Sat, 1 Nov 2025, 16:00
Ligue 1
France
France
Full Time

Match Timeline

27'
Abdulay Juma Bah🟨
Yellow Card
46'
I. Jansson🔄
Substitution 1 → S. Diop
63'
Ilya Zabarnyi🟨
Yellow Card
65'
J. Neves🔄
Substitution 1 → F. Ruiz
66'
B. Barcola🔄
Substitution 2 → Lee Kang-In
71'
M. Sanson🔄
Substitution 2 → C. Vanhoutte
72'
S. Mayulu🔄
Substitution 3 → G. Ramos
72'
W. Zaire-Emery🔄
Substitution 4 → O. Dembele
72'
Unknown Player🔄
Substitution 3 → J. Boga
78'
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia🟨
Yellow Card
84'
T. Louchet🔄
Substitution 4 → S. Abdul Samed
87'
Kang-in Lee🟨
Yellow Card
90'
G. Ramos
Normal Goal → K. Kvaratskhelia

Match Statistics

8Shots on Goal2
9Shots off Goal0
28Total Shots5
11Blocked Shots3
16Shots insidebox3
12Shots outsidebox2
12Fouls5
11Corner Kicks1
2Offsides1
77Ball Possession23
3Yellow Cards1
2Goalkeeper Saves7
808Total passes247
760Passes accurate181
94Passes %73
1.32expected_goals0.48
0goals_prevented0

Starting Lineups

Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain1:1

Starting XI

30Lucas ChevalierG
25Nuno MendesD
33Warren Zaïre-EmeryM
29Bradley BarcolaF
51Willian PachoD
17VitinhaM
24Senny MayuluF
6Ilya ZabarnyiD
87João NevesM
7Khvicha KvaratskheliaF
2Achraf HakimiD

NiceNice1:1

Starting XI

80Yehvann DioufG
2Ali AbdiD
8Morgan SansonM
21Isak JanssonF
26Melvin BardD
6Hicham BoudaouiM
37Kojo Peprah OppongD
20Tom LouchetM
28Abdulay Juma BahD
47Tiago GouveiaM
33Antoine MendyD

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
Form: D-W-W-D-D
Nice
Nice
Form: W-W-L-W-D
Record
6 W
3 D
1 L
4 W
2 D
4 L
Goals Per Game
2.5
Scored
vs
1.5
Scored
0.9
Conceded
vs
1.6
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
40%
Clean Sheets
20%
BTTS
50%
BTTS
80%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:2.8
Away:2.3
Conceded
Home:0.8
Away:1.0
Scored
Home:1.6
Away:1.4
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:2.2

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1782
Good
1669
Good
Short Term Elo Rating
1822
↑ Momentum (+40)
1732
↑ Momentum (+63)
Expected Outcome
47%
Home Win
29%
Draw
24%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1715
Attack
1557
1627
Defence
1599
Recent Form
1731
Attack
1596
1637
Defence
1599
Post-Match Changes
+6
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

PSG vs Nice: A Clash of Light and Shadow
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.80
Expected Value:+11.6%

