4 → D. Keillor-Dunn
73'
B. Bannan🔄
Substitution 2 → T. Watson
82'
T. Watson🟨
Yellow Card
86'
F. Azeez🔄
Substitution 5 → L. Cundle
86'
J. Coburn⚽
Normal Goal → F. Azeez
86'
C. De Norre🔄
Substitution 4 → D. Mazou-Sacko
86'
A. Doughty🔄
Substitution 3 → Z. Sturge

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal1
7Shots off Goal4
16Total Shots6
4Blocked Shots1
12Shots insidebox6
4Shots outsidebox0
4Fouls9
5Corner Kicks2
1Offsides1
55Ball Possession45
1Yellow Cards3
0Goalkeeper Saves4
426Total passes349
329Passes accurate250
77Passes %72
1.53expected_goals0.53
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (5)

Mr SimpleLost

Top-Six Tussle at the Racecourse: Goals on the Menu?

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
65%
Odds
2.18
Model EV
+41.7%

Alright, folks, pull up a stool. We've got a proper Championship cracker this weekend as Wrexham welcome Millwall to the Racecourse. It's 6th versus 5th, with just three points separating them. This isn't just any old match – it's a six-pointer for the playoff places, and I…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Wrexham

6W 2D 2L2.00 pts/game

Millwall

4W 3D 3L1.50 pts/game

Per game

Wrexham at home vs Millwall away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Championship

Overall edge
+14Millwall
Venue edge
+12Wrexham
Rating period
Match snapshot
Wrexham versus Millwall: long term Elo, before the match
WrexhamHomeRatingMillwallAway
Strength
1,563Overall1,577
1,521Match venue1,508
1,521At home1,578
1,531Away1,508
Attack & defence
1,509Attack1,462
1,529Defence1,582
1,516Home attack1,461
1,487Away attack1,425
1,487Home defence1,595
1,544Away defence1,556
Match profile
1,513Goal environment1,173
1,528Home goals1,375
1,485Away goals1,298
1,492Possession1,484
Specialist ratings
1,492Set-piece attack1,508
1,491Set-piece defence1,508
1,534Close games1,624
1,571Winning margin1,568

Match venue compares Wrexham at home with Millwall away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

WrexhamWrexham1:1

Starting XI

1Arthur OkonkwoG
2Callum DoyleD
13Liberato CacaceM
27Lewis O'BrienF
19Kieffer MooreF
5Dominic HyamD
18Ben SheafM
20Oliver RathboneF
4Max CleworthD
37Matty JamesM
12Issa KaboréM

MillwallMillwall1:1

Starting XI

15Max CrocombeG
14Alfie DoughtyD
24Casper De NorreM
10Camiel NeghliM
9Mihailo IvanovićF
5Jake CooperD
8Billy MitchellM
67Barry BannanM
6Caleb TaylorD
11Femi AzeezM
4Tristan CramaD