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Match analysis

EnglandLeague One

Northampton vs Burton Albion

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this League One fixture.

Match Timeline

13'
Terry Taylor🟨
Yellow Card
20'
Cameron McGeehan🟨
Yellow Card
32'
J. Beesley⚽
Normal Goal
64'
J. Vale🔄
Substitution 1 → T. Eaves
64'
S. Hoskins🔄
Substitution 2 → K. Swyer
65'
T. Taylor🔄
Substitution 3 → T. Fornah
68'
A. Cannon🔄
Substitution 1 → D. Williams
70'
Bradley Collins🟨
Yellow Card
83'
D. Campbell🔄
Substitution 4 → M. Jacobs
83'
M. Forbes🔄
Substitution 5 → J. Perkins
86'
Kgagelo Chauke🟨
Yellow Card
87'
K. Chauke🔄
Substitution 2 → J. J. McKiernan
87'
T. Shade🔄
Substitution 3 → K. Adom
89'
K. Lofthouse⚽
Normal Goal

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal4
4Shots off Goal4
9Total Shots12
3Blocked Shots4
7Shots insidebox9
2Shots outsidebox3
15Fouls6
7Corner Kicks4
1Offsides3
58Ball Possession42
2Yellow Cards2
1Goalkeeper Saves2
423Total passes305
319Passes accurate204
75Passes %67

Tipster previews (4)

PajimonWon

League One Relegation Scrap: Under 2.5 the Value Play

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
60%
Odds
1.73
Model EV
+3.8%

Howzit my bru! Grab a cold one and stoke the braai because this Saturday we've got a proper relegation six-pointer at Sixfields that could decide who drops into the abyss. Northampton Town are in deep trouble sitting 23rd in League One with just 35 points from 36 games, while…

Umery UnderdogLost

Northampton at 2.62: Value in the Basement Boys

The pickNorthampton win

Chance
42%
Odds
2.62
Model EV
+10.0%

Oh, what a treat we have here, my fellow puppy supporters! While the world looks at the table and sees Northampton languishing in 23rd place with just 35 points, I see a beautiful little underdog with their ears perked up and ready to bite! Burton Albion may sit five points and…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Northampton

2W 3D 5L0.90 pts/game

Burton Albion

2W 5D 3L1.10 pts/game

Per game

Northampton at home vs Burton Albion away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within League One

Overall edge
+69Burton Albion
Venue edge
+26Northampton
Rating period
Match snapshot
Northampton versus Burton Albion: long term Elo, before the match
NorthamptonHomeRatingBurton AlbionAway
Strength
1,369Overall1,438
1,452Match venue1,426
1,452At home1,457
1,386Away1,426
Attack & defence
1,368Attack1,438
1,512Defence1,487
1,416Home attack1,448
1,377Away attack1,415
1,545Home defence1,519
1,488Away defence1,464
Match profile
1,527Goal environment1,595
1,432Home goals1,510
1,595Away goals1,585
1,470Possession1,487
Specialist ratings
1,514Set-piece attack1,508
1,514Set-piece defence1,507
1,403Close games1,446
1,360Winning margin1,439

Match venue compares Northampton at home with Burton Albion away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

NorthamptonNorthampton1:1

Starting XI

1L. BurgeG
12N. Guinness-WalkerD
4D. CampbellM
27J. ValeF
18M. ForbesD
23T. TaylorM
15J. EvansF
24E. MooreD
8C. McGeehanM
35M. DycheD
7S. HoskinsM

Burton AlbionBurton Albion1:1

Starting XI

24B. CollinsG
16A. HartridgeD
6T. SibbickM
42A. CannonF
10T. ShadeF
18J. MoonD
12G. EvansM
9J. BeesleyF
2U. Godwin-MalifeD
4K. ChaukeM
15K. LofthouseM