Tue, 9 Dec 2025, 19:45
League One
England
England
Full Time

Match Timeline

6'
George Johnston🟨
Yellow Card
13'
Rhys Oates🟥
Red Card
40'
Jordi Osei-Tutu
Normal Goal
56'
Marcus Forss🔄
Substitution 1 → Amario Cozier-Duberry
56'
Ethan Erhahon🔄
Substitution 2 → Josh Sheehan
63'
Kyle Dempsey🔄
Substitution 3 → Joel Randall
64'
Louis Reed🔄
Substitution 1 → Stephen McLaughlin
64'
Frazer Blake-Tracy🔄
Substitution 2 → Kyle McAdam
64'
Jamie McDonnell🔄
Substitution 3 → Nathan Moriah-Welsh
64'
Jordi Osei-Tutu🔄
Substitution 4 → Thierry Gale
75'
Will Evans🔄
Substitution 4 → Max Dickov
75'
Baily Cargill🔄
Substitution 5 → Ryan Sweeney
80'
Mason Burstow🔄
Substitution 5 → Sam Dalby

Match Statistics

1Shots on Goal5
2Shots off Goal7
6Total Shots20
3Blocked Shots8
2Shots insidebox12
4Shots outsidebox8
10Fouls10
3Corner Kicks5
25Ball Possession75
0Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
4Goalkeeper Saves1
222Total passes699
140Passes accurate642
63Passes %92

Starting Lineups

Mansfield TownMansfield Town1:1

Starting XI

1Liam RobertsG
6Baily CargillD
20Frazer Blake-TracyM
25Louis ReedF
18Rhys OatesF
23Adedeji OshilajaD
8Aaron LewisM
11Will EvansF
4Elliott HewittD
15Jamie McDonnellM
7Lucas AkinsM

BoltonBolton1:1

Starting XI

1Teddy Sharman-LoweG
25Max ConwayD
21Ethan ErhahonM
14Jordi Osei-TutuM
48Mason BurstowF
6George JohnstonD
4Xavier SimonsM
22Kyle DempseyM
18Eoin ToalD
24Marcus ForssM
29Cyrus ChristieD

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Mansfield Town
Mansfield Town
Form: D-L-L-L-L
Bolton
Bolton
Form: L-W-D-D-W
Record
3 W
3 D
4 L
6 W
2 D
2 L
Goals Per Game
1.4
Scored
vs
1.9
Scored
1.7
Conceded
vs
1.2
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
20%
Clean Sheets
40%
BTTS
70%
BTTS
40%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.8
Away:1.0
Conceded
Home:1.6
Away:1.8
Scored
Home:2.0
Away:1.8
Conceded
Home:0.2
Away:2.2

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1493
Average
1607
Good
Short Term Elo Rating
1503
↑ Momentum (+10)
1630
↑ Momentum (+23)
Expected Outcome
24%
Home Win
29%
Draw
47%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1507
Attack
1540
1461
Defence
1549
Recent Form
1515
Attack
1540
1435
Defence
1563
Post-Match Changes
-12
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Bolton To Continue Push Up The Table
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.62
Expected Value:+5.3%

Right then, let's get down to business with this League One clash! Mansfield Town are struggling a bit at the moment, sitting 16th in the table and looking a bit shaky. They've only managed 3 wins in their last 10 games and have lost 4 of their last 5 matches - that's not the kind of form that gets you excited for the weekend braai! Bolton, on the other hand, are flying high in 6th place and showing some proper quality. They've picked up 6 wins from their last 10 games and have been scoring goals for fun. Even though they had a shocker in the FA Cup against Swindon (4-0 loss, ouch!), their league form has been solid with big wins like that 4-0 hammering of Port Vale and a 1-0 victory over Cardiff who are top of the league. When you look at the stats, Bolton just look stronger all over the pitch. They're taking more shots, hitting the target more often, and keeping the ball better than Mansfield. The visitors are averaging nearly 2 goals per game while Mansfield are leaking goals at the back. Now, here's the interesting bit - these two teams have played each other 5 times before, and in EVERY single match, both teams have found the net. That's some pattern right there! Bolton's away defense has been a bit generous too, letting in 2.20 goals per game on their travels. Mansfield do have some fight at home though - they've won 40% of their home games this season and scored a decent 1.80 goals per game in front of their own fans. They had that brilliant 3-2 win against Harrogate in the FA Cup not too long ago, so they can definitely score. With Bolton pushing for promotion and Mansfield trying to climb away from the bottom half, I'm expecting a proper open game with chances at both ends. Bolton should have too much quality overall, but don't be surprised if Mansfield get on the scoresheet too!