In the grand theater of Ligue 1, the leaders stand tall. Paris Saint Germain, perched atop the table with 21 points, welcome Nice to their domain. Much to ponder, this match presents. The home side has shown formidable strength, gathering 6 victories in their last 10 encounters. Their attack flows like a mighty river - 25 goals scored, an average of 2.5 per game. Yet even the strongest fortress has its cracks, as evidenced by the recent 1-1 draw with Lorient and the 3-3 spectacle against Strasbourg. At home, they are truly formidable - 75% win rate, 2.75 goals per game scored, only 0.75 conceded. Nice arrives as the traveler, seeking to disrupt the harmony. Their journey has been more turbulent - 4 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses in recent times. But do not underestimate their spirit, for they have shown resilience with victories over Lille (2-0) and Rennes (1-2). Away from home, however, their defense becomes porous - 2.2 goals conceded per game on their travels. The history between these two tells tales of balance. In 9 meetings, PSG holds slight advantage with 4 wins to Nice's 3. Yet at this very venue, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses - no true dominance. Their last encounter ended 3-1 in favor of PSG. The numbers speak volumes. PSG commands possession (67.9% vs 42.3%), creates more opportunities (17.4 shots vs 10.7), and strikes with greater accuracy (44.4% vs 38.8%). But Nice has found the net in 80% of their recent games, while PSG has kept clean sheets in only 40% of theirs. In football, as in life, balance is key. Both teams to score has occurred in 6 of their 9 meetings. The path of goals seems likely to be trodden once more. Key Points: - PSG dominates at home with 75% win rate and 2.75 goals per game - Nice struggles defensively away, conceding 2.2 goals per game - Both teams have scored in 67% of their head-to-head encounters - PSG averages 2.5 goals per game overall, Nice averages 1.5 - Recent form shows PSG scoring in 90% of games, Nice in 80% - The goal expectancy suggests around 3.55 goals in this match The force of both teams finding the net feels strong. PSG's attacking prowess meets Nice's consistent scoring form, creating a harmony of goals that the wise observer should note.

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📝 Match Preview

PSG vs Nice: Goals on the Menu in Paris
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.80
Expected Value:+17.0%

Right then, let's fire up the braai and look at this clash! PSG are sitting pretty at the top of Ligue 1 with 21 points, and they've been scoring goals like I go through boerewors - 25 in 10 games! But here's the thing, they're not exactly solid at the back, conceding in 6 of their last 10 matches. Nice come to town sitting 8th with 17 points, and they've been a bit Jekyll and Hyde on their travels. They've only won 20% of their away games and are leaking 2.2 goals per game on the road. That's like leaving your castle gate wide open! Looking at recent form, PSG have been brilliant at times - smashing 7 past Leverkusen and 4 past Atalanta - but they've also had some shockers like drawing 1-1 with bottom-half Lorient. Nice have been decent too, beating Lille 2-0 and Rennes 2-1, but that 4-1 hammering at Brest shows they can be vulnerable. The stats tell a clear story - PSG average 17.4 shots per game with nearly 68% possession, while Nice only manage 10.7 shots and 42% possession. But here's the kicker - both teams have been finding the net regularly. PSG score in 90% of their games, Nice in 80%, and both teams have scored in 6 of their last 9 head-to-head meetings. PSG's home record is strong (75% win rate) but they're not unbeatable - they've drawn 3 of their last 10 games. Nice might be underdogs but they did win the last meeting 3-1, so they know how to hurt PSG. With PSG's attack firing and Nice's away defense being more porous than a sieve, I'm expecting goals at both ends. Both teams to score looks like the smart money here.

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📝 Match Preview

PSG vs Nice: Goals Galore at the Parc?
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.73
Expected Value:+17.6%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Ligue 1 clash between the league leaders PSG and mid-table Nice. The table tells us PSG are sitting pretty at the top with 21 points, while Nice are knocking about in 8th with 17. But as we all know, football's not played on paper, is it? PSG have been a bit of a Jekyll and Hyde outfit lately. One minute they're putting seven past Bayer Leverkusen, the next they're dropping points against Lorient in a 1-1 draw. They've also had that bonkers 3-3 with Strasbourg. But at home? Blimey, they're a different beast entirely - 75% win rate and banging in 2.75 goals per game. That's some serious attacking firepower. Nice, meanwhile, have been having a decent time of it recently. They've beaten Lille 2-0 and Rennes 1-2, which ain't bad. But away from home? They're about as solid as a chocolate teapot. Only 20% win rate on their travels and they're conceding 2.20 goals per game. That's proper worrying if you're a Nice fan. Here's the interesting bit though - the head-to-head record. PSG don't have it all their own way against Nice. At home, they've only won 40% of their meetings, and Nice actually won the last encounter 3-1. Both teams tend to get on the scoresheet too - 6 out of 9 times they've both found the net. PSG are dominating possession (nearly 68% compared to Nice's 42%) and getting more shots on target, but they've been keeping clean sheets in only 40% of their recent games. Nice, for all their away struggles, are scoring in 80% of their away matches. The odds have PSG as clear favorites at 1.31, which makes sense given their home form. But I'm looking at the both teams to score market at 1.73 - that's where I reckon the value might be. PSG's attack is lethal at home, but they've been a bit leaky lately, and Nice do know where the goal is even on their travels.

