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Match analysis

EnglandLeague One

Port Vale vs Plymouth

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this League One fixture.

Full time0:1HT 0–0

Match Timeline

46'
Lorent Tolaj⚽
Normal Goal → Matthew Sorinola
59'
Ben Heneghan🔄
Substitution 1 → Jayden Stockley
65'
Law McCabe🟨
Yellow Card
69'
Jaheim Headley🔄
Substitution 2 → Ronan Curtis
69'
Brendan Galloway🔄
Substitution 1 → Ayman Benarous
69'
Owen Dale🔄
Substitution 2 → Joe Ralls
70'
Rhys Walters🔄
Substitution 3 → Funso Ojo
74'
Kyle John🟨
Yellow Card
79'
Matthew Sorinola🔄
Substitution 3 → Joe Edwards
80'
Lorent Tolaj🟨
Yellow Card
89'
Ayman Benarous🔄
Substitution 4 → Jamie Paterson
90'
Connor Hall🔄
Substitution 4 → Dajaune Brown
90+8'
Joe Edwards🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal2
7Shots off Goal1
13Total Shots5
3Blocked Shots2
8Shots insidebox3
5Shots outsidebox2
7Fouls15
8Corner Kicks2
3Offsides1
57Ball Possession43
1Yellow Cards3
1Goalkeeper Saves4
364Total passes288
246Passes accurate164
68Passes %57

Tipster previews (6)

Mr CertaintyWon

Relegation Battle: Low-Scoring Affair Expected

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
70%
Odds
1.85
Model EV
+29.5%

This League One basement battle presents a fascinating study in contrasting fortunes, with both Port Vale (22nd) and Plymouth (24th) desperately seeking points to climb away from the relegation zone. The data suggests this will be a cagey, low-scoring encounter rather than an…

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceWon

Battle of the Struggling Forces

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
58%
Odds
1.85
Model EV
+7.3%

In the grand tapestry of League One, two forces find themselves struggling near the bottom. Port Vale, sitting 22nd with 14 points, hosts Plymouth, who dwell at the very bottom with 13 points. The Force of recent form tells an interesting tale. Port Vale's recent journey shows…

PajimonLost

Bottom of the Table Clash: Vale to Sink Plymouth

The pickPort Vale win

Chance
60%
Odds
1.85
Model EV
+11.0%

Ag man, this is a proper six-pointer at the bottom of League One! Port Vale (22nd) host Plymouth (24th) in what could be a crucial relegation battle. Let me tell you, one team is showing some fight while the other looks completely lost. Port Vale have been decent lately, picking…

Mr SimpleLost

Vale Look To Pounce On Struggling Pilgrims

The pickPort Vale win

Chance
60%
Odds
1.85
Model EV
+11.0%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this basement battle down at Vale Park. Two sides struggling at the wrong end of League One, but one of them looks in a right old mess while the other's showing a bit of fight. Port Vale have been a bit up and down lately, haven't they?…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Port Vale

3W 4D 3L1.30 pts/game

Plymouth

2W 1D 7L0.70 pts/game

Per game

Port Vale at home vs Plymouth away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within League One

Overall edge
+168Plymouth
Venue edge
+128Plymouth
Rating period
Match snapshot
Port Vale versus Plymouth: long term Elo, before the match
Port ValeHomeRatingPlymouthAway
Strength
1,366Overall1,534
1,396Match venue1,525
1,396At home1,623
1,389Away1,525
Attack & defence
1,348Attack1,503
1,498Defence1,530
1,399Home attack1,513
1,345Away attack1,524
1,488Home defence1,590
1,499Away defence1,511
Match profile
1,543Goal environment1,693
1,547Home goals1,613
1,497Away goals1,580
1,491Possession1,509
Specialist ratings
1,517Set-piece attack1,501
1,517Set-piece defence1,501
1,384Close games1,579
1,358Winning margin1,514

Match venue compares Port Vale at home with Plymouth away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Port ValePort Vale1:1

Starting XI

46Joe GauciG
3Jaheim HeadleyD
8Ben GarrityM
17Ruari PatonF
5Connor HallD
12Rhys WaltersM
44Devante ColeF
4Ben HeneghanD
33George HallM
25Cameron HumphreysD
24Kyle JohnD

PlymouthPlymouth1:1

Starting XI

1Conor HazardG
22Brendan GallowayD
19Malachi BoatengM
35Owen DaleM
9Lorent TolajF
15Alex MitchellD
20Law McCabeM
11Bali MumbaM
2Mathias RossD
29Matthew SorinolaM
6Kornél SzűcsD