Mon, 6 Apr 2026, 11:30
Full Time

Match Timeline

9'
K. Anderson
Normal Goal → C. Bishop
17'
Connor Ogilvie🟥
Red Card
21'
C. Chaplin🔄
Substitution 1 → J. Williams
46'
Y. E. Konak🔄
Substitution 1 → W. Vaulks
46'
S. Long🔄
Substitution 2 → H. ter Avest
48'
B. Spencer
Normal Goal
59'
Brodie Spencer🟨
Yellow Card
61'
Will Vaulks🟨
Yellow Card
62'
Andre Dozzell🟨
Yellow Card
65'
Marlon Pack🟨
Yellow Card
66'
B. Spencer🔄
Substitution 3 → P. Placheta
78'
Michał Helik🟨
Yellow Card
80'
K. Anderson🔄
Substitution 2 → M. Alli
80'
M. Peart-Harris🔄
Substitution 4 → M. Harris
81'
W. Lankshear
Normal Goal → M. Helik
87'
A. Dozzell
Normal Goal → M. Alli

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal1
9Total Shots9
2Blocked Shots5
6Shots insidebox5
3Shots outsidebox4
6Fouls18
6Corner Kicks5
3Offsides2
43Ball Possession57
2Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves1
255Total passes338
185Passes accurate279
73Passes %83
0.93expected_goals1.35
0goals_prevented0

Starting Lineups

PortsmouthPortsmouth1:1

Starting XI

1N. SchmidG
3C. OgilvieD
21A. DozzellM
37K. AndersonM
9C. BishopF
6C. ShaughnessyD
7M. PackM
36C. ChaplinM
5R. PooleD
47G. CaballeroM
24T. DevlinD

Oxford UnitedOxford United1:1

Starting XI

1J. CummingG
15B. SpencerD
8C. BrannaganM
44M. Peart-HarrisM
27W. LankshearF
3C. BrownD
5Y. E. KonakM
33J. DonleyM
6M. HelikD
17S. MillsM
2S. LongD

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Portsmouth
Portsmouth
Form: D-L-L-L-D
Oxford United
Oxford United
Form: D-L-D-W-W
Record
2 W
2 D
6 L
3 W
3 D
4 L
Goals Per Game
1.1
Scored
vs
0.9
Scored
1.7
Conceded
vs
1.2
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
0%
Clean Sheets
20%
BTTS
70%
BTTS
50%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:0.3
Away:1.7
Conceded
Home:1.3
Away:2.0
Scored
Home:0.8
Away:1.0
Conceded
Home:1.2
Away:1.3

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1476
Average
1485
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1425
↓ Momentum (-51)
1478
↓ Momentum (-7)
Expected Outcome
32%
Home Win
34%
Draw
34%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1432
Attack
1418
1518
Defence
1526
Recent Form
1401
Attack
1379
1514
Defence
1530
Post-Match Changes
-2
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Portsmouth vs Oxford United Preview
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:2.05
Expected Value:+23.0%
Confidence:6

Life’s too short for nil-nil, and that’s the Big O motto! When it comes to the Championship, we’re hunting for goals, not dusting off the raincoats for a 0-0 snoozefest. Today’s fixture between Portsmouth and Oxford United offers some interesting signals for the Both Teams To Score market. Portsmouth’s recent form is a goal-fest in terms of defensive frailty. In their last 10 games, the Pirates have kept zero clean sheets. That’s a 0.00% clean sheet rate. Their recent matches have seen 70% of games end with Both Teams Scoring. They’ve conceded 17 goals in their last 10 outings, averaging 1.70 per game. While their home scoring has been sluggish (0.25 goals per game at home), their inability to keep a clean sheet is the key signal here. Oxford United presents a slightly more balanced picture. In their last 10 games, they’ve scored 9 goals and conceded 12, resulting in a 50% BTTS rate. Their away form shows 1.00 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. Crucially, the head-to-head record is a goldmine for goal-lovers. In the last 10 meetings, 7 out of 10 games saw both teams find the net. That’s a 70% BTTS rate historically between these two sides. The bookmakers have priced BTTS Yes at 2.05, implying a 48.8% chance. However, combining Portsmouth’s 70% recent BTTS rate, Oxford’s 50% recent BTTS rate, and the 70% H2H BTTS rate, the true probability sits comfortably around 60%. That gives us a healthy edge of over 10%. It’s not a guaranteed win, but it’s value that fits our style. Portsmouth’s home defense is leaky (1.25 goals conceded per game at home), and Oxford’s away attack is steady enough to exploit it. With both teams showing a propensity to concede and score, the action is likely to be on both ends. Life’s too short for nil-nil, so let’s bet on the excitement.

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