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📝 Match Preview

Nice poised to bite back in Paris
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.73
Expected Value:+12.4%

Hello fellow underdog enthusiasts! Today we're looking at a fascinating clash where the little puppy from the Côte d'Azur might just have its day against the Parisian giants. While the odds makers have PSG as overwhelming favorites at 1.31, I've sniffed out some delightful value that might surprise you! Let's talk about why Nice shouldn't be written off here. The head-to-head history tells a beautiful story of underdog resilience - out of 9 meetings, Nice has actually won 3 times! Even more impressively, when visiting Paris, Nice has a 2-1-2 record against PSG. That's right, our underdogs have won 40% of their trips to the capital! Recent form shows Nice finding their scoring boots too. They've netted in 8 of their last 10 matches, including impressive performances against Lille (2-0), Rennes (2-1), and Lyon (3-2). Meanwhile, PSG, despite their attacking prowess, have shown some defensive cracks at home - conceding in 3 of their last 5 home games, including that 3-3 thriller against Strasbourg. The statistics paint an interesting picture for goals. PSG averages 2.5 goals per game, while Nice contributes 1.5. When these two meet, both teams tend to find the net - 6 out of 9 H2H matches have seen both teams score. With PSG's home attack firing (2.75 goals per game at home) and Nice's away form showing they can score (1.4 goals per game away), we could be in for a treat! The Both Teams to Score market at 1.73 offers wonderful value. The implied probability is 57.8%, but looking at the data - Nice's 80% BTTS rate in recent games, PSG's defensive vulnerabilities at home, and that juicy H2H history - I'd say the real probability is closer to 65-70%. That's the kind of value that makes this underdog's tail wag! Remember, we're not backing PSG to win - we're backing the underdog Nice to contribute to an entertaining game. And at these odds, that's where the smart money lies!

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📝 Match Preview

PSG vs Nice: Goal-Fest Expected in Ligue 1 Clash
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.38
Expected Value:+7.6%

Paris Saint Germain welcomes Nice to their home ground in what promises to be an attacking encounter between the league leaders and a mid-table side struggling on the road. PSG sits atop Ligue 1 with 21 points from 10 games, showcasing their dominance with a potent attack that averages 2.5 goals per game overall and an impressive 2.75 goals per game at home. Their recent form has been explosive, highlighted by a remarkable 7-2 victory against Bayer Leverkusen and a solid 2-0 win over Barcelona in the Champions League. However, PSG's home form has shown some vulnerability, with three of their last four home matches seeing both teams score. They drew 1-1 with Lorient in their most recent home fixture and were held to a 3-3 thriller by Strasbourg, suggesting their defensive solidity isn't impenetrable despite keeping clean sheets in 40% of their matches. Nice arrives in 8th position with 17 points, but their away form tells a concerning story. They've managed only one win in their last five away matches, conceding an alarming 2.20 goals per game on the road. Their recent travels include a 4-1 thrashing at Stade Brestois and a 2-1 loss to Celta Vigo, highlighting defensive frailties that PSG's attack could exploit. Despite these struggles, Nice has shown they can score, finding the net in 80% of their recent matches and averaging 1.5 goals per game overall. The head-to-head record between these sides has been surprisingly competitive, with PSG winning just 40% of their home encounters against Nice. Both teams have scored in 6 of their 9 meetings, and 5 of those matches have featured over 2.5 goals. Nice actually won the last meeting 3-1, proving they can trouble PSG. The statistical picture points strongly toward goals. PSG's home attack averages 2.75 goals, while Nice's away defense concedes 2.20 goals per game. Both teams have high both-teams-to-score rates, and the goal expectancy data projects 3.55 total goals for this match. With PSG's attacking firepower and Nice's defensive vulnerabilities on the road, the conditions are ripe for a high-scoring affair.

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