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Match analysis

EnglandChampionship

QPR vs Middlesbrough

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Championship fixture.

Full time0:4HT 0–1

Match Timeline

20'
D. Strelec⚽
Normal Goal → M. Whittaker
31'
D. Fry🔄
Substitution 1 → A. Malanda
66'
M. Whittaker🔄
Substitution 2 → J. Sarmiento
66'
D. Strelec🔄
Substitution 3 → T. Conway
68'
A. Browne⚽
Normal Goal
71'
K. Morgan🔄
Substitution 1 → P. Smyth
72'
H. Hackney⚽
Normal Goal → T. Conway
80'
J. Varane🔄
Substitution 2 → D. Bennie
80'
K. Saito🔄
Substitution 3 → J. Clarke-Salter
83'
H. Hackney🔄
Substitution 4 → A. Gilbert
83'
R. McGree🔄
Substitution 5 → L. Castledine
85'
R. Norrington-Davies🔄
Substitution 4 → Esquerdinha
85'
A. S. Mbengue🔄
Substitution 5 → T. Smith
88'
T. Conway
Penalty

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal7
3Shots off Goal7
9Total Shots16
3Blocked Shots2
8Shots insidebox14
1Shots outsidebox2
9Fouls3
3Corner Kicks8
1Offsides2
31Ball Possession69
2Goalkeeper Saves3
305Total passes710
226Passes accurate621
74Passes %87
0.63expected_goals3.68
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (6)

PajimonWon

Championship Goals Galore: Boro to Bring the Fire

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
60%
Odds
1.91
Model EV
+14.6%

Howzit boet! Pajimon here, fresh from the braai and ready to talk proper football – none of that vegetable nonsense, just meaty Championship action and cold ones. This weekend we've got QPR hosting Middlesbrough, and lemme tell you, this looks tastier than a boerewors roll at…

Umery UnderdogLost

QPR Can Shock High-Flying Boro at Loftus Road

The pickQPR win

Chance
30%
Odds
3.75
Model EV
+12.5%

Oh, what a delightful David vs Goliath clash we have brewing in West London! My little puppies QPR welcome the Championship's second-placed juggernaut Middlesbrough to Loftus Road, and while the league table might suggest a formality, I'm sniffing something far more interesting…

Mr SimpleWon

Boro to Keep Promotion Push on Track at Loftus Road

The pickMiddlesbrough win

Chance
60%
Odds
2.00
Model EV
+20.0%

Alright, listen up. We've got a proper Championship clash on our hands this Sunday as QPR host Middlesbrough down at Loftus Road, and if the numbers are anything to go by, the Rs are in for a tough afternoon. Let's not beat about the bush here – QPR are having a bit of a…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

QPR

2W 4D 4L1.00 pts/game

Middlesbrough

6W 2D 2L2.00 pts/game

Per game

QPR at home vs Middlesbrough away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Championship

Overall edge
+124Middlesbrough
Venue edge
+73Middlesbrough
Rating period
Match snapshot
QPR versus Middlesbrough: long term Elo, before the match
QPRHomeRatingMiddlesbroughAway
Strength
1,468Overall1,593
1,472Match venue1,545
1,472At home1,593
1,484Away1,545
Attack & defence
1,462Attack1,515
1,498Defence1,585
1,504Home attack1,488
1,415Away attack1,547
1,472Home defence1,628
1,539Away defence1,509
Match profile
1,573Goal environment1,403
1,718Home goals1,282
1,355Away goals1,622
1,481Possession1,543
Specialist ratings
1,508Set-piece attack1,529
1,508Set-piece defence1,529
1,488Close games1,563
1,464Winning margin1,607

Match venue compares QPR at home with Middlesbrough away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

QPRQPR1:1

Starting XI

13J. WalshG
18R. Norrington-DaviesD
14K. SaitoM
22R. KoneF
37R. EdwardsD
15I. HaydenM
21K. MorganF
3J. DunneD
40J. VaraneM
27A. S. MbengueD
20H. ValeM

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1:1

Starting XI

31S. BrynnG
3M. TargettD
18A. MorrisM
8R. McGreeM
13D. StrelecF
6D. FryD
16A. BrowneM
12L. AylingD
7H. HackneyM
2C. BrittainD
11M. WhittakerM