Tue, 14 Apr 2026, 18:45
League One
England
England
Full Time

Match Timeline

27'
R. Ledson⚽
Normal Goal → L. Sorensen
38'
B. Radulovic🔄
Substitution 1 → G. Sebine
45+1'
Alex Robertson🟨
Yellow Card
59'
Dylan Lawlor🟨
Yellow Card
60'
A. Robertson🔄
Substitution 1 → D. Turnbull
60'
D. Lawlor🔄
Substitution 2 → G. Osho
60'
C. Willock🔄
Substitution 3 → Y. Salech
66'
R. Colwill🔄
Substitution 4 → C. Robinson
72'
Ryan Wintle🟨
Yellow Card
76'
R. Ledson🔄
Substitution 2 → M. McGuane
77'
D. Kasumu🔄
Substitution 3 → M. Miller
83'
R. Wintle🔄
Substitution 5 → J. Colwill
88'
B. Mumba🔄
Substitution 4 → J. Low
90'
Y. Salech⚽
Normal Goal → C. Robinson
90+8'
Joel Colwill🟨
Yellow Card
90+9'
Sean Roughan🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal3
7Shots off Goal8
14Total Shots16
2Blocked Shots5
12Shots insidebox9
2Shots outsidebox7
7Fouls15
4Corner Kicks7
4Offsides0
29Ball Possession71
1Yellow Cards4
2Goalkeeper Saves5
215Total passes549
144Passes accurate482
67Passes %88

Starting Lineups

HuddersfieldHuddersfield1:1

Starting XI

31Jak AlnwickG
23Sean RoughanD
19Bali MumbaM
18David KasumuF
25Bojan RadulovićF
3Murray WallaceD
8Cameron HumphreysM
10Marcus HarnessF
12Radinio BalkerD
4Ryan LedsonM
2Lasse SørensenM

CardiffCardiff1:1

Starting XI

13Nathan TrottG
3Joel BaganD
18Alex RobertsonM
16Chris WillockM
8Omari KellymanF
48Dylan LawlorD
6Ryan WintleM
10Rubin ColwillM
2William FishD
11Ollie TannerM
38Perry NgD

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Huddersfield
Huddersfield
Form: D-W-D-L-D
Cardiff
Cardiff
Form: W-D-D-L-W
Record
3 W
4 D
3 L
•
4 W
3 D
3 L
Goals Per Game
1.2
Scored
vs
1.8
Scored
1.3
Conceded
vs
1.2
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
20%
Clean Sheets
40%
BTTS
60%
BTTS
40%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.8
Away:0.6
Conceded
Home:1.4
Away:1.2
Scored
Home:1.2
Away:2.4
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:1.4

ELO comparison

Pre-match ratings

Rating period
Match snapshot
Huddersfield versus Cardiff: long term ELO, before the match
HuddersfieldHomeRatingCardiffAway
Strength
1,503.5Overall1,597.2
1,572.1Match venue1,554.2
1,572.1At home1,577.1
1,447.2Away1,554.2
Attack & defence
1,502.3Attack1,538.9
1,506.2Defence1,586
1,527.2Home attack1,534.3
1,468.3Away attack1,528.6
1,565.5Home defence1,550
1,478.2Away defence1,565
Match profile
1,553.3Goal environment1,520
1,491.7Home goals1,518.3
1,561.7Away goals1,501.7
1,493.1Possession1,558.9
Specialist ratings
1,524.3Set-piece attack1,576.3
1,524.2Set-piece defence1,573.6
1,488.3Close games1,568
1,503.7Winning margin1,607

Match venue compares Huddersfield at home with Cardiff away. All ratings are within this league.

Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.