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📝 Match Preview

Goal Fest Expected When Mansfield Hosts Bolton
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.62
Expected Value:+5.3%
Confidence:85

Alright, goal lovers! The Big O is getting excited about this League One showdown, and I've got my eyes firmly on the nets bulging at both ends. Let's break down why this match has all the ingredients for a scoring spectacular! Mansfield Town might be sitting mid-table, but their home games have been anything but boring. They're averaging 1.8 goals per game at their own patch, and recent results show they love a good goal-fest. We've seen a 3-2 thriller against Harrogate, a 2-0 win over Plymouth, and even in defeat, they managed to find the net in a 1-3 loss to Huddersfield. Most importantly, both teams have scored in 70% of their recent matches - that's the kind of consistency The Big O loves to see! Now for Bolton - these boys are on fire! Six wins in their last ten games with a tasty 1.9 goals per game average. Sure, they had a shock 4-0 cup loss to Swindon, but before that, they were putting six past Oldham and four past Port Vale. Their away form is particularly interesting for us goal enthusiasts - they're scoring 1.8 but also conceding 2.2 per game on the road. That's exactly the kind of defensive generosity that gets my pulse racing! But here's the real juice - the head-to-head record is absolutely perfect for our purposes. Five meetings between these sides, and BOTH teams have scored in EVERY SINGLE MATCH! That's 100% BTTS rate, folks! Three of those five games went Over 2.5 goals, with recent scores like 2-1, 1-3, and 2-3. When these teams meet, goals are virtually guaranteed! The goal expectancy models are projecting around 3.7 total goals for this fixture, which aligns perfectly with what we're seeing in the data. Mansfield's home games average 3.4 total goals, while Bolton's away encounters hit 4.0. We're looking at two teams that both know how to score and both know how to concede - my favorite combination! With BTTS Yes available at 1.62 and the perfect head-to-head record backing it up, this looks like a fantastic value play. The Big O is feeling confident about this one!

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📝 Match Preview

Mansfield Town Ready to Bite Back Against Bolton
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:3.70
Expected Value:+11.0%

Oh, what a delightful opportunity we have here! While most eyes will be on the high-flying Bolton Wanderers sitting pretty in 6th place, I'm looking at the little puppies of Mansfield Town with a big smile on my face. There's hidden value here that the masses might be missing! Let's talk about why Mansfield Town shouldn't be written off despite their 16th place position. Their recent form shows they can compete with the best - just look at that brilliant 2-0 victory at Luton (currently 7th in the table) and a solid 2-0 home win against Plymouth. Yes, they've had some tough results like the 3-0 loss at league leaders Cardiff, but that's to be expected when you're mixing it with the top teams. Now here's where it gets really interesting for us underdog lovers: Bolton's away form tells a different story than their league position suggests. While they're strong at home, away from their comfort zone they're conceding 2.20 goals per game! That's a defensive vulnerability that Mansfield's home attack (scoring 1.80 goals per game at their own ground) can definitely exploit. The head-to-head history gives me even more reason to cheer for the underdog. In their two meetings at Mansfield, the home side has won once and drawn once - that's a 50% unbeaten rate! And get this - in their last encounter back in January, Mansfield actually won 2-1. Both teams have scored in every single one of their five previous meetings, which suggests we're in for an entertaining affair where Mansfield can definitely find the net. Bolton's recent away form includes some worrying results too - that shocking 4-0 defeat at Swindon in the FA Cup and a 3-0 loss at Burton Albion show they can be vulnerable on their travels. With Mansfield's home advantage and their proven ability to score against good opposition, I see real value in backing the little guy here! Key Points: - Mansfield has 50% home win rate vs Bolton historically (1-0-1 record) - Bolton concedes 2.20 goals per game away from home - Mansfield scores 1.80 goals per game at home - Last meeting: Mansfield won 2-1 - Both teams scored in all 5 previous H2H matches - Bolton's recent away form includes heavy defeats (4-0 at Swindon, 3-0 at Burton) - Mansfield has beaten top teams (2-0 at Luton) Summary: While Bolton sits higher in the table, their away defensive vulnerabilities combined with Mansfield's decent home record and historical success in this fixture create a perfect underdog scenario. The odds of 3.70 for a Mansfield home win underestimate their chances based on the data, making this a value bet for those of us who love rooting for the little puppies!

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📝 Match Preview

Bolton Visit In-Form Mansfield in League One Clash
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.62
Expected Value:+10.2%

This League One encounter presents a fascinating contrast between Bolton's strong league position and Mansfield's recent struggles. Bolton sits comfortably in 6th place with 28 points from 17 games, demonstrating their consistency with 7 wins and 7 draws. Meanwhile, Mansfield Town languishes in 16th position on 22 points, having won just 6 of their 17 matches. The recent form tells an even clearer story. Bolton have been impressive in their last 10 games, securing 6 victories and accumulating 2.00 points per game. They've been potent in attack, averaging 1.90 goals scored while maintaining a solid defensive record with 4 clean sheets. Their recent performances include a commanding 3-0 victory over Bradford and a 4-0 demolition of Port Vale, though they did suffer a surprising 4-0 FA Cup defeat to Swindon Town. Mansfield's form has been concerning, with only 3 wins from their last 10 matches (1.20 points per game). They've been defensively vulnerable, conceding 1.70 goals per game and keeping just 2 clean sheets. Recent results include a 3-0 loss to league leaders Cardiff and a 1-3 home defeat against Huddersfield. Their only win in the last six games came in the FA Cup against Harrogate Town. The head-to-head record provides a crucial insight - both teams have scored in all 5 previous meetings between these sides. This perfect BTTS record, combined with current attacking and defensive patterns, suggests goals from both teams is highly likely. Mansfield average 1.80 goals scored at home, while Bolton concede 2.20 goals per game away from home. Venue analysis shows both teams have identical 40% win rates in their respective home/away fixtures, with both averaging 1.80 goals scored per game in these scenarios. Bolton's away defensive record (2.20 goals conceded per game) particularly stands out as a potential weakness Mansfield could exploit. Given Bolton's superior league position and form, they'll likely dominate possession and create chances, but their defensive vulnerabilities on the road suggest Mansfield will find the net. The historical head-to-head pattern of both teams scoring further reinforces this expectation.

