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Match analysis

EnglandLeague One

Plymouth vs Burton Albion

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this League One fixture.

Full time3:0HT 1–0

Match Timeline

21'
Brendan Galloway⚽
Normal Goal → Joe Ralls
29'
Alex Hartridge🔄
Substitution 1 → Nicholas Akoto
60'
Julio Pleguezuelo🔄
Substitution 1 → Mathias Ross
60'
Aribim Pepple🔄
Substitution 2 → Caleb Watts
63'
Mathias Ross⚽
Normal Goal → Lorent Tolaj
66'
Lorent Tolaj🟨
Yellow Card
67'
Bali Mumba🟨
Yellow Card
72'
Xavier Amaechi🔄
Substitution 3 → Matthew Sorinola
73'
Joe Ralls🔄
Substitution 4 → Brendan Sarpong-Wiredu
77'
Lorent Tolaj
Penalty
79'
Fábio Tavares🟨
Yellow Card
79'
Kyran Lofthouse🟨
Yellow Card
83'
Alex Mitchell🔄
Substitution 5 → Tegan Finn
90'
Julian Larsson🔄
Substitution 2 → Josh Taroni
90'
George Evans🔄
Substitution 3 → Jack Newall
90'
Fábio Tavares🔄
Substitution 4 → Zac Scutt
90'
Dylan Williams🔄
Substitution 5 → Sulyman Krubally

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal2
6Shots off Goal2
19Total Shots8
8Blocked Shots4
12Shots insidebox2
7Shots outsidebox6
7Fouls7
9Corner Kicks4
1Offsides0
66Ball Possession34
2Yellow Cards2
2Goalkeeper Saves2
514Total passes262
430Passes accurate165
84Passes %63

Tipster previews (5)

Mr CertaintyWon

Low-Scoring Affair Expected at Home Park

The pickBTTS No

Chance
72%
Odds
1.95
Model EV
+40.4%

As we approach this League One encounter between Plymouth and Burton Albion, the data paints a clear picture of two struggling sides who find goals hard to come by. With Plymouth sitting 21st and Burton 18th, this is a classic relegation six-pointer where caution often prevails…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Plymouth

5W 2D 3L1.70 pts/game

Burton Albion

3W 2D 5L1.10 pts/game

Per game

Plymouth at home vs Burton Albion away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within League One

Overall edge
+78Plymouth
Venue edge
+128Plymouth
Rating period
Match snapshot
Plymouth versus Burton Albion: long term Elo, before the match
PlymouthHomeRatingBurton AlbionAway
Strength
1,527Overall1,449
1,575Match venue1,447
1,575At home1,439
1,555Away1,447
Attack & defence
1,481Attack1,418
1,528Defence1,498
1,475Home attack1,415
1,529Away attack1,417
1,558Home defence1,503
1,536Away defence1,491
Match profile
1,692Goal environment1,583
1,612Home goals1,507
1,580Away goals1,577
1,502Possession1,488
Specialist ratings
1,472Set-piece attack1,485
1,473Set-piece defence1,485
1,581Close games1,475
1,503Winning margin1,445

Match venue compares Plymouth at home with Burton Albion away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

PlymouthPlymouthUnknown

Starting XI

1Conor HazardG
8Joe EdwardsD
5Julio PleguezueloD
15Alex MitchellD
22Brendan GallowayD
10Xavier AmaechiM
19Malachi BoatengM
32Joe RallsM
11Bali MumbaM
9Lorent TolajF
27Aribim PeppleF

Burton AlbionBurton AlbionUnknown

Starting XI

24Bradley CollinsG
15Kyran LofthouseD
6Toby SibbickD
5Terence VancootenD
16Alex HartridgeD
3Jack ArmerD
22Julian LarssonM
4Kgagelo ChaukeM
12George EvansM
19Dylan WilliamsM
11Fábio TavaresF