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Match analysis

EnglandLeague One

Northampton vs Peterborough

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this League One fixture.

Match Timeline

41'
Jake Evans🟨
Yellow Card
44'
Tom Eaves⚽
Normal Goal → Tyrese Fornah
52'
Jimmy Morgan⚽
Normal Goal → Kyrell Lisbie
60'
Declan Frith🟨
Yellow Card
64'
Jimmy Morgan🟨
Yellow Card
69'
Declan Frith🔄
Substitution 1 → Cian Hayes
71'
Tom Eaves🔄
Substitution 1 → Elliott List
84'
Sam Hoskins🔄
Substitution 2 → Kamarai Swyer
84'
Harry Leonard🔄
Substitution 2 → David Kamara

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal4
3Shots off Goal2
11Total Shots11
2Blocked Shots5
8Shots insidebox7
3Shots outsidebox4
11Fouls11
5Corner Kicks2
9Offsides1
42Ball Possession58
1Yellow Cards2
3Goalkeeper Saves5
289Total passes416
192Passes accurate327
66Passes %79

Tipster previews (5)

PajimonLost

Northampton vs Peterborough Betting Tips & Preview

The pickPeterborough win

Chance
45%
Odds
2.50
Model EV
+12.5%

Howzit my bru! It's that time of the week again - time to put down the braai tongs, grab a cold Castle Lager, and check out the football action. This Saturday we've got a proper League One scrap as Northampton host Peterborough, and let me tell you, the only vegetables I want to…

Umery UnderdogLost

Cobblers Can Bite: Northampton Value Against Posh

The pickNorthampton win

Chance
42%
Odds
2.50
Model EV
+5.0%

Northampton Town might be languishing in 22nd place, but this is exactly the kind of scenario where us underdog lovers start getting excited! The Cobblers welcome mid-table Peterborough to Sixfields as the forgotten puppies of League One, priced at a tempting 2.50 to claim three…

Value VinnyLost

Peterborough Value Too Good to Ignore at Sixfields

The pickPeterborough win

Chance
43%
Odds
2.50
Model EV
+7.5%

Value Vinnie here, and I've spotted a mathematical edge that the odds compilers have overlooked. This League One clash pits a struggling Northampton side against a Peterborough team with playoff pretensions, yet the market has priced this as a genuine coin flip at 2.50 the pair…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Northampton

2W 2D 6L0.80 pts/game

Peterborough

4W 1D 5L1.30 pts/game

Per game

Northampton at home vs Peterborough away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within League One

Overall edge
+110Peterborough
Venue edge
+34Peterborough
Rating period
Match snapshot
Northampton versus Peterborough: long term Elo, before the match
NorthamptonHomeRatingPeterboroughAway
Strength
1,378Overall1,488
1,451Match venue1,484
1,451At home1,526
1,397Away1,484
Attack & defence
1,380Attack1,515
1,503Defence1,493
1,418Home attack1,545
1,387Away attack1,477
1,543Home defence1,508
1,485Away defence1,495
Match profile
1,533Goal environment2,160
1,433Home goals1,872
1,600Away goals1,788
1,470Possession1,522
Specialist ratings
1,513Set-piece attack1,481
1,513Set-piece defence1,481
1,414Close games1,475
1,368Winning margin1,495

Match venue compares Northampton at home with Peterborough away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

NorthamptonNorthamptonUnknown

Starting XI

1Lee BurgeG
2Jack BurroughsD
24Elliott MooreD
18Michael ForbesD
21Jack PerkinsD
23Terry TaylorM
4Dean CampbellM
15Jake EvansM
14Tyrese FornahM
7Sam HoskinsM
9Tom EavesF

PeterboroughPeterboroughUnknown

Starting XI

1Alex BassG
33James DornellyD
30Peter KiosoD
26David OkagbueD
2Carl JohnstonD
4Archie CollinsM
8Brandon KhelaM
11Declan FrithM
24Jimmy MorganM
17Kyrell LisbieM
27Harry LeonardF