Sat, 22 Nov 2025, 20:05
Ligue 1
France
France
Full Time

Match Timeline

29'
Lee Kang-In
Normal Goal → N. Mendes
32'
Abdoulaye Touré🟨
Yellow Card
55'
Lee Kang-In🔄
Substitution 1 → B. Barcola
58'
A. Toure🔄
Substitution 1 → R. Khadra
61'
Nuno Mendes🟨
Yellow Card
64'
L. Beraldo🔄
Substitution 2 → L. Hernandez
64'
G. Ramos🔄
Substitution 3 → Q. Ndjantou
65'
J. Neves
Normal Goal
70'
Quentin Ndjantou🟨
Yellow Card
71'
Vitinha🔄
Substitution 4 → F. Ruiz
71'
S. Mayulu🔄
Substitution 5 → K. Kvaratskhelia
75'
Y. Kechta🔄
Substitution 2 → F. Doucoure
84'
L. Nego🔄
Substitution 3 → Y. Namli
84'
R. Ndiaye🔄
Substitution 4 → F. Mambimbi
87'
B. Barcola
Normal Goal → K. Kvaratskhelia

Match Statistics

11Shots on Goal4
13Shots off Goal6
31Total Shots12
7Blocked Shots2
22Shots insidebox7
9Shots outsidebox5
10Fouls8
6Corner Kicks4
3Offsides3
65Ball Possession35
2Yellow Cards1
3Goalkeeper Saves8
599Total passes313
526Passes accurate235
88Passes %75
3.46expected_goals1.19
0goals_prevented0

Starting Lineups

Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain1:1

Starting XI

30Lucas ChevalierG
25Nuno MendesD
87João NevesM
49Ibrahim MbayeF
4Lucas BeraldoD
17VitinhaM
9Gonçalo RamosF
6Ilya ZabarnyiD
24Senny MayuluM
19Kang-in LeeF
33Warren Zaïre-EmeryD

Le HavreLe Havre1:1

Starting XI

99Mory DiawG
18Yanis ZouaouiD
15Ayumu SekoM
26Simon EbonogM
8Yassine KechtaF
4Gautier LlorisD
14Rassoul NdiayeM
45Issa SoumaréF
93Arouna SanganteD
94Abdoulaye TouréM
7Loic NégoD

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
Form: W-L-W-D-W
Le Havre
Le Havre
Form: D-D-W-W-L
Record
6 W
3 D
1 L
3 W
5 D
2 L
Goals Per Game
2.4
Scored
vs
1.1
Scored
1.2
Conceded
vs
1.2
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
30%
Clean Sheets
40%
BTTS
70%
BTTS
50%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.8
Away:2.8
Conceded
Home:1.3
Away:1.2
Scored
Home:1.6
Away:0.6
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:1.4

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1788
Good
1447
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1835
↑ Momentum (+47)
1448
↑ Momentum (+1)
Expected Outcome
70%
Home Win
20%
Draw
10%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1703
Attack
1456
1633
Defence
1527
Recent Form
1703
Attack
1456
1647
Defence
1578
Post-Match Changes
+4
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Can Le Havre's Defense Shine Against PSG's Attack?
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:2.20
Expected Value:+5.6%

Oh, what a delightful challenge we have here! While everyone's eyes are on the league leaders, I'm looking at the brave visitors from Normandy who might just have a trick or two up their sleeves. Paris Saint Germain have been scoring goals for fun lately - 24 in their last 10 games to be precise - but they've also been rather generous at the back, letting in 12 goals during that same period. That's right, both teams have found the net in 7 of their last 10 matches! Now, let me tell you about our little puppies from Le Havre. They've been showing some real grit recently with only 2 losses in their last 10 games. Their defensive organization has been quite impressive too, keeping 4 clean sheets in that stretch. Just look at their recent away performances - a stubborn 0-0 draw at Toulouse and a clean sheet in their 1-0 victory over Stade Brestois 29. Sure, they only average 0.60 goals scored away from home, but sometimes it's not about how many you score, but when you score them! The head-to-head record might favor PSG heavily (5 wins, 1 draw), but interestingly, both teams have scored in half of their 6 meetings. The last encounter ended 2-1, suggesting our underdogs can indeed trouble the giants. With PSG's defense looking a bit leaky lately and Le Havre's newfound defensive resilience, I'm sensing an opportunity for both sides to get on the scoresheet. PSG's recent form shows they're not invincible - draws against Lorient, Strasbourg, and Lille prove they can be contained. Meanwhile, Le Havre have been collecting points steadily, drawing 5 of their last 10 games. They might not win many hearts with their attacking flair, but their determination to avoid defeat is something to admire!