📝 Match Preview

Huddersfield vs Cardiff: The Big O's Goal Fest
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.81
Expected Value:+21.3%
Confidence:7

Welcome to the pitch, folks! I'm The Big O, and let's be honest—life's too short for nil-nil. When you see Huddersfield hosting Cardiff in League One, my eyes light up because the numbers scream goals. We're looking at a potential goal fest, and I'm not here for the boring stuff. Huddersfield at home is a different beast. Their home stats show they average 1.80 goals scored per game and concede 1.40. That's a combined total of 3.20 goals per home match. On the other side, Cardiff on the road is firing on all cylinders, averaging 2.40 goals scored away and conceding 1.40. That's a combined 3.80 goals per away match. When you average these out, we're looking at a total goal expectancy of 3.50 goals for this fixture. That is the sweet spot for Over 2.5. Let's look at the history. The head-to-head record is fascinating. In the last 10 meetings, 7 of them saw Over 2.5 goals. The last time they met, Cardiff won 3-2, which fits the pattern perfectly. Huddersfield's recent form also supports this. Just look at their last home game against Wycombe—it ended in a 3-3 thriller. That's 6 goals in one match! Cardiff's recent away form includes a 4-0 win against Exeter City and a 4-0 win against Doncaster. These aren't defensive masterclasses; they are goal parties. The Goal Expectancy data provided puts the total expected goals at 3.50. Using a Poisson distribution, the probability of seeing Over 2.5 goals with that expectancy is roughly 67%. The bookmakers are offering odds of 1.81, which implies a probability of about 55%. That gives us a significant edge. I'm not betting on a hunch; I'm betting on the math. With a confidence level of 7/10, this is a solid value play. So, here is the plan: We are looking for goals. The stats don't lie. Huddersfield's home defense is leaky (1.40 conceded/game), and Cardiff's away attack is potent (2.40 scored/game). The H2H record is the cherry on top. I'm confident we'll see at least three goals. If you're with me, let's get that Over 2.5 Goals bet on the board. Life's too short for nil-nil, so let's enjoy the action! **Key Points:** - Huddersfield Home Goals/Game: 1.80 - Cardiff Away Goals/Game: 2.40 - H2H Over 2.5: 7 out of 10 matches - Goal Expectancy: 3.50 total - Recent Form: Huddersfield 3-3 vs Wycombe, Cardiff 4-0 vs Exeter **Summary**: The data points to a high-scoring affair. My pick is Over 2.5 Goals.

Read Full Preview →

📝 Match Preview

Huddersfield vs Cardiff Preview
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.81
Expected Value:+23.1%
Confidence:7

Hey guys, Pajimon here! Welcome to another betting preview. As you know, I love my BBQ and beer, and I love winning. No politics, no racism, just pure football and value. Let's get straight to the meat of this fixture. Huddersfield hosts Cardiff in League One. Looking at the table, Cardiff is sitting pretty high in 2nd place with 81 points, while Huddersfield is in 8th with 62 points. That's a 19-point gap. Cardiff has been in better form recently, averaging 1.50 points per game compared to Huddersfield's 1.30. The head-to-head record is interesting. In 10 matches, Cardiff has won 6 times, while Huddersfield has won 3. The last meeting ended 2-3 to Cardiff. Cardiff's away attack is firing, averaging 2.40 goals per game on the road. Huddersfield at home scores 1.80 goals per game. When we look at the Goal Expectancy, the numbers add up to 3.50 total goals (1.60 for Huddersfield, 1.90 for Cardiff). This suggests a high-scoring affair. The market odds for Over 2.5 Goals are 1.81. Based on the goal expectancy, the probability of seeing more than 2.5 goals is around 68%, which gives us a solid edge over the implied probability of 55%. Key Points: - Cardiff is 2nd in the table (81 pts), Huddersfield is 8th (62 pts). - Cardiff's away goals per game: 2.40. Huddersfield home goals per game: 1.80. - Goal Expectancy total: 3.50 goals. - H2H: Cardiff leads 6 wins to 3. - Recent H2H: 2-3 Cardiff win. So, what's the pick? The goal expectancy and H2H trends point to goals. I'm going with Over 2.5 Goals. It's time to fire up the braai and enjoy the show!

Read Full Preview →