Sat, 21 Mar 2026, 15:00
League One
England
England
Full Time

Match Timeline

12'
Sean Roughan🟨
Yellow Card
18'
Conor Hazard🟨
Yellow Card
18'
Bali Mumba🟨
Yellow Card
25'
Cameron Humphreys⚽
Normal Goal β†’ Alfie May
44'
Owen Dale🟨
Yellow Card
45'
Lee NichollsπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ Jak Alnwick
47'
Owen Dale⚽
Normal Goal
49'
Ryan LedsonπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ David Kasumu
54'
Antony EvansπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ Cameron Ashia
59'
Aribim Pepple
Penalty
68'
Jack MackenzieπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ Wes Harding
73'
Owen Oseni⚽
Normal Goal
77'
Sean RoughanπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ Dion Charles
77'
Lynden GoochπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ Lasse SΓΈrensen
79'
Jamie PatersonπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ Caleb Roberts
82'
Josh Feeney🟨
Yellow Card
88'
Owen OseniπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ Xavier Amaechi
89'
Aribim PeppleπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ Brendan Galloway
90+3'
Xavier Amaechi🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

8Shots on Goal5
3Shots off Goal3
17Total Shots13
6Blocked Shots5
15Shots insidebox6
2Shots outsidebox7
8Fouls10
5Corner Kicks3
1Offsides2
44Ball Possession56
3Yellow Cards3
4Goalkeeper Saves5
287Total passes380
180Passes accurate261
63Passes %69

Starting Lineups

PlymouthPlymouth1:1

Starting XI

1Conor HazardG
3Jack MackenzieD
35Owen DaleM
27Aribim PeppleF
15Alex MitchellD
7Jamie PatersonM
18Owen OseniF
2Mathias RossD
19Malachi BoatengM
8Joe EdwardsD
28Ronan CurtisM

HuddersfieldHuddersfield1:1

Starting XI

22Lee NichollsG
23Sean RoughanD
19Bali MumbaM
21Antony EvansF
26Alfie MayF
3Murray WallaceD
8Cameron HumphreysM
10Marcus HarnessF
20Josh FeeneyD
4Ryan LedsonM
7Lynden GoochM

Head-to-Head

πŸ“ˆ Team Form & Statistics

Plymouth
Plymouth
Form: W-D-W-W-L
Huddersfield
Huddersfield
Form: D-D-W-L-W
Record
6 W
1 D
3 L
β€’
3 W
4 D
3 L
Goals Per Game
2.2
Scored
vs
1.1
Scored
1.3
Conceded
vs
1.1
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
30%
Clean Sheets
20%
BTTS
60%
BTTS
50%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:2.3
Away:2.2
Conceded
Home:1.8
Away:1.0
Scored
Home:1.6
Away:0.6
Conceded
Home:1.2
Away:1.0

⚑ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1601
Good
1578
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1590
↓ Momentum (-11)
1616
↑ Momentum (+38)
Expected Outcome
35%
Home Win
34%
Draw
31%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1500
Attack
1517
1565
Defence
1527
Recent Form
1488
Attack
1543
1571
Defence
1539
Post-Match Changes
+7
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

πŸ“ Match Preview

Plymouth vs Huddersfield: Pajimon's League One Preview
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:2.50
Expected Value:+62.5%
Confidence:65

Aai, boere! Welcome to the pitch for Plymouth vs Huddersfield in League One on March 21, 2026. What do you mean no meat? You mean no goals? No, we want goals! But today, we are looking for a winner, because we love winning and love football. Plymouth comes into this clash on a strong run of form. In their last 10 games, they have secured 6 wins, giving them a 60% win rate. More importantly, their home performance is the real story. In their last 4 home games, Plymouth has won 75% of the time. They are averaging 2.25 goals per game at home while conceding 1.75. Their last home game was a 1-0 win against Stevenage. On the other side, Huddersfield has been struggling on the road. In their last 5 away games, they only won 20% of the time. Their away goal output is just 0.60 per game, which is not enough to trouble Plymouth's defense. Huddersfield is sitting 7th in the table with 57 points, while Plymouth is 10th with 56 points. The standings are close, but the form splits tell a different story. Head-to-head history favors Plymouth when playing at home. They have a perfect 100% win rate at home against Huddersfield. In the four matches they've played, Plymouth has scored 8 goals and conceded 7. The last meeting ended 1-3, but that was at Huddersfield's ground. At Plymouth's venue, they haven't lost to the Terriers. The betting odds offer Home Win at 2.50. This implies a 40% chance. However, looking at Plymouth's 75% home win rate and Huddersfield's 20% away win rate, the actual probability is much higher. If you estimate Plymouth's chance of winning at around 65%, the value is clear. The edge is significant, surviving even if your estimate is off by 10-15%. We love winning, so we take the home win. Don't forget your braai and beer, but don't talk politics or racism. Just focus on the stats. Baie goed, this looks like a solid punt for Plymouth to take all three points at home.

