Skip to main content

Match analysis

EnglandLeague One

Exeter City vs Wigan

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this League One fixture.

Full time1:1HT 0–1

Match Timeline

24'
Callum Wright⚽
Normal Goal → Morgan Fox
31'
Jayden Wareham🟨
Yellow Card
46'
Akeel Higgins🔄
Substitution 1 → Jack Aitchison
53'
Jayden Wareham⚽
Normal Goal → Reece Cole
64'
Matthew Smith🟨
Yellow Card
69'
Fraser Murray🔄
Substitution 1 → Maleace Asamoah
77'
Jack McMillan🔄
Substitution 2 → Josh Magennis
84'
Luke Robinson🔄
Substitution 2 → James Carragher
90'
Jayden Wareham🔄
Substitution 3 → Edward Francis
90'
Reece Cole🔄
Substitution 4 → Kevin McDonald
90'
Christian Saydee🔄
Substitution 3 → Paul Mullin

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal7
3Shots off Goal3
14Total Shots13
7Blocked Shots3
11Shots insidebox10
3Shots outsidebox3
14Fouls7
8Corner Kicks4
2Offsides0
72Ball Possession28
1Yellow Cards1
6Goalkeeper Saves3
560Total passes222
478Passes accurate138
85Passes %62

Tipster previews (4)

Umery UnderdogLost

Exeter Ready to Bark Against Wigan's Travel Woes

The pickExeter City win

Chance
40%
Odds
2.90
Model EV
+16.0%

Oh, what a delightful opportunity we have here! The little puppies of Exeter City are being overlooked against Wigan, and I couldn't be more excited about the value this presents. Let me tell you why these underdogs have real bite! Exeter City might be sitting 18th in the table…

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceWon

Wisdom of the Draw: Exeter vs Wigan Battle

The pickDraw

Chance
35%
Odds
3.20
Model EV
+12.0%

In the grand tapestry of League One, two threads of similar fortune intertwine. Exeter City, 18th in the table with 16 points, and Wigan, 14th with 17 points - separated by merely a single point, yet worlds apart in their recent journeys. The Force of form flows differently for…

Value VinnyLost

Exeter vs Wigan: Home Win Value Spotted

The pickExeter City win

Chance
40%
Odds
2.90
Model EV
+16.0%

Let's cut through the noise and look at the cold, hard numbers. The bookies have priced Exeter at 2.90 for the home win, implying a 34.5% chance. My calculations suggest they've got this wrong - by a comfortable margin. Exeter's recent form tells an interesting story. Three…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Exeter City

4W 1D 5L1.30 pts/game

Wigan

2W 4D 4L1.00 pts/game

Per game

Exeter City at home vs Wigan away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within League One

Overall edge
+60Wigan
Venue edge
+34Wigan
Rating period
Match snapshot
Exeter City versus Wigan: long term Elo, before the match
Exeter CityHomeRatingWiganAway
Strength
1,440Overall1,499
1,479Match venue1,513
1,479At home1,522
1,449Away1,513
Attack & defence
1,406Attack1,405
1,542Defence1,592
1,455Home attack1,411
1,387Away attack1,450
1,552Home defence1,607
1,519Away defence1,573
Match profile
1,498Goal environment1,535
1,480Home goals1,408
1,518Away goals1,627
1,501Possession1,491
Specialist ratings
1,488Set-piece attack1,498
1,488Set-piece defence1,499
1,459Close games1,507
1,438Winning margin1,493

Match venue compares Exeter City at home with Wigan away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Exeter CityExeter CityUnknown

Starting XI

1Joe WhitworthG
26Pierce SweeneyD
5Jack FitzwaterD
4Ed TurnsD
14Ilmari NiskanenM
2Jack McMillanM
6Ethan BrierleyM
21Danny AndrewM
12Reece ColeF
17Akeel HigginsF
9Jayden WarehamF

WiganWiganUnknown

Starting XI

1Sam TickleG
3Morgan FoxD
4Will AimsonD
15Jason KerrD
21Raphael RodriguesM
17Matthew SmithM
6Jensen WeirM
19Luke RobinsonM
8Callum WrightF
7Fraser MurrayF
9Christian SaydeeF