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Match analysis

EnglandLeague One

Wigan vs Bradford

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this League One fixture.

Full time2:0HT 1–0

Match Timeline

20'
C. Vickers⚽
Normal Goal → F. Murray
31'
Will Aimson🟨
Yellow Card
39'
Jason Kerr🟨
Yellow Card
46'
E. Wheatley🔄
Substitution 1 → P. Mullin
46'
A. Sarcevic🔄
Substitution 2 → W. Swan
46'
B. Pointon🔄
Substitution 3 → S. Humphrys
59'
C. Vickers🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Smith
66'
Ibou Touray🟨
Yellow Card
68'
Jensen Weir🟨
Yellow Card
75'
M. Pennington🔄
Substitution 4 → H. Ashby
78'
J. Taylor⚽
Normal Goal → C. Wright
82'
Raphael Rodrigues🟨
Yellow Card
85'
O. Moxon🔄
Substitution 2 → C. Saydee
90'
C. Llyton🔄
Substitution 4 → L. Robinson
90+1'
J. Taylor🔄
Substitution 3 → J. Hungbo
90+5'
Harrison Ashby🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal2
1Shots off Goal5
5Total Shots7
1Blocked Shots1
4Shots insidebox5
1Shots outsidebox2
16Fouls16
2Corner Kicks2
1Offsides2
36Ball Possession64
4Yellow Cards2
2Goalkeeper Saves1
250Total passes450
128Passes accurate301
51Passes %67

Tipster previews (2)

Value VinnyWon

Wigan Home Value Against Bradford's Away Day Blues

The pickWigan win

Chance
45%
Odds
2.50
Model EV
+12.5%

The market has fallen for the table. Bradford sit fourth in League One, chasing promotion, while Wigan languish in 21st. The odds compilers have priced this as a near coin-flip, with Bradford slight favourites at 2.62 and Wigan available at 2.50. But I don't read league tables—I…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Wigan

2W 1D 7L0.70 pts/game

Bradford

6W 0D 4L1.80 pts/game

Per game

Wigan at home vs Bradford away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within League One

Overall edge
+82Bradford
Venue edge
+67Wigan
Rating period
Match snapshot
Wigan versus Bradford: long term Elo, before the match
WiganHomeRatingBradfordAway
Strength
1,443Overall1,525
1,493Match venue1,425
1,493At home1,588
1,479Away1,425
Attack & defence
1,391Attack1,446
1,540Defence1,547
1,366Home attack1,479
1,463Away attack1,423
1,603Home defence1,601
1,523Away defence1,471
Match profile
1,527Goal environment1,397
1,375Home goals1,452
1,652Away goals1,445
1,482Possession1,501
Specialist ratings
1,479Set-piece attack1,526
1,479Set-piece defence1,525
1,489Close games1,541
1,423Winning margin1,516

Match venue compares Wigan at home with Bradford away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

WiganWigan1:1

Starting XI

1S. TickleG
45C. LlytonD
7F. MurrayM
8C. WrightF
10J. TaylorF
4W. AimsonD
33O. MoxonM
25C. VickersF
15J. KerrD
6J. WeirM
21R. Borges RodriguesM

BradfordBradford1:1

Starting XI

1S. WalkerG
3I. TourayD
17T. WrightM
23B. PointonF
27E. WheatleyF
26C. TiltD
6M. PowerM
10A. SarcevicF
28M. PenningtonD
21J. Metcalfe3:3
7J. NeufvilleM