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📝 Match Preview

PSG's Force Strong Against Le Havre's Resistance
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.50
Expected Value:+5.0%

In the grand theater of Ligue 1, the force flows strongly through Paris Saint Germain. Perched atop the table with 27 points, they face a Le Havre side that dwells in the middle realms with 14 points. Much to learn, the visitors have, about the gap that separates the masters from the apprentices. Recent form reveals the true nature of these combatants. PSG, with their 6 wins, 3 draws, and but 1 loss in 10 games, have shown both devastating power and moments of vulnerability. Their 7-2 dismantling of Bayer Leverkusen speaks of attacking force unmatched, yet the 3-3 draw with Strasbourg and 1-1 stalemate with Lorient remind us that even the strongest can falter when focus wavers. Le Havre's path has been one of survival and adaptation. Five draws in their last 10 encounters tell of a team content to share points rather than risk all for victory. Their 6-2 humiliation at the hands of Marseille exposed the chasm in quality when facing the elite. Away from home, their attack grows timid - merely 0.60 goals per game on their travels. The head-to-head chronicles favor PSG overwhelmingly. Five victories and one draw from six meetings, with the Parisians scoring 22 goals to Le Havre's 5. Even in their last meeting, when PSG perhaps did not flow at their peak, victory still found them by a 2-1 margin. Statistical wisdom illuminates the path forward. PSG's 18.8 shots per game dwarf Le Havre's 11.1. Their 69.6% possession speaks of control, while 7.4 shots on target per game compared to 3.2 shows superior finishing intent. These are not mere numbers, but the language of dominance. In football, as in life, patterns reveal truth. PSG scores 2.40 goals per game, Le Havre concedes 1.40 away from home. The goal expectancy of 2.50 combined goals whispers what the wise already know - this match shall see goals flow freely. Remember, the odds are but a reflection of perception, not always of truth. At 1.50 for over 2.5 goals, the market undervalues what the data so clearly shows. When the force is strong and the resistance is limited, goals become inevitable.

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📝 Match Preview

PSG vs Le Havre: Goals Could Be Hard to Come By
Recommendation:UNDER_2_5
Odds:2.62
Expected Value:+25.8%

Right then, let's have a proper gander at this Ligue 1 clash between the league leaders PSG and mid-table Le Havre. On paper, it looks like a straightforward home win, but as we know, football's not played on paper, is it? PSG are sitting pretty at the top of the table with 27 points from 12 games, but their recent home form has been a bit hit and miss, if I'm being honest. They've only won 50% of their last four home games, drawing with Lorient and scraping a 1-0 win against Nice. They're still scoring goals for fun overall (2.4 per game), but at home, that drops to 1.75 - not exactly the goal-fest you might expect from the champions. Le Havre, meanwhile, are plugging away in 12th place with 14 points. They're not setting the world alight going forward, especially away from home where they're only managing 0.6 goals per game. But here's the thing - they're solid defensively. They've kept 4 clean sheets in their last 10 games and have been drawing for fun recently (5 draws in their last 10 matches). Away from home, they're particularly stubborn, with 60% of their away games ending in draws. When these two have met before, PSG have generally had the upper hand with 5 wins and 1 draw from 6 meetings. But the last meeting was only 2-1, and there was that 3-3 draw a couple of years back, showing Le Havre can make things difficult. Looking at the stats, PSG dominate possession (nearly 70% compared to Le Havre's 48%) and take more shots, but Le Havre are happy to sit deep and frustrate teams. With PSG's recent home form not being completely dominant and Le Havre's defensive stubbornness on the road, I'm thinking this might not be the goal-fest the bookies expect. The odds for a home win are too short at 1.18 for my liking - no value there whatsoever. But the Under 2.5 goals market at 2.62 catches my eye. Given PSG's recent home scoring average of 1.75 and Le Havre's away average of just 0.6, we could be in for a tight, low-scoring affair.

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