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Match analysis

EnglandLeague One

Doncaster vs Luton

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this League One fixture.

Full time1:1HT 0–1

Match Timeline

27'
K. Palmer⚽
Normal Goal → J. Clark
41'
Jordan Clark🟨
Yellow Card
60'
B. Hanlan⚽
Normal Goal → O. Bailey
66'
J. Sterry🔄
Substitution 1 → B. Close
66'
E. Lee🔄
Substitution 2 → H. Clifton
66'
D. van den Berg🔄
Substitution 1 → J. Richards
68'
Kasey Palmer🟨
Yellow Card
72'
Liam Walsh🟨
Yellow Card
73'
N. Wells🔄
Substitution 2 → D. Cole
73'
K. Palmer🔄
Substitution 3 → G. Saville
73'
E. Lawrence🔄
Substitution 4 → C. Bramall
90+4'
Robbie Gotts🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

7Shots on Goal2
8Shots off Goal3
17Total Shots9
2Blocked Shots4
13Shots insidebox6
4Shots outsidebox3
16Fouls11
5Corner Kicks3
2Offsides2
54Ball Possession46
1Yellow Cards3
1Goalkeeper Saves6
345Total passes290
225Passes accurate193
65Passes %67

Tipster previews (6)

PajimonLost

Doncaster vs Luton: Home Value Braai Special

The pickDoncaster win

Chance
42%
Odds
2.54
Model EV
+6.7%

Howzit my chinas! Grab a cold one and stoke the braai – we've got a lekker League One clash coming up on Tuesday night. Doncaster are hosting Luton, and if you're looking for value away from the veggies and salads, I've got just the ticket for this relegation six-pointer versus…

Value VinnyWon

Mathematical Edge Lies in Low-Scoring Affair

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
62%
Odds
1.89
Model EV
+17.2%

Value Vinnie has crunched the numbers for this League One clash between Doncaster and Luton, and the decimals are screaming one thing: goals will be at a premium. Doncaster arrive in 18th position, having collected just 39 points from 34 games. Their recent form makes for grim…

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceLost

When Defenses Crumble, Goals Will Flow

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
65%
Odds
1.90
Model EV
+23.5%

At the bottom looking up, Doncaster finds themselves. In 23rd place with just 22 points, a struggle it has been. Four consecutive league defeats they have suffered, conceding 4, 1, 5, and 4 goals in those matches. Like a dam with many cracks, their defense leaks. At home, 1.80…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Doncaster

4W 1D 5L1.30 pts/game

Luton

4W 2D 4L1.40 pts/game

Per game

Doncaster at home vs Luton away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within League One

Overall edge
+69Luton
Venue edge
+14Luton
Rating period
Match snapshot
Doncaster versus Luton: long term Elo, before the match
DoncasterHomeRatingLutonAway
Strength
1,433Overall1,501
1,462Match venue1,476
1,462At home1,604
1,418Away1,476
Attack & defence
1,435Attack1,502
1,476Defence1,538
1,444Home attack1,570
1,418Away attack1,473
1,501Home defence1,563
1,473Away defence1,529
Match profile
1,573Goal environment1,562
1,488Home goals1,562
1,585Away goals1,500
1,493Possession1,531
Specialist ratings
1,455Set-piece attack1,524
1,456Set-piece defence1,524
1,467Close games1,490
1,419Winning margin1,509

Match venue compares Doncaster at home with Luton away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

DoncasterDoncaster1:1

Starting XI

1Zander ClarkG
23Jack SeniorD
22Robbie GottsM
17Glenn MiddletonM
9Brandon HanlanF
5Matthew PearsonD
18Elliot LeeM
12Neill ByrneD
4Owen BaileyM
2Jamie SterryD
7Luke MolyneuxM

LutonLuton1:1

Starting XI

24Josh KeeleyG
38Joseph JohnsonD
32Emilio LawrenceM
54Kasey PalmerF
21Nahki WellsF
17Nigel Cello LonwijkD
18Jordan ClarkM
6Davy van den BergF
16Hakeem OdofinD
8Liam WalshM
25Isaiah JonesM