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📝 Match Preview

Wisdom of the Force: Mansfield vs Bolton Battle
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.62
Expected Value:+5.3%

Hmmm, much to ponder in this encounter between the Stags and the Wanderers. The Force of form tells different stories for these two combatants. Mansfield, sitting 16th in the league table, have struggled recently with only 3 wins in their last 10 matches. Their path has been rocky indeed - defeats to Cardiff (3-0), Huddersfield twice (1-3 and 3-1), and Northampton (2-1) show vulnerabilities against stronger opposition. Yet at home, they have shown moments of strength, defeating Plymouth 2-0 and Luton 0-2 away. Bolton, positioned 6th with 28 points, have walked a more balanced path. Their recent form shows 6 wins from 10 matches, though a heavy 4-0 defeat to Swindon in the FA Cup reminds us that even the strong can fall. Important victories over Bradford (3-0), Port Vale (4-0), and Cardiff (1-0) demonstrate their quality. But away from home, they concede 2.2 goals per game - a weakness that the Force reveals. The head-to-head history speaks volumes: in 5 meetings, both teams have scored in every single match. This pattern suggests an open encounter where defenses may be breached. Mansfield average 1.8 goals at home, while Bolton average 1.8 on their travels - numbers that hint at goals. True wisdom comes from looking beyond the surface. Bolton may sit higher in the table, but their away defensive record (2.2 goals conceded per game) against Mansfield's home attacking output (1.8 goals scored) creates an interesting dynamic. The recent heavy defeat to Swindon may have shaken Bolton's confidence, while Mansfield, despite their struggles, have shown they can score at home. Remember, young padawan: form is temporary, but patterns in the Force often reveal truth. The pattern of both teams scoring in every head-to-head meeting cannot be ignored. **Key Points:** - Bolton sit 6th vs Mansfield 16th in League One - Both teams have scored in all 5 previous head-to-head meetings - Mansfield average 1.8 goals at home; Bolton average 1.8 away - Bolton concede 2.2 goals per away game - Mansfield have scored in 80% of recent home matches - Bolton's away form shows defensive vulnerabilities despite strong overall season The path to wisdom often lies in patterns that repeat themselves. In this encounter, the pattern of both teams finding the net seems likely to continue.

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📝 Match Preview

Bolton Travel To Mansfield In Goal-Fest Clash
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.62
Expected Value:+10.2%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Tuesday night tussle between Mansfield Town and Bolton Wanderers. The Stags are sitting in 16th spot with 22 points, while Bolton are knocking on the playoff door in 6th with 28 points - there's a clear quality gap on paper, but football's not played on spreadsheets, is it? Bolton have been the business lately, mind you. Six wins from their last 10 games, averaging nearly two goals per outing. They're scoring for fun at the moment. Mansfield, on the other hand, have been a bit up and down - only three wins in their last 10, and they've lost four of their last five across all competitions. That 3-0 hammering by Cardiff and that 1-3 home defeat to Huddersfield won't have done the confidence any good. But here's where it gets proper interesting. When these two have met before, it's been end-to-end stuff. Both teams have scored in EVERY single one of their last five meetings. Five out of five! That's some pattern, that is. Three of those five have gone over 2.5 goals too, so we're usually in for a bit of excitement. Bolton's away form is a bit weird, mind. They're solid as a rock at home (conceding just 0.20 per game), but on their travels they leak a few more - 2.20 per game. Mansfield at home are decent going forward (1.80 per game) but aren't exactly watertight at the back (1.60 conceded). The bookies have Bolton as clear favorites at 1.91, which makes sense given their league position and recent form. But I'm looking at that Both Teams To Score market at 1.62 - that looks tasty given what happens when these two meet up. Goal expectancies are suggesting around 3.7 goals in this one, which points towards a proper open game. Mansfield have seen both teams score in 70% of their recent games, and while Bolton are lower at 40%, that head-to-head record of 100% BTTS is screaming at me. Both teams have had similar rest too - three days since their last games - so no excuses there. Bolton got hammered 4-0 by Swindon in the FA Cup, while Mansfield drew 1-1 with Accrington. Sometimes a good hiding can wake a team up, sometimes it can knock the stuffing out of them. We'll see which Bolton turns up.

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