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Match analysis

EnglandLeague One

Burton Albion vs Stevenage

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this League One fixture.

Full time0:1HT 0–1

Match Timeline

44'
Jamie Reid⚽
Normal Goal → Daniel Phillips
49'
Harvey White🟨
Yellow Card
67'
Kgagelo Chauke🔄
Substitution 1 → Sulyman Krubally
68'
Alex Hartridge🔄
Substitution 2 → Kain Adom
68'
Andy Cannon🔄
Substitution 3 → Julian Larsson
69'
Carl Piergianni🟨
Yellow Card
72'
Jake Beesley🟨
Yellow Card
80'
Matt Phillips🔄
Substitution 1 → Beryly Lubala
80'
Louis Thompson🔄
Substitution 2 → Jordan Houghton
80'
Jamie Reid🔄
Substitution 3 → Jordan Roberts
81'
George Evans🔄
Substitution 4 → Fábio Tavares
90'
Jasper Pattenden🔄
Substitution 4 → Dan Sweeney
90'
Daniel Phillips🔄
Substitution 5 → Daniel Kemp
90+4'
Jordan Houghton🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

1Shots on Goal6
2Shots off Goal4
5Total Shots10
2Blocked Shots0
3Shots insidebox6
2Shots outsidebox4
8Fouls13
9Corner Kicks5
0Offsides4
58Ball Possession42
1Yellow Cards3
5Goalkeeper Saves1
412Total passes303
269Passes accurate187
65Passes %62

Tipster previews (4)

The Big "O"Lost

Stevenage's Away Woes Set Up a Big O Spectacle

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
55%
Odds
2.40
Model EV
+32.0%

The Big O is back, and let me tell you, I've been absolutely gagging for some action after watching Stevenage's recent away performances. When a side is shipping goals like they're going out of fashion on the road, my eyes light up at the potential for a proper goal-fest that…

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceLost

Home Fortress Must Hold, The

The pickBurton Albion win

Chance
40%
Odds
2.80
Model EV
+12.0%

Hmm, difficult to see, the future is. But analyze the data, we must. Burton Albion against Stevenage, a clash of positions it appears, yet deeper meaning lies within the numbers. Seventeenth sit the hosts, forty points from thirty-five games they have gathered. Ninth sit the…

Value VinnyLost

Burton 2.80 A Gift Against Away-Day Disasters

The pickBurton Albion win

Chance
45%
Odds
2.80
Model EV
+26.0%

The odds compilers have made a rare miscalculation here, pricing Stevenage as favorites (2.50) despite them possessing one of the most alarming away records in the division. Value hunters, sharpen your pencils—Burton at 2.80 is a mathematical gift we cannot ignore. Let's examine…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Burton Albion

2W 5D 3L1.10 pts/game

Stevenage

4W 2D 4L1.40 pts/game

Per game

Burton Albion at home vs Stevenage away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within League One

Overall edge
+43Stevenage
Venue edge
+35Burton Albion
Rating period
Match snapshot
Burton Albion versus Stevenage: long term Elo, before the match
Burton AlbionHomeRatingStevenageAway
Strength
1,452Overall1,495
1,471Match venue1,435
1,471At home1,563
1,426Away1,435
Attack & defence
1,449Attack1,410
1,485Defence1,555
1,461Home attack1,442
1,415Away attack1,389
1,519Home defence1,620
1,464Away defence1,516
Match profile
1,600Goal environment1,328
1,515Home goals1,428
1,585Away goals1,400
1,485Possession1,483
Specialist ratings
1,502Set-piece attack1,537
1,502Set-piece defence1,536
1,457Close games1,533
1,454Winning margin1,479

Match venue compares Burton Albion at home with Stevenage away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Burton AlbionBurton Albion1:1

Starting XI

24Bradley CollinsG
16Alex HartridgeD
6Toby SibbickM
42Andy CannonF
10Tyrese ShadeF
5Terence VancootenD
12George EvansM
9Jake BeesleyF
2Udoka Godwin-MalifeD
4Kgagelo ChaukeM
15Kyran LofthouseM

StevenageStevenage1:1

Starting XI

1Filip MarschallG
5Carl PiergianniD
14Saxon EarleyM
8Daniel PhillipsF
19Jamie ReidF
15Charlie GoodeD
18Harvey WhiteM
25Matt PhillipsF
2Luther James-WildinD
23Louis ThompsonM
17Jasper PattendenM