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Match analysis

EnglandLeague One

Port Vale vs Bolton

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this League One fixture.

Full time1:0HT 1–0

Match Timeline

21'
Jordi Osei-Tutu🟨
Yellow Card
34'
George Hall⚽
Normal Goal → Jaheim Headley
46'
Robert Apter🔄
Substitution 1 → Max Conway
60'
Ethan Erhahon🟨
Yellow Card
61'
Xavier Simons🔄
Substitution 2 → John McAtee
61'
Ethan Erhahon🔄
Substitution 3 → Josh Sheehan
69'
Ben Garrity🔄
Substitution 1 → Ben Waine
74'
Eoin Toal🔄
Substitution 4 → Cyrus Christie
74'
Jordi Osei-Tutu🔄
Substitution 5 → Mason Burstow
78'
Martin Sherif🔄
Substitution 2 → Jordan Shipley
84'
George Hall🔄
Substitution 3 → Ethon Archer
85'
Jaheim Headley🔄
Substitution 4 → Tyler Magloire

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal2
5Shots off Goal3
11Total Shots7
4Blocked Shots2
8Shots insidebox2
3Shots outsidebox5
12Fouls10
2Corner Kicks5
1Offsides0
40Ball Possession60
0Yellow Cards2
2Goalkeeper Saves1
255Total passes374
138Passes accurate244
54Passes %65

Tipster previews (4)

PajimonLost

Port Vale vs Bolton - Betting Preview

The pickBolton win

Chance
65%
Odds
1.70
Model EV
+10.5%

Hi guys, Pajimon here. You know I love a good BBQ and a cold beer, but when it comes to football betting, I only want the meat—no vegetables, no losing bets. We have a massive clash in League One between Port Vale and Bolton. The standings tell a brutal story: Bolton sits pretty…

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceLost

Port Vale vs Bolton - League One Preview

The pickBolton win

Chance
70%
Odds
1.70
Model EV
+19.0%

Much to consider, there is. Before we place a wager, the facts must be understood. A wise bettor, you should be. Standings, look at. Bolton, third in the table with 66 points, they sit. Port Vale, at the bottom, 28 points they hold. A large gap in quality, there is. League One…

Value VinnyWon

Port Vale vs Bolton: Value Vinny's Match Preview

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
65%
Odds
2.02
Model EV
+31.3%

Odds don't lie — but bookies do. That's the mantra here at Value Vinny. Today we're looking at League One: Port Vale hosting Bolton. The data tells a clear story of disparity, and we need to find where the bookmakers have gotten the pricing wrong. Let's look at the standings…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Port Vale

2W 4D 4L1.00 pts/game

Bolton

5W 5D 0L2.00 pts/game

Per game

Port Vale at home vs Bolton away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within League One

Overall edge
+233Bolton
Venue edge
+159Bolton
Rating period
Match snapshot
Port Vale versus Bolton: long term Elo, before the match
Port ValeHomeRatingBoltonAway
Strength
1,352Overall1,585
1,374Match venue1,533
1,374At home1,619
1,386Away1,533
Attack & defence
1,349Attack1,505
1,486Defence1,556
1,372Home attack1,539
1,356Away attack1,474
1,496Home defence1,568
1,483Away defence1,537
Match profile
1,542Goal environment1,603
1,540Home goals1,573
1,502Away goals1,530
1,480Possession1,548
Specialist ratings
1,489Set-piece attack1,561
1,490Set-piece defence1,560
1,378Close games1,587
1,344Winning margin1,586

Match venue compares Port Vale at home with Bolton away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Port ValePort Vale1:1

Starting XI

46Joe GauciG
15Liam GordonD
12Rhys WaltersM
3Jaheim HeadleyM
21Martin SherifF
27Elijah CampbellD
14Funso OjoM
8Ben GarrityM
5Connor HallD
33George HallM
6Jordan Lawrence-GabrielD

BoltonBolton1:1

Starting XI

1Jack BonhamG
6George JohnstonD
21Ethan ErhahonM
15Robert ApterM
10Sam DalbyF
3Chris ForinoD
4Xavier SimonsM
22Kyle DempseyM
18Eoin ToalD
9Johnny KennyM
14Jordi Osei-TutuD