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Match analysis

FranceLigue 1

Toulouse vs Rennes

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Ligue 1 fixture.

Full time2:2HT 0–0

Match Timeline

17'
Frank Magri
Penalty cancelled
45+1'
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal🟨
Yellow Card
50'
E. Lepaul⚽
Normal Goal
54'
M. Tamari⚽
Normal Goal → E. Lepaul
58'
C. Cresswell⚽
Normal Goal → Y. Gboho
61'
A. Francis🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Sauer
61'
D. Sidibe🔄
Substitution 2 → Emersonn
63'
Mousa Tamari🟨
Yellow Card
69'
M. Meite🔄
Substitution 1 → B. Embolo
71'
D. Cisse🔄
Substitution 2 → G. Kamara
75'
Brice Samba🟨
Yellow Card
78'
Rasmus Nicolaisen🟨
Yellow Card
79'
P. Frankowski🔄
Substitution 3 → A. Seidu
80'
C. Casseres🔄
Substitution 3 → A. Vossah
80'
F. Magri🔄
Substitution 4 → N. Edjouma
80'
E. Lepaul🔄
Substitution 4 → M. Nagida
85'
A. Donnum
Penalty
90+3'
Aron Dønnum🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal5
7Shots off Goal4
15Total Shots11
4Blocked Shots2
9Shots insidebox7
6Shots outsidebox4
9Fouls12
5Corner Kicks8
0Offsides2
55Ball Possession45
2Yellow Cards3
3Goalkeeper Saves2
431Total passes356
354Passes accurate277
82Passes %78
1.55expected_goals1.58
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (6)

PajimonLost

Toulouse to Serve Rennes a Home Defeat

The pickToulouse win

Chance
62%
Odds
2.10
Model EV
+30.2%

Ag man, this one looks like a proper braai where Toulouse are the hosts and Rennes are the guests who can't handle the heat! Let's break it down properly. Toulouse are sitting 9th with 13 points, but at home they're a different beast altogether. They're banging in 2.4 goals per…

The Big "O"Won

Goal Fest Incoming When Toulouse Hosts Rennes

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
58%
Odds
1.91
Model EV
+10.8%

Get ready for some serious fireworks at the Stadium as Toulouse and Rennes prepare to put on a show! The Big O is getting excited just looking at these numbers - we've got all the ingredients for a goal-fest that'll have the over backers celebrating big time. Toulouse have been…

Value VinnyWon

Mathematical Value Points to Goals Fest

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
65%
Odds
1.91
Model EV
+24.1%

Let's cut through the noise and look at the cold, hard numbers. The bookies have priced this match at near-even money for Over/Under 2.5 goals, but the statistical reality tells a very different story. Toulouse at home have been an offensive juggernaut, averaging 2.40 goals…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Toulouse

4W 2D 4L1.40 pts/game

Rennes

2W 6D 2L1.20 pts/game

Per game

Toulouse at home vs Rennes away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Ligue 1

Overall edge
+26Toulouse
Venue edge
+22Toulouse
Rating period
Match snapshot
Toulouse versus Rennes: long term Elo, before the match
ToulouseHomeRatingRennesAway
Strength
1,559Overall1,532
1,484Match venue1,462
1,484At home1,613
1,551Away1,462
Attack & defence
1,534Attack1,536
1,592Defence1,550
1,522Home attack1,557
1,485Away attack1,508
1,534Home defence1,620
1,598Away defence1,492
Match profile
1,527Goal environment1,663
1,568Home goals1,592
1,458Away goals1,572
1,484Possession1,506
Specialist ratings
1,495Set-piece attack1,518
1,495Set-piece defence1,517
1,493Close games1,455
1,582Winning margin1,549

Match venue compares Toulouse at home with Rennes away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

ToulouseToulouse1:1

Starting XI

1Guillaume RestesG
2Rasmus NicolaisenD
24Dayann MethalieM
10Yann GbohoF
9Frank MagriF
4Charlie CresswellD
17Abu FrancisM
15Aron DønnumF
3Mark McKenzieD
23Cristian Cásseres Jr.M
19Djibril SidibéM

RennesRennes1:1

Starting XI

30Brice SambaG
3Lilian BrassierD
11Mousa TamariM
39Mohamed Kader MeiteF
97Jérémy JacquetD
6Djaoui CisséM
9Esteban LepaulF
48Abdelhamid Ait BoudlalD
21Valentin RongierM
45Mahdi CamaraM
95Przemysław FrankowskiM