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Match analysis

EnglandLeague One

Stevenage vs Burton Albion

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this League One fixture.

Full time2:2HT 0–1

Match Timeline

22'
T. Shade⚽
Normal Goal → J. Beesley
46'
R. Doherty🔄
Substitution 1 → H. White
46'
J. Reid⚽
Normal Goal
60'
J. Armer⚽
Own Goal
67'
J. Beesley⚽
Normal Goal → T. Vancooten
68'
Dylan Williams🟨
Yellow Card
71'
D. Williams🔄
Substitution 1 → J. Newall
73'
C. Campbell🔄
Substitution 2 → B. Lubala
76'
Saxon Earley🟨
Yellow Card
90+3'
L. Thompson🔄
Substitution 3 → J. Pattenden
90+3'
P. Patterson🔄
Substitution 4 → J. Young
90+3'
J. Reid🔄
Substitution 5 → J. Malcolm

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal4
7Shots off Goal3
14Total Shots12
3Blocked Shots5
10Shots insidebox10
4Shots outsidebox2
6Fouls14
5Corner Kicks2
1Offsides1
60Ball Possession40
1Yellow Cards1
2Goalkeeper Saves3
388Total passes258
252Passes accurate132
65Passes %51

Tipster previews (3)

The Big "O"Won

Stevenage vs Burton: The Big O Smells Goals

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
46%
Odds
2.25
Model EV
+3.5%

Alright, let's get straight to the good stuff! Stevenage welcomes Burton Albion in a League One clash that has my senses tingling. On paper, this looks like a classic mid-table vs lower-half encounter, but dig into the numbers and you'll find some delicious contradictions that…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Stevenage

3W 3D 4L1.20 pts/game

Burton Albion

5W 2D 3L1.70 pts/game

Per game

Stevenage at home vs Burton Albion away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within League One

Overall edge
+70Stevenage
Venue edge
+71Stevenage
Rating period
Match snapshot
Stevenage versus Burton Albion: long term Elo, before the match
StevenageHomeRatingBurton AlbionAway
Strength
1,528Overall1,458
1,525Match venue1,453
1,525At home1,437
1,498Away1,453
Attack & defence
1,409Attack1,404
1,622Defence1,520
1,436Home attack1,405
1,400Away attack1,414
1,607Home defence1,509
1,591Away defence1,504
Match profile
1,330Goal environment1,570
1,442Home goals1,497
1,388Away goals1,573
1,480Possession1,490
Specialist ratings
1,505Set-piece attack1,483
1,504Set-piece defence1,483
1,498Close games1,473
1,537Winning margin1,452

Match venue compares Stevenage at home with Burton Albion away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

StevenageStevenage1:1

Starting XI

1Filip MarschallG
14Saxon EarleyD
33Ryan DohertyM
44Phoenix PattersonM
19Jamie ReidF
5Carl PiergianniD
4Jordan HoughtonM
23Louis ThompsonM
6Dan SweeneyD
20Chem CampbellM
2Luther James-WildinD

Burton AlbionBurton Albion1:1

Starting XI

24Bradley CollinsG
3Jack ArmerD
22Julian LarssonM
10Tyrese ShadeF
16Alex HartridgeD
4Kgagelo ChaukeM
9Jake BeesleyF
12George EvansD
19Dylan WilliamsM
5Terence VancootenD
15Kyran LofthouseD