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Match analysis

EnglandLeague One

Burton Albion vs Northampton

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this League One fixture.

Match Timeline

3'
Jake Beesley
Penalty
23'
Jack Armer⚽
Normal Goal → Jake Beesley
28'
Max Dyche⚽
Own Goal
38'
Conor McCarthy🔄
Substitution 1 → Jack Burroughs
39'
Tom Eaves⚽
Normal Goal → Terry Taylor
44'
Tyrese Shade⚽
Normal Goal → Julian Larsson
46'
Jordan Thorniley🔄
Substitution 2 → Michael Forbes
46'
Sam Hoskins🔄
Substitution 3 → Elliott List
46'
Max Dyche🔄
Substitution 4 → Jordan Willis
51'
Ethan Wheatley🟨
Yellow Card
56'
Dylan Williams🟨
Yellow Card
59'
Terence Vancooten🟨
Yellow Card
73'
Dylan Williams🔄
Substitution 1 → Sulyman Krubally
75'
Jack Burroughs🟨
Yellow Card
76'
Ethan Wheatley🔄
Substitution 5 → Kyle Edwards
77'
George Evans🟨
Yellow Card
84'
Tyrese Shade⚽
Normal Goal → Sulyman Krubally
90'
Tyrese Shade🔄
Substitution 2 → Jamal Williamson
90'
Jake Beesley🔄
Substitution 3 → Zac Scutt
90'
Terence Vancooten🔄
Substitution 4 → Nicholas Akoto
90'
Julian Larsson🔄
Substitution 5 → Jack Newall

Match Statistics

8Shots on Goal2
1Shots off Goal6
15Total Shots13
6Blocked Shots5
11Shots insidebox7
4Shots outsidebox6
12Fouls8
5Corner Kicks7
0Offsides1
50Ball Possession50
3Yellow Cards2
1Goalkeeper Saves4
279Total passes277
171Passes accurate164
61Passes %59

Tipster previews (6)

PajimonWon

Boxing Day Goals on the Menu at Burton

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
65%
Odds
2.15
Model EV
+39.8%

Alright, my braais and beer lovers! We've got a proper League One Boxing Day clash here between Burton Albion and Northampton, and I'm smelling goals in the air. Forget the veggies, let's talk real football meat! Burton Albion sit 19th with 24 points from 20 games, while…

Umery UnderdogLost

Can Northampton Continue Their Burton Hoodoo?

The pickNorthampton win

Chance
35%
Odds
3.30
Model EV
+15.5%

The festive fixture list brings us a League One clash between two sides separated by just three points, but with a historical dynamic that heavily favours the visitors. Burton Albion, sitting 19th, welcome 12th-placed Northampton to the Pirelli Stadium, and the bookmakers have…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Burton Albion

4W 3D 3L1.50 pts/game

Northampton

5W 1D 4L1.60 pts/game

Per game

Burton Albion at home vs Northampton away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within League One

Overall edge
Level
Venue edge
+13Burton Albion
Rating period
Match snapshot
Burton Albion versus Northampton: long term Elo, before the match
Burton AlbionHomeRatingNorthamptonAway
Strength
1,461Overall1,461
1,437Match venue1,424
1,437At home1,489
1,456Away1,424
Attack & defence
1,417Attack1,429
1,511Defence1,545
1,405Home attack1,433
1,426Away attack1,422
1,509Home defence1,560
1,496Away defence1,501
Match profile
1,575Goal environment1,537
1,497Home goals1,440
1,578Away goals1,597
1,488Possession1,481
Specialist ratings
1,477Set-piece attack1,535
1,478Set-piece defence1,534
1,475Close games1,463
1,456Winning margin1,467

Match venue compares Burton Albion at home with Northampton away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Burton AlbionBurton AlbionUnknown

Starting XI

24Bradley CollinsG
5Terence VancootenD
12George EvansD
16Alex HartridgeD
15Kyran LofthouseM
19Dylan WilliamsM
4Kgagelo ChaukeM
3Jack ArmerM
22Julian LarssonF
9Jake BeesleyF
10Tyrese ShadeF

NorthamptonNorthamptonUnknown

Starting XI

34Ross FitzsimonsG
3Conor McCarthyD
35Max DycheD
15Jordan ThornileyD
7Sam HoskinsM
23Terry TaylorM
8Cameron McGeehanM
12Nesta Guinness-WalkerM
11Kamarai SwyerF
19Ethan WheatleyF
9Tom EavesF