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Match analysis

EnglandLeague One

Reading vs Stevenage

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this League One fixture.

Full time1:0HT 1–0

Match Timeline

4'
Charlie Savage⚽
Normal Goal → Daniel Kyerewaa
10'
Jeriel Dorsett🟨
Yellow Card
29'
Lewis Freestone🟨
Yellow Card
45+1'
Daniel Kyerewaa🟨
Yellow Card
56'
Jordan Houghton🟨
Yellow Card
62'
Chem Campbell🔄
Substitution 1 → Phoenix Patterson
62'
Gassan Ahadme🔄
Substitution 2 → Jamie Reid
62'
Lewis Freestone🔄
Substitution 3 → Dan Butler
63'
Paddy Lane🔄
Substitution 1 → Matt Ritchie
70'
Matt Ritchie🟨
Yellow Card
74'
Jordan Houghton🔄
Substitution 4 → Lewis Orford
75'
Jordan Roberts🔄
Substitution 5 → Daniel Phillips
79'
Daniel Kyerewaa🔄
Substitution 2 → Randell Williams
79'
Kami Doyle🔄
Substitution 3 → Mark O'Mahony
86'
Daniel Phillips🟨
Yellow Card
88'
Harvey White🟨
Yellow Card
90'
Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan🔄
Substitution 4 → Andy Yiadom

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal2
2Shots off Goal6
11Total Shots10
5Blocked Shots2
5Shots insidebox7
6Shots outsidebox3
12Fouls16
4Corner Kicks7
1Offsides1
49Ball Possession51
3Yellow Cards4
2Goalkeeper Saves2
332Total passes344
229Passes accurate248
69Passes %72

Tipster previews (6)

Value VinnyLost

Stevenage Offer Value Away To Struggling Reading

The pickStevenage win

Chance
42%
Odds
2.60
Model EV
+9.2%

The numbers don't lie here, and they're pointing firmly toward value on the away side. Stevenage sit pretty in 4th place with 26 points from 12 games, while Reading languish in 19th with just 15 points from 14 matches. That's not just a gap in the table - it's a mathematical…

Mr SimpleLost

Royals Look To Stall High-Flying Stevenage

The pickDraw

Chance
35%
Odds
3.25
Model EV
+13.8%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one. On paper, it's a classic tale of two teams heading in opposite directions - Reading stuck in 19th place with just 15 points, while Stevenage are living it up in 4th with 26 points. But as we all know, football's played on grass…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Reading

3W 5D 2L1.40 pts/game

Stevenage

6W 2D 2L2.00 pts/game

Per game

Reading at home vs Stevenage away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within League One

Overall edge
+29Stevenage
Venue edge
+91Reading
Rating period
Match snapshot
Reading versus Stevenage: long term Elo, before the match
ReadingHomeRatingStevenageAway
Strength
1,501Overall1,530
1,565Match venue1,474
1,565At home1,542
1,460Away1,474
Attack & defence
1,470Attack1,427
1,532Defence1,598
1,482Home attack1,462
1,488Away attack1,390
1,577Home defence1,600
1,476Away defence1,568
Match profile
1,600Goal environment1,357
1,508Home goals1,455
1,592Away goals1,402
1,500Possession1,491
Specialist ratings
1,478Set-piece attack1,509
1,478Set-piece defence1,508
1,519Close games1,515
1,493Winning margin1,535

Match venue compares Reading at home with Stevenage away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

ReadingReading1:1

Starting XI

1Joel PereiraG
3Jeriel DorsettD
10Lewis WingM
11Daniel KyerewaaM
9Kelvin EhibhatiomhanF
33Derrick WilliamsD
8Charlie SavageM
29Kami DoyleM
15Paudie O’ConnorD
32Paddy LaneM
2Kelvin AbrefaD

StevenageStevenage1:1

Starting XI

1Filip MarschallG
16Lewis FreestoneD
18Harvey WhiteM
20Chem CampbellM
9Gassan AhadmeF
5Carl PiergianniD
4Jordan HoughtonM
10Daniel KempM
15Charlie GoodeD
11Jordan RobertsM
2Luther James-WildinD