Match analysis
EnglandLeague One
Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this League One fixture.
Louis Thompsonπ
Jake Reevesπ¨Lewis Freestoneπ¨Jordan Houghtonπ¨Callum MaycockπDaniel PhillipsπHarvey Whiteπ¨Jamie ReidπJovan MalcolmπOmar BugielπNathan Asiimweπ
The Big "O"LostThe pickOver 2 5
The festive fixtures roll on, and League One serves up a Boxing Day battle between AFC Wimbledon and Stevenage. On paper, it's a clash between a side struggling for home comforts and a promotion-chaser with solid away form. But for The Big O, the only thing that matters isβ¦
Yoda Mc Yoda FaceWonThe pickBTTS No
A puzzle, this match presents. On the surface, a mid-table clash between 13th and 4th. But deeper, we must look. The standings, a story of two tales they tell. Stevenage, in the playoff places with 35 points from 19 games, they sit. AFC Wimbledon, eight points behind with a gameβ¦
Mr SimpleLostThe pickStevenage win
Right then, let's talk about this Boxing Day cracker in League One. AFC Wimbledon welcome Stevenage, and on paper, it's a proper top-half vs mid-table scrap. But when you dig into the numbers, a clear picture starts to form, and it ain't a pretty one for the home fans. Firstβ¦
Value VinnyLostThe pickStevenage win
The maths doesn't lie, and the numbers are screaming one thing: Stevenage are being seriously underestimated here. On paper, this is a classic case of a top-four side visiting a mid-table team, but the odds compilers have priced both teams at an identical 2.75 to win. That's aβ¦
Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.
| AFC WimbledonHome | Rating | StevenageAway |
|---|---|---|
| Strength | ||
| 1,401 | Overall | 1,525 |
| 1,443 | Match venue | 1,498 |
| 1,443 | At home | 1,522 |
| 1,416 | Away | 1,498 |
| Attack & defence | ||
| 1,426 | Attack | 1,419 |
| 1,466 | Defence | 1,609 |
| 1,436 | Home attack | 1,444 |
| 1,427 | Away attack | 1,400 |
| 1,524 | Home defence | 1,595 |
| 1,443 | Away defence | 1,591 |
| Match profile | ||
| 1,468 | Goal environment | 1,335 |
| 1,507 | Home goals | 1,447 |
| 1,462 | Away goals | 1,388 |
| 1,485 | Possession | 1,483 |
| Specialist ratings | ||
| 1,480 | Set-piece attack | 1,510 |
| 1,480 | Set-piece defence | 1,510 |
| 1,434 | Close games | 1,497 |
| 1,385 | Winning margin | 1,533 |
Match venue compares AFC Wimbledon at home with Stevenage away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.
Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.
AFC WimbledonUnknownStevenageUnknown
