Skip to main content

Match analysis

FranceLigue 1

Le Havre vs Nantes

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Ligue 1 fixture.

Full time1:1HT 0–1

Match Timeline

4'
M. Abline⚽
Normal Goal → K. Amian
22'
Matthis Abline🟨
Yellow Card
27'
Loic Négo🟨
Yellow Card
40'
Yassine Kechta🟨
Yellow Card
59'
D. Tabibou🔄
Substitution 1 → B. Deuff
60'
Hyeok-kyu Kwon🟨
Yellow Card
63'
F. Mambimbi🔄
Substitution 1 → F. Doucoure
63'
Y. Kechta🔄
Substitution 2 → R. Khadra
71'
B. Guirassy🔄
Substitution 2 → Y. Benhattab
71'
Y. El Arabi🔄
Substitution 3 → Mostafa Mohamed
78'
Tylel Tati🟨
Yellow Card
79'
L. Nego🔄
Substitution 3 → G. Kyeremeh
79'
R. Ndiaye🔄
Substitution 4 → Y. Namli
85'
M. Abline🔄
Substitution 4 → F. Centonze
90'
G. Lloris⚽
Normal Goal → F. Doucoure
90+2'
Younes Namli🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal2
7Shots off Goal0
17Total Shots5
6Blocked Shots3
11Shots insidebox2
6Shots outsidebox3
15Fouls13
8Corner Kicks3
4Offsides3
65Ball Possession35
3Yellow Cards3
1Goalkeeper Saves3
467Total passes267
400Passes accurate189
86Passes %71
1expected_goals0.21
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (4)

PajimonLost

Le Havre to Grill Nantes at Home

The pickLe Havre win

Chance
52%
Odds
2.05
Model EV
+6.6%

Ag man, this looks like a proper braai match! Le Havre hosting Nantes, and I'm liking what I see from the home side. Let's break it down properly. Le Havre have been decent lately, picking up 13 points from 11 games and sitting comfortably in 12th. Their recent form shows they…

Value VinnyLost

Le Havre Hold Value Edge Over Struggling Nantes

The pickLe Havre win

Chance
52%
Odds
2.05
Model EV
+6.6%

Let's cut through the noise and look at the mathematical reality here. Le Havre sits 12th with 13 points, while Nantes languish in 15th with just 9 points. That 4-point gap tells a story about relative quality, and the recent form data backs it up perfectly. Le Havre have been…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Le Havre

3W 4D 3L1.30 pts/game

Nantes

2W 3D 5L0.90 pts/game

Per game

Le Havre at home vs Nantes away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Ligue 1

Overall edge
+35Le Havre
Venue edge
+39Nantes
Rating period
Match snapshot
Le Havre versus Nantes: long term Elo, before the match
Le HavreHomeRatingNantesAway
Strength
1,513Overall1,478
1,445Match venue1,485
1,445At home1,454
1,511Away1,485
Attack & defence
1,485Attack1,444
1,526Defence1,560
1,457Home attack1,434
1,484Away attack1,442
1,468Home defence1,534
1,542Away defence1,545
Match profile
1,558Goal environment1,238
1,532Home goals1,337
1,527Away goals1,402
1,490Possession1,487
Specialist ratings
1,492Set-piece attack1,468
1,492Set-piece defence1,469
1,505Close games1,499
1,512Winning margin1,473

Match venue compares Le Havre at home with Nantes away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Le HavreLe Havre1:1

Starting XI

99Mory DiawG
18Yanis ZouaouiD
15Ayumu SekoM
8Yassine KechtaM
45Issa SoumaréF
4Gautier LlorisD
14Rassoul NdiayeM
10Felix MambimbiF
93Arouna SanganteD
94Abdoulaye TouréM
7Loic NégoD

NantesNantes1:1

Starting XI

30Patrik CarlgrenG
66Louis LerouxD
80Junior MwangaM
10Matthis AblineF
78Tylel TatiD
5Hyeok-kyu KwonM
19Youssef El ArabiF
6Chidozie AwaziemD
17Dehmaine TabibouM
11Bahereba GuirassyF
98Kelvin AmianD