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Match analysis

EnglandLeague One

Cardiff vs Exeter City

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this League One fixture.

Full time1:0HT 0–0

Match Timeline

53'
Alex Robertson⚽
Normal Goal → Dylan Lawlor
56'
Isaak Davies🟨
Yellow Card
57'
Isaak Davies🔄
Substitution 1 → Chris Willock
65'
Akeel Higgins🔄
Substitution 1 → Reece Cole
79'
Omari Kellyman🔄
Substitution 2 → David Turnbull
79'
Alex Robertson🔄
Substitution 3 → Joel Colwill
80'
Perry Ng🔄
Substitution 4 → Ronan Kpakio
80'
Jake Doyle Hayes🔄
Substitution 2 → Kevin McDonald
80'
Jack Aitchison🔄
Substitution 3 → Carlos Mendes Gomes
80'
Ethan Brierley🔄
Substitution 4 → Liam Oakes
82'
Liam Oakes🟨
Yellow Card
87'
Joel Bagan🟨
Yellow Card
89'
Calum Chambers🟨
Yellow Card
90'
Cian Ashford🔄
Substitution 5 → William Fish

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal1
3Shots off Goal1
13Total Shots9
6Blocked Shots7
7Shots insidebox6
6Shots outsidebox3
7Fouls12
5Corner Kicks4
1Offsides2
60Ball Possession40
3Yellow Cards1
1Goalkeeper Saves4
535Total passes349
469Passes accurate265
88Passes %76

Tipster previews (6)

The Big "O"Lost

Boxing Day Bonanza: Goals Galore Expected at Cardiff

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
62%
Odds
1.75
Model EV
+8.5%

The league leaders welcome Exeter City on Boxing Day, and if you're like me—The Big O—you're already licking your lips at the prospect of a goal-fest. Cardiff sit proudly at the summit, but their recent results tell a story of thrilling, end-to-end football rather than defensive…

Mr SimpleLost

Boxing Day Bonanza: Cardiff to Light Up the Goals?

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
70%
Odds
1.75
Model EV
+22.5%

Right then, let's talk about the Boxing Day fixture at the top of League One. Cardiff are sitting pretty at the summit, while Exeter City are down in 20th and looking over their shoulder. On paper, it's a mismatch, but football's never that simple, is it? Cardiff have been…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Cardiff

6W 0D 4L1.80 pts/game

Exeter City

5W 1D 4L1.60 pts/game

Per game

Cardiff at home vs Exeter City away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within League One

Overall edge
+114Cardiff
Venue edge
+118Cardiff
Rating period
Match snapshot
Cardiff versus Exeter City: long term Elo, before the match
CardiffHomeRatingExeter CityAway
Strength
1,557Overall1,443
1,541Match venue1,423
1,541At home1,506
1,521Away1,423
Attack & defence
1,526Attack1,415
1,519Defence1,554
1,544Home attack1,466
1,484Away attack1,383
1,493Home defence1,577
1,541Away defence1,512
Match profile
1,505Goal environment1,492
1,523Home goals1,475
1,482Away goals1,517
1,524Possession1,504
Specialist ratings
1,481Set-piece attack1,489
1,482Set-piece defence1,490
1,546Close games1,441
1,563Winning margin1,452

Match venue compares Cardiff at home with Exeter City away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

CardiffCardiffUnknown

Starting XI

41Matthew TurnerG
38Perry NgD
48Dylan LawlorD
12Calum ChambersD
3Joel BaganD
6Ryan WintleM
18Alex RobertsonM
45Cian AshfordM
8Omari KellymanM
39Isaak DaviesM
22Yousef SalechF

Exeter CityExeter CityUnknown

Starting XI

1Joe WhitworthG
26Pierce SweeneyD
5Jack FitzwaterD
20Luca WoodhouseD
14Ilmari NiskanenM
31Jake Doyle HayesM
6Ethan BrierleyM
2Jack McMillanM
10Jack AitchisonF
9Jayden WarehamF
17Akeel HigginsF