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Match analysis

EnglandLeague One

AFC Wimbledon vs Reading

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this League One fixture.

Full time3:2HT 1–1

Match Timeline

8'
M. Browne⚽
Normal Goal
30'
W. Keane🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Ritchie
33'
J. Marriott⚽
Normal Goal → K. Doyle
53'
M. Browne⚽
Normal Goal → O. Bugiel
65'
J. R. Dorsett A.⚽
Normal Goal
66'
P. Lane🔄
Substitution 3 → L. Fraser
66'
K. Doyle🔄
Substitution 2 → K. Ehibhatiomhan
69'
P. O'Connor🟨
Yellow Card
71'
M. Browne⚽
Normal Goal → C. Maycock
77'
M. Hippolyte🔄
Substitution 1 → Z. Nelson
84'
H. Roberts🔄
Substitution 4 → A. Yiadom
88'
O. Bugiel🔄
Substitution 2 → M. Stevens
88'
M. Browne🔄
Substitution 3 → A. Hackford
90+2'
R. Nkeng🔄
Substitution 4 → P. Bauer

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal2
3Shots off Goal2
11Total Shots8
3Blocked Shots4
10Shots insidebox5
1Shots outsidebox3
10Fouls11
5Corner Kicks3
2Offsides0
43Ball Possession57
0Yellow Cards1
0Goalkeeper Saves2
284Total passes402
178Passes accurate303
63Passes %75

Tipster previews (4)

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceLost

Reading's Wisdom, The Away Win Holds

The pickReading win

Chance
42%
Odds
2.80
Model EV
+17.6%

A clash of two mid-table League One sides, this is. Yet, in the recent tides of form, a clear difference, there is. AFC Wimbledon, 16th with 35 points, at home have won only 20% of their last ten games. Reading, 10th with 40 points, arrive with a record of five wins, four draws…

Mr SimpleLost

Reading's Red-Hot Form to Cool Off Wimbledon's Hopes?

The pickReading win

Chance
40%
Odds
2.80
Model EV
+12.0%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this League One tussle. AFC Wimbledon welcome Reading to their place, and on paper, it's a mid-table scrap. But when you dig into the recent numbers, a pretty clear picture starts to form. Reading are the form team, no two ways about it…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

AFC Wimbledon

3W 2D 5L1.10 pts/game

Reading

5W 3D 2L1.80 pts/game

Per game

AFC Wimbledon at home vs Reading away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within League One

Overall edge
+156Reading
Venue edge
+78Reading
Rating period
Match snapshot
AFC Wimbledon versus Reading: long term Elo, before the match
AFC WimbledonHomeRatingReadingAway
Strength
1,393Overall1,549
1,408Match venue1,486
1,408At home1,582
1,440Away1,486
Attack & defence
1,395Attack1,515
1,497Defence1,538
1,393Home attack1,507
1,435Away attack1,511
1,533Home defence1,569
1,466Away defence1,495
Match profile
1,442Goal environment1,617
1,483Home goals1,515
1,458Away goals1,602
1,488Possession1,504
Specialist ratings
1,470Set-piece attack1,460
1,471Set-piece defence1,461
1,415Close games1,542
1,382Winning margin1,553

Match venue compares AFC Wimbledon at home with Reading away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon1:1

Starting XI

1Nathan BishopG
30Junior NkengD
21Myles HippolyteM
11Marcus BrowneF
3Steve SeddonD
12Alistair SmithM
9Omar BugielF
6Ryan JohnsonD
8Callum MaycockM
33Isaac OgundereD
7James TilleyD

ReadingReading1:1

Starting XI

1Joel PereiraG
5Haydon RobertsD
29Kami DoyleM
7Jack MarriottF
3Jeriel DorsettD
8Charlie SavageM
27Will KeaneF
15Paudie O’ConnorD
10Lewis WingM
24Ryan NyambeD
32Paddy LaneM