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Match analysis

EnglandLeague One

Plymouth vs Cardiff

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this League One fixture.

Full time5:2HT 3–2

Match Timeline

15'
Omari Kellyman🟨
Yellow Card
28'
Lorent Tolaj⚽
Normal Goal β†’ Aribim Pepple
31'
Aribim Pepple⚽
Normal Goal β†’ Joe Edwards
33'
Omari Kellyman⚽
Normal Goal
34'
Aribim Pepple⚽
Normal Goal β†’ Wes Harding
37'
Caleb Watts🟨
Yellow Card
43'
Omari Kellyman⚽
Normal Goal β†’ Perry Ng
44'
Mathias Ross🟨
Yellow Card
45+6'
Gabriel Osho🟨
Yellow Card
46'
Caleb WattsπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ Matthew Sorinola
46'
David TurnbullπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ Rubin Colwill
62'
Joel ColwillπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ Callum Robinson
62'
Chris WillockπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ Cian Ashford
67'
Perry Ng🟨
Yellow Card
68'
Lorent Tolaj
Penalty
70'
Malachi Boateng🟨
Yellow Card
72'
Alex Robertson🟨
Yellow Card
76'
Perry NgπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ Ronan Kpakio
80'
Brendan Sarpong-WireduπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ Bradley Ibrahim
81'
Mathias Ross⚽
Normal Goal β†’ Ronan Curtis
85'
Lorent TolajπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ Xavier Amaechi
86'
Aribim PeppleπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ Owen Dale
88'
Joel BaganπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ Calum Scanlon

Match Statistics

9Shots on Goal6
5Shots off Goal5
16Total Shots18
2Blocked Shots7
10Shots insidebox10
6Shots outsidebox8
23Fouls10
3Corner Kicks8
2Offsides1
29Ball Possession71
3Yellow Cards4
4Goalkeeper Saves3
186Total passes463
119Passes accurate371
64Passes %80

Tipster previews (3)

PajimonLost

Cardiff to Maintain Unbeaten Run Against Plymouth

The pickCardiff win

Chance
48%
Odds
2.20
Model EV
+5.6%

Howzit boet! Saturday afternoon football is here and it's lekker weather for a braai and some cold ones while we watch this League One clash. We've got league leaders Cardiff travelling to Home Park to face Plymouth, and let me tell you, the stats are telling a story here…

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceWon

Goals I Sense, BTTS Value There Is

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
65%
Odds
1.62
Model EV
+5.3%

Top of the mountain, Cardiff sits. Unbeaten in ten matches, their path has been - six victories, four draws, zero defeats. Strong with this one, the Bluebirds are. But beware the Pilgrims of Plymouth, for dangerous when cornered, they have become. Six wins from their last ten…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Plymouth

6W 2D 2L2.00 pts/game

Cardiff

6W 4D 0L2.20 pts/game

Per game

Plymouth at home vs Cardiff away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match Β· within League One

Overall edge
+68Cardiff
Venue edge
+28Plymouth
Rating period
Match snapshot
Plymouth versus Cardiff: long term Elo, before the match
PlymouthHomeRatingCardiffAway
Strength
1,566Overall1,633
1,575Match venue1,547
1,575At home1,600
1,579Away1,547
Attack & defence
1,516Attack1,568
1,559Defence1,564
1,482Home attack1,576
1,552Away attack1,502
1,562Home defence1,540
1,560Away defence1,551
Match profile
1,702Goal environment1,515
1,615Home goals1,532
1,587Away goals1,483
1,492Possession1,541
Specialist ratings
1,492Set-piece attack1,520
1,492Set-piece defence1,519
1,584Close games1,583
1,560Winning margin1,652

Match venue compares Plymouth at home with Cardiff away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

PlymouthPlymouthUnknown

Starting XI

1Conor HazardG
8Joe EdwardsD
2Mathias RossD
15Alex MitchellD
45Wes HardingD
28Ronan CurtisM
19Malachi BoatengM
4Brendan Sarpong-WireduM
17Caleb WattsM
9Lorent TolajF
27Aribim PeppleF

CardiffCardiffUnknown

Starting XI

13Nathan TrottG
38Perry NgD
4Gabriel OshoD
12Calum ChambersD
3Joel BaganD
18Alex RobertsonM
14David TurnbullM
11Ollie TannerM
27Joel ColwillM
16Chris WillockM
8Omari KellymanF