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Match analysis

EnglandLeague One

Lincoln vs Bolton

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this League One fixture.

Full time1:1HT 1–0

Match Timeline

17'
F. Draper🟨
Yellow Card
22'
I. Varfolomeev🟨
Yellow Card
23'
E. Erhahon🟨
Yellow Card
25'
J. Moylanâš½
Normal Goal → R. Hackett-Fairchild
35'
K. Dempsey🟨
Yellow Card
45'
S. Dalby🟨
Yellow Card
60'
C. Blackett-Taylor🔄
Substitution 1 → I. Cissoko
61'
K. Dempsey🔄
Substitution 2 → J. Sheehan
65'
R. Apter🔄
Substitution 3 → J. Kenny
78'
J. Moylan🔄
Substitution 1 → T. Bayliss
78'
F. Draper🔄
Substitution 2 → B. House
79'
J. McAtee🔄
Substitution 4 → R. Rodrigues
79'
I. Varfolomeev🔄
Substitution 3 → R. Towler
82'
S. Dalbyâš½
Normal Goal → E. Erhahon
88'
J. Sheehan🟨
Yellow Card
90+3'
J. Kenny🟨
Yellow Card
90+4'
R. Street🔄
Substitution 4 → R. One

Match Statistics

9Shots on Goal3
7Shots off Goal3
21Total Shots8
5Blocked Shots2
18Shots insidebox5
3Shots outsidebox3
8Fouls10
3Corner Kicks3
4Offsides0
38Ball Possession62
2Yellow Cards5
1Goalkeeper Saves8
275Total passes443
177Passes accurate357
64Passes %81

Tipster previews (5)

Mr SimpleLost

Lincoln's Red-Hot Form to Topple Trotters?

The pickLincoln win

Chance
55%
Odds
2.50
Model EV
+37.5%

Alright, gather round. We've got a proper top-of-the-table clash here in League One. Lincoln, sitting pretty in second, host Bolton, who are third. Six points between 'em, but the form book tells a very different story to the league table. Let's not mess about. Lincoln are…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Lincoln

8W 2D 0L2.60 pts/game

Bolton

5W 3D 2L1.80 pts/game

Per game

Lincoln at home vs Bolton away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within League One

Overall edge
+65Lincoln
Venue edge
+99Lincoln
Rating period
Match snapshot
Lincoln versus Bolton: long term Elo, before the match
LincolnHomeRatingBoltonAway
Strength
1,639Overall1,574
1,614Match venue1,515
1,614At home1,622
1,553Away1,515
Attack & defence
1,559Attack1,474
1,584Defence1,564
1,537Home attack1,535
1,507Away attack1,445
1,600Home defence1,578
1,565Away defence1,534
Match profile
1,440Goal environment1,585
1,473Home goals1,568
1,467Away goals1,517
1,471Possession1,540
Specialist ratings
1,475Set-piece attack1,576
1,475Set-piece defence1,575
1,558Close games1,597
1,665Winning margin1,566

Match venue compares Lincoln at home with Bolton away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

LincolnLincoln1:1

Starting XI

1George WickensG
3Adam ReachD
14Conor McGrandlesM
17Robert StreetM
34Freddie DraperF
15Sonny BradleyD
24Ivan VarfolomeevM
10Jack MoylanM
22Thomas HamerD
7Reeco Hackett-FairchildM
2Tendayi DarikwaD

BoltonBolton1:1

Starting XI

1Jack BonhamG
6George JohnstonD
22Kyle DempseyM
35Corey Blackett-TaylorM
10Sam DalbyF
3Chris ForinoD
21Ethan ErhahonM
45John McAteeM
18Eoin ToalD
15Robert ApterM
14Jordi Osei-TutuD