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Match analysis

EnglandChampionship

Watford vs Wrexham

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Championship fixture.

Full time3:1HT 2–0

Match Timeline

18'
Marc Bola⚽
Normal Goal → Giorgi Chakvetadze
38'
Edo Kayembe⚽
Normal Goal → Nestory Irankunda
46'
Nathan Broadhead🔄
Substitution 1 → Josh Windass
49'
Max Cleworth⚽
Normal Goal → Oliver Rathbone
64'
Oliver Rathbone🔄
Substitution 2 → Davis Keillor-Dunn
64'
Ryan Longman🔄
Substitution 3 → Issa Kaboré
71'
Pierre Ekwah🔄
Substitution 1 → Nampalys Mendy
72'
Nestory Irankunda🔄
Substitution 2 → Mamadou Doumbia
75'
Sam Smith🔄
Substitution 4 → Bailey Cadamarteri
81'
Giorgi Chakvetadze🟨
Yellow Card
83'
Giorgi Chakvetadze🔄
Substitution 3 → Formose Mendy
83'
Edo Kayembe🔄
Substitution 4 → Edoardo Bove
88'
Zak Vyner🔄
Substitution 5 → Jay Rodriguez
90'
James Abankwah🔄
Substitution 5 → Kévin Keben Biakolo
90+4'
Edoardo Bove⚽
Normal Goal
90+5'
Edoardo Bove🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal1
7Shots off Goal3
13Total Shots8
0Blocked Shots4
10Shots insidebox6
3Shots outsidebox2
13Fouls7
3Corner Kicks5
43Ball Possession57
2Yellow Cards0
0Goalkeeper Saves3
413Total passes529
327Passes accurate441
79Passes %83
1.97expected_goals0.35
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (5)

PajimonLost

Watford vs Wrexham Championship Preview & Betting Tips

The pickWrexham win

Chance
65%
Odds
3.32
Model EV
+115.8%

The Championship playoff race is heating up as we head into matchday 38. Wrexham sits in 6th place with 60 points, just one step away from the automatic promotion spots, while Watford languishes in 9th with 52 points. This fixture at Vicarage Road offers a clash between a team…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Watford

2W 4D 4L1.00 pts/game

Wrexham

6W 2D 2L2.00 pts/game

Per game

Watford at home vs Wrexham away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Championship

Overall edge
+95Wrexham
Venue edge
+4Wrexham
Rating period
Match snapshot
Watford versus Wrexham: long term Elo, before the match
WatfordHomeRatingWrexhamAway
Strength
1,490Overall1,584
1,538Match venue1,542
1,538At home1,528
1,446Away1,542
Attack & defence
1,453Attack1,524
1,526Defence1,522
1,461Home attack1,523
1,447Away attack1,492
1,568Home defence1,479
1,496Away defence1,547
Match profile
1,663Goal environment1,525
1,577Home goals1,540
1,587Away goals1,485
1,507Possession1,490
Specialist ratings
1,490Set-piece attack1,492
1,490Set-piece defence1,491
1,510Close games1,540
1,487Winning margin1,596

Match venue compares Watford at home with Wrexham away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

WatfordWatford1:1

Starting XI

1Egil SelvikG
16Marc BolaD
8Giorgi ChakvetadzeM
39Edo KayembeF
3Saba GoglichidzeD
17Pierre EkwahM
9Luca KjerrumgaardF
6Matthew PollockD
10Imrân LouzaM
25James AbankwahD
66Nestory IrankundaM

WrexhamWrexham1:1

Starting XI

1Arthur OkonkwoG
2Callum DoyleD
14George ThomasonM
33Nathan BroadheadF
28Sam SmithF
5Dominic HyamD
27Lewis O'BrienM
20Oliver RathboneF
4Max CleworthD
26Zak VynerM
47Ryan LongmanM