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Match analysis

EnglandLeague One

Bolton vs Port Vale

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this League One fixture.

Full time4:0HT 2–0

Match Timeline

31'
Amario Cozier-Duberry⚽
Normal Goal
36'
Xavier Simons⚽
Normal Goal → Amario Cozier-Duberry
46'
Jaheim Headley🔄
Substitution 1 → George Hall
46'
George Byers🔄
Substitution 2 → Ronan Curtis
54'
Ibrahim Cissoko🟨
Yellow Card
61'
Joel Randall🔄
Substitution 1 → Kyle Dempsey
61'
Ibrahim Cissoko🔄
Substitution 2 → Jordi Osei-Tutu
61'
Xavier Simons🔄
Substitution 3 → Aaron Morley
65'
Rhys Walters🔄
Substitution 3 → Ryan Croasdale
65'
Kyle John🔄
Substitution 4 → Ruari Paton
68'
Amario Cozier-Duberry⚽
Normal Goal → Mason Burstow
72'
Kyle Dempsey⚽
Normal Goal → Amario Cozier-Duberry
75'
Mason Burstow🔄
Substitution 4 → Sam Dalby
79'
Amario Cozier-Duberry🔄
Substitution 5 → Marcus Forss
80'
Cameron Humphreys🟨
Yellow Card
90+1'
Ruari Paton🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

10Shots on Goal4
3Shots off Goal3
15Total Shots8
2Blocked Shots1
12Shots insidebox8
3Shots outsidebox0
6Fouls11
7Corner Kicks5
1Offsides1
66Ball Possession34
1Yellow Cards2
4Goalkeeper Saves6
600Total passes299
517Passes accurate212
86Passes %71

Tipster previews (3)

PajimonWon

Bolton's BBQ Ready to Cook Port Vale

The pickBolton win

Chance
65%
Odds
1.73
Model EV
+12.4%

Ag man, this one looks like a proper braai where Bolton are the hosts with the most! Let me tell you, the Trotters are firing on all cylinders at home, winning their last SEVEN home matches. That's right, 100% win rate - they're more consistent than my weekend beer supply!…

Mr SimpleWon

Bolton's Fortress vs Vale's Travels

The pickBolton win

Chance
65%
Odds
1.73
Model EV
+12.4%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one. Bolton are absolutely flying at the minute, sitting pretty in 7th with 23 points, while Port Vale are down in 21st struggling on just 13. There's a proper gulf between these two in the table, and frankly, it shows when you dig…

Value VinnyLost

Bolton vs Port Vale: Value Found in Goals Market

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
60%
Odds
1.80
Model EV
+8.0%

The numbers don't lie here, and they're pointing toward value in the goals market rather than the straightforward match outcome. Let's break down the mathematical reality. Bolton sits 7th in League One with 23 points, boasting an impeccable home record - 100% win rate in their…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Bolton

8W 0D 2L2.40 pts/game

Port Vale

5W 2D 3L1.70 pts/game

Per game

Bolton at home vs Port Vale away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within League One

Overall edge
+173Bolton
Venue edge
+213Bolton
Rating period
Match snapshot
Bolton versus Port Vale: long term Elo, before the match
BoltonHomeRatingPort ValeAway
Strength
1,540Overall1,368
1,607Match venue1,395
1,607At home1,392
1,500Away1,395
Attack & defence
1,492Attack1,363
1,525Defence1,499
1,546Home attack1,408
1,461Away attack1,352
1,566Home defence1,473
1,503Away defence1,512
Match profile
1,607Goal environment1,547
1,570Home goals1,555
1,537Away goals1,492
1,518Possession1,496
Specialist ratings
1,550Set-piece attack1,517
1,548Set-piece defence1,516
1,565Close games1,381
1,530Winning margin1,364

Match venue compares Bolton at home with Port Vale away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

BoltonBoltonUnknown

Starting XI

1Teddy Sharman-LoweG
29Cyrus ChristieD
18Eoin ToalD
6George JohnstonD
25Max ConwayD
8Josh SheehanM
4Xavier SimonsM
19Amario Cozier-DuberryM
17Joel RandallM
20Ibrahim CissokoM
48Mason BurstowF

Port ValePort ValeUnknown

Starting XI

46Joe GauciG
22Jesse DebrahD
25Cameron HumphreysD
5Connor HallD
24Kyle JohnM
12Rhys WaltersM
7George ByersM
28Marvin JohnsonM
8Ben GarrityF
3Jaheim HeadleyF
44Devante ColeF