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πŸ“ Match Preview

Plymouth vs Huddersfield: Yoda Mc Yoda Face Preview
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:2.50
Expected Value:+50.0%
Confidence:65

Listen to the data, you must. The path of the bettor is not always clear, but wisdom guides us. Plymouth and Huddersfield, they meet again. Careful thought is required. Plymouth, at home, they are strong. Look at the last four home games, 75% win rate is the truth. Recent form is good, 60% win rate over ten games. Goals, they score many. 2.20 per game, yes. But they concede too, 1.30 per game. Huddersfield, away from home, they struggle. Last five away games, 20% win rate only. Goals scored away, just 0.60 per game. This is a weakness, you see. Huddersfield is 7th in the table, Plymouth 10th. Points are close, but form differs greatly. History matters, always. Plymouth has won two of four meetings. At home, Plymouth has never lost to Huddersfield. The head-to-head record is in their favor. 100% home win rate against them. The odds for a home win are 2.50. This implies 40% chance, the bookies say. But the data suggests higher probability. Goals, too, are interesting. Plymouth scores 2.25 at home. Huddersfield scores 0.60 away. Total expected goals is around 2.80. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.85. The value there is small. Better to focus on the match outcome. Confidence is key. Do not rush. Plymouth is the favorite at home. Huddersfield is weak on the road. The edge is with the home team. A hedge is wise, as I always say. But the home win offers the clearest path. Key Points: - Plymouth Home Win Rate: 75% (last 4 home games) - Huddersfield Away Win Rate: 20% (last 5 away games) - H2H: Plymouth unbeaten at home vs Huddersfield - Plymouth Avg Goals Scored: 2.20 - Huddersfield Away Avg Goals Scored: 0.60 In conclusion, the value lies with Plymouth. Home win, the choice is clear. The odds of 2.50 are generous for a team with such home strength. Do not try to force the underdog. Trust the form. Plymouth to win is the way.

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πŸ“ Match Preview

Plymouth vs Huddersfield Prediction
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:2.50
Expected Value:+37.5%
Confidence:65

Right then, let's have a proper chinwag about this League One clash between Plymouth and Huddersfield. It's a tricky one, but the numbers tell a tale that's worth listening to. Looking at the table, Huddersfield sits 7th with 57 points, while Plymouth is just behind in 10th with 56 points. Very close on the standings, but the venue stats tell a different story. Plymouth have been absolute beasts at home, winning 75% of their last 4 home games. Meanwhile, Huddersfield have only managed a 20% win rate on the road. That's a massive gap. Goals are where the value hides. Plymouth average 2.25 goals scored per game at home, while Huddersfield are averaging a measly 0.60 goals per game when playing away. Plymouth's attack is firing on all cylinders, scoring 2.20 goals per game over their last 10 matches. Huddersfield are struggling to find the net away from home, scoring just 1.10 goals per game overall. Head-to-head, the last meeting ended 3-1 to Huddersfield, but historically Plymouth has won 2 of the 4 encounters. The odds for a Plymouth win are sitting at 2.50, which implies a 40% chance. Given Plymouth's home form and Huddersfield's away struggles, I'd put the real chance much higher, around 55-60%. Key Points: - Plymouth Home Win Rate: 75% - Huddersfield Away Win Rate: 20% - Plymouth Home Goals/Game: 2.25 - Huddersfield Away Goals/Game: 0.60 - H2H Last Meeting: Huddersfield won 3-1 The bookies are pricing the home win at 2.50, which is generous given the form disparity. Plymouth's attack is the real deal, while Huddersfield look toothless on the road. With 75% home wins and Huddersfield only winning 1 in 5 away, the value is clear. My pick: Back Plymouth to Win.

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πŸ“ Match Preview

Plymouth vs Huddersfield - League One Betting Preview
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:2.50
Expected Value:+62.5%
Confidence:65

Welcome to the numbers. Plymouth hosts Huddersfield in League One on March 21, 2026. The odds tell a story, but we need to verify the math. Plymouth sits 10th with 56 points. Huddersfield is 7th with 57 points. Standings are close, but form diverges sharply. Plymouth's home form is the key. In their last four home games, they won 75% of the time, scoring 2.25 goals per game. They averaged 14.50 shots per game overall, with 5.80 on target. This attacking output is significant. Their clean sheet rate at home is 30%, and they maintain a 40.8% possession average in home fixtures. Huddersfield struggles on the road. Their last five away games show a 20% win rate. They averaged just 0.60 goals per game away. Defensively, they conceded 1.00 goals per game away, while Plymouth concedes 1.75 at home. The offensive gap is stark. Huddersfield's away possession is 46.6%, lower than Plymouth's home average. Head-to-Head history favors Plymouth at home. In their single previous meeting at Plymouth, Plymouth won 3-1. The H2H record shows Plymouth has a 100% win rate at home against Huddersfield. This historical dominance adds weight to the statistical edge. Recent H2H matches include a 1-3 loss for Plymouth away, but the home record remains perfect. Looking at the markets, Home Win odds are 2.50. This implies a 40% probability. However, combining Plymouth's 75% home win rate with Huddersfield's 20% away win rate and the H2H record, the true probability is estimated at 65%. This creates significant expected value. Goal expectancy is also relevant. Home expectancy is 1.62, away is 1.18, totaling 2.80 goals. This supports Over 2.5 Goals at 1.85, but the Home Win market offers a clearer edge based on the form disparity. The conclusion is straightforward. The odds are incorrect. Plymouth's home dominance and Huddersfield's away struggles create a value opportunity. We recommend backing the home side to win. The math is clear: value exists when the bookies misprice the home advantage.

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