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Match analysis

EnglandChampionship

QPR vs Blackburn

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Championship fixture.

Full time1:3HT 1–2

Match Timeline

21'
M. Jorgensen⚽
Normal Goal → R. Morishita
35'
K. Saito⚽
Normal Goal → I. Hayden
36'
S. McLoughlin🟨
Yellow Card
38'
I. Hayden🟨
Yellow Card
40'
M. Jorgensen⚽
Normal Goal → S. Tronstad
46'
O. Afolayan🔄
Substitution 1 → L. Miller
50'
R. Morishita⚽
Normal Goal → S. Tronstad
54'
L. Miller🔄
Substitution 2 → H. Pickering
69'
D. Bennie🔄
Substitution 2 → A. S. Mbengue
69'
N. Madsen🔄
Substitution 1 → P. Smyth
69'
S. Cook🔄
Substitution 3 → R. Kolli
74'
A. Gudjohnsen🔄
Substitution 3 → Y. Ohashi
78'
H. Vale🟨
Yellow Card
79'
R. Norrington-Davies🔄
Substitution 5 → Esquerdinha
79'
I. Hayden🔄
Substitution 4 → K. Morgan
84'
R. Morishita🟨
Yellow Card
90'
R. Morishita🔄
Substitution 4 → A. Forshaw
90'
M. Baradji🔄
Substitution 5 → K. Montgomery
90+2'
E. Cashin🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal4
2Shots off Goal1
16Total Shots7
11Blocked Shots2
10Shots insidebox5
6Shots outsidebox2
8Fouls8
7Corner Kicks1
58Ball Possession42
2Yellow Cards3
1Goalkeeper Saves3
495Total passes376
365Passes accurate254
74Passes %68
1.32expected_goals1.52
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (4)

Mr SimpleLost

QPR vs Blackburn: Home Comforts for the Hoops?

The pickQPR win

Chance
55%
Odds
2.26
Model EV
+24.3%

Alright, let's have a proper look at this Championship clash. QPR at home against Blackburn – on paper, it's a mid-table side hosting a team deep in the mire. And the stats, my friends, tell a pretty clear story. QPR are sitting 13th, a comfortable 12 points above their…

Value VinnyLost

QPR vs Blackburn: Home Form Points to Clear Value

The pickQPR win

Chance
52%
Odds
2.26
Model EV
+17.5%

The numbers don't lie, and they're singing a very clear tune ahead of this Championship clash. QPR, sitting comfortably in mid-table, host a Blackburn side mired in the relegation scrap, and the statistical gulf between them—especially in recent form—is too wide for the…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

QPR

2W 5D 3L1.10 pts/game

Blackburn

1W 4D 5L0.70 pts/game

Per game

QPR at home vs Blackburn away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Championship

Overall edge
+63QPR
Venue edge
+28QPR
Rating period
Match snapshot
QPR versus Blackburn: long term Elo, before the match
QPRHomeRatingBlackburnAway
Strength
1,494Overall1,431
1,496Match venue1,467
1,496At home1,454
1,481Away1,467
Attack & defence
1,472Attack1,383
1,530Defence1,524
1,521Home attack1,421
1,404Away attack1,398
1,494Home defence1,523
1,553Away defence1,541
Match profile
1,557Goal environment1,545
1,715Home goals1,443
1,342Away goals1,602
1,482Possession1,501
Specialist ratings
1,501Set-piece attack1,514
1,501Set-piece defence1,514
1,488Close games1,462
1,501Winning margin1,420

Match venue compares QPR at home with Blackburn away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

QPRQPR1:1

Starting XI

13Joe WalshG
18Rhys Norrington-DaviesD
15Isaac HaydenM
14Koki SaitoM
22Richard KoneF
5Steve CookD
24Nicolas MadsenM
20Harvey ValeM
3Jimmy DunneD
23Daniel BennieM
37Ronnie EdwardsD

BlackburnBlackburn1:1

Starting XI

22Balázs TóthG
20Eiran CashinD
6Sondre TronstadM
21Oladapo AfolayanM
11Andri GuðjohnsenF
15Sean McLoughlinD
24Moussa BaradjiM
29Mathias JørgensenM
17Hayden CarterD
25Ryoya MorishitaM
2Ryan AlebiosuD