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Match analysis

EnglandChampionship

Derby vs Swansea

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Championship fixture.

Full time2:0HT 0–0

Match Timeline

27'
P. Agyemang🟨
Yellow Card
44'
M. Stamenic🟨
Yellow Card
47'
R. Brewster⚽
Normal Goal
51'
M. Clarke🟨
Yellow Card
65'
L. Cullen🔄
Substitution 2 → L. Walta
65'
J. Eom🔄
Substitution 1 → Gustavo Nunes
67'
P. Agyemang⚽
Normal Goal → C. Elder
72'
O. Fraulo🔄
Substitution 2 → B. Clark
72'
R. Brewster🔄
Substitution 1 → L. Thompson
76'
B. Cabango🟨
Yellow Card
77'
Ronald🔄
Substitution 4 → M. Widell
77'
G. Franco🔄
Substitution 3 → M. Yalcouye
85'
M. Stamenic🔄
Substitution 5 → J. Fulton
88'
P. Agyemang🔄
Substitution 4 → L. Salvesen
88'
S. Szmodics🔄
Substitution 3 → J. Banel
90+5'
B. Brereton Diaz🔄
Substitution 5 → C. Morris

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal2
2Shots off Goal7
11Total Shots15
3Blocked Shots6
5Shots insidebox5
6Shots outsidebox10
15Fouls10
6Corner Kicks2
2Offsides0
28Ball Possession72
2Yellow Cards2
2Goalkeeper Saves3
217Total passes559
156Passes accurate489
72Passes %87
0.8expected_goals1
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (6)

Mr SimpleLost

Derby's Home Struggles Meet Swansea's Steady Ship

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
60%
Odds
2.01
Model EV
+20.6%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Championship clash. Derby at home to Swansea – it's a proper mid-table tussle, innit? The Rams are sitting 11th, the Swans are 15th, just three points between 'em. On paper, it's a coin flip, but the recent form book tells a different…

PajimonLost

Derby's Home Struggles Meet Swansea's Solid Defence

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
58%
Odds
2.01
Model EV
+16.6%

Alright, braai masters and football fanatics, let's talk about this Championship mid-table clash. Derby sitting in 11th with 45 points, Swansea just three points behind in 15th. On paper, it's a tight one, but the data tells a story that's as clear as a cold one on a hot day…

The Big "O"Lost

Derby vs Swansea: The Stage is Set for a Goal-Fest

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
52%
Odds
2.32
Model EV
+20.6%

Alright, let's get excited! Derby County host Swansea City in a Championship clash that has 'goals' written all over it for those who know where to look. As The Big O, I live for matches that promise action, and the data suggests this one could deliver the fireworks we crave…

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceWon

Defence Over Attack, The Path To Value Is

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
68%
Odds
1.67
Model EV
+13.6%

A mid-table clash in the Championship, this is. Derby County, eleventh with 45 points, hosts Swansea City, fifteenth with 42 points. Close in the standings, they are, but different paths they walk. Derby's recent journey, mixed it has been. Four wins, two draws, four losses in…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Derby

4W 2D 4L1.40 pts/game

Swansea

5W 2D 3L1.70 pts/game

Per game

Derby at home vs Swansea away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Championship

Overall edge
+13Derby
Venue edge
+18Derby
Rating period
Match snapshot
Derby versus Swansea: long term Elo, before the match
DerbyHomeRatingSwanseaAway
Strength
1,521Overall1,508
1,470Match venue1,453
1,470At home1,538
1,486Away1,453
Attack & defence
1,487Attack1,478
1,558Defence1,547
1,424Home attack1,504
1,492Away attack1,437
1,560Home defence1,557
1,538Away defence1,518
Match profile
1,518Goal environment1,530
1,457Home goals1,485
1,562Away goals1,545
1,472Possession1,519
Specialist ratings
1,469Set-piece attack1,508
1,470Set-piece defence1,507
1,490Close games1,474
1,534Winning margin1,516

Match venue compares Derby at home with Swansea away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

DerbyDerby1:1

Starting XI

31Josh VickersG
20Callum ElderD
29Oscar FrauloM
10Rhian BrewsterM
7Patrick AgyemangF
5Matthew ClarkeD
18David OzohM
19Sammie SzmodicsM
28Dion SandersonD
25Ben Brereton DíazM
23Joe WardD

SwanseaSwansea1:1

Starting XI

22Lawrence VigourouxG
14Josh TymonD
6Marko StamenićM
10Ji-sung EomM
9Žan VipotnikF
15Cameron BurgessD
20Liam CullenM
5Ben CabangoD
17Gonçalo FrancoM
30Ethan GalbraithD
35RonaldM