Sat, 11 Apr 2026, 14:00
League One
England
England
Full Time
1:3
HT: 0 - 1

Match Timeline

20'
Corey O'Keeffe🟨
Yellow Card
37'
A. Phillips
Normal Goal → P. Kelly
46'
G. Biancheri🔄
Substitution 1 → A. Martha
46'
L. Agbaire🔄
Substitution 2 → D. Hall
50'
Vimal Yoganathan🟨
Yellow Card
58'
L. Kelly🔄
Substitution 3 → D. Watmore
64'
T. Bradshaw
Normal Goal → J. Bland
67'
J. Benson🔄
Substitution 4 → J. Hugill
69'
S. Banks🔄
Substitution 1 → R. Cleary
74'
T. Bradshaw
Normal Goal → A. Phillips
78'
J. Earl🔄
Substitution 2 → J. Shepherd
78'
A. Phillips🔄
Substitution 3 → T. Watson
88'
Maël de Gevigney🟨
Yellow Card
89'
P. Kelly🔄
Substitution 4 → M. Roberts
89'
T. Bradshaw🔄
Substitution 5 → L. Farrell
90'
S. Nombe
Penalty
90+4'
Eoghan O'Connell🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal9
4Shots off Goal0
9Total Shots9
2Blocked Shots1
8Shots insidebox5
1Shots outsidebox4
10Fouls13
3Corner Kicks2
2Offsides2
66Ball Possession34
0Yellow Cards4
5Goalkeeper Saves2
505Total passes259
372Passes accurate144
74Passes %56

Starting Lineups

RotherhamRotherham1:1

Starting XI

13Ted CannG
6Reece JamesD
44Daniel GoreM
19Josh BensonM
10Sam NombeF
3Zak JulesD
4Liam KellyM
24Harry GrayM
18Lenny AgbaireD
29Gabriele BiancheriM
15Jamal BaptisteD

BarnsleyBarnsley1:1

Starting XI

1Owen GoodmanG
32Josh EarlD
45Vimal YoganathanM
18Scott BanksM
9Tom BradshawF
15Eoghan O'ConnellD
30Jonathan BlandM
22Patrick KellyM
6Maël de GevigneyD
8Adam PhillipsM
7Corey O'KeeffeD

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Rotherham
Rotherham
Form: L-D-L-L-D
Barnsley
Barnsley
Form: L-D-L-D-D
Record
1 W
3 D
6 L
2 W
4 D
4 L
Goals Per Game
0.4
Scored
vs
1.1
Scored
1.5
Conceded
vs
1.4
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
30%
Clean Sheets
0%
BTTS
20%
BTTS
70%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:0.8
Away:0.0
Conceded
Home:0.8
Away:2.2
Scored
Home:0.7
Away:1.8
Conceded
Home:1.3
Away:1.5

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1522
Average
1488
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1467
↓ Momentum (-55)
1453
↓ Momentum (-36)
Expected Outcome
37%
Home Win
33%
Draw
30%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1456
Attack
1509
1506
Defence
1437
Recent Form
1400
Attack
1475
1488
Defence
1426
Post-Match Changes
-13
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Rotherham vs Barnsley - League One Preview
Recommendation:UNDER_2_5
Odds:2.08
Expected Value:+16.5%
Confidence:7

Listen to the stats, you must. A clash of two teams with different destinies, this is. Rotherham, the home side, struggles in the League One table. Twenty-second place, they sit. Only 37 points have they gathered. In their last ten games, one win they have secured. Their attack is weak, 0.40 goals per game they average. A dark cloud hangs over their offense, yes. Barnsley, the visitors, are stronger. Fourteenth place, 51 points. Their away form is better than Rotherham's home form. Twenty-five percent win rate away, they boast. But look to the history. Head-to-head, Barnsley dominates. Seven wins for the visitors, one for Rotherham. The Force is strong with Barnsley in this rivalry. Goals, we must consider. The Goal Expectancy suggests 1.15 for Rotherham and 1.27 for Barnsley. Combined, 2.42 goals we expect. The bookmakers offer 2.08 for Under 2.5 Goals. The implied probability is 48%, but our analysis suggests 56%. An edge of 8% exists, yes. Do or do not bet, there is no try... but hedge your bets, you should. Rotherham's defense at home is decent (0.80 conceded), but their attack is the problem. Barnsley away scores 1.75 goals per game. Yet, the total expectancy remains below 2.5. The trend for Rotherham's goals scored is declining. The trend for Barnsley's goals conceded is also declining. A low-scoring affair, it likely will be. Key Points: - Rotherham: 22nd, 37 pts, 1 win in last 10. - Barnsley: 14th, 51 pts, 2 wins in last 10. - H2H: Barnsley 7 wins, Rotherham 1 win. - Goal Expectancy: 2.42 total goals. - Value: Under 2.5 Goals @ 2.08. The choice is clear. Under 2.5 Goals, the wise path it is.

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