Sat, 6 Dec 2025, 20:05
Ligue 1
France
France
Full Time

Match Timeline

28'
K. Kvaratskhelia
Normal Goal → L. Hernandez
39'
S. Mayulu
Normal Goal → J. Neves
46'
D. Cisse🔄
Substitution 1 → Q. Merlin
53'
Jérémy Jacquet🟨
Yellow Card
64'
Lee Kang-In🔄
Substitution 1 → O. Dembele
67'
K. Kvaratskhelia
Normal Goal → S. Mayulu
69'
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal🟨
Yellow Card
71'
Vitinha🔄
Substitution 2 → F. Ruiz
71'
K. Kvaratskhelia🔄
Substitution 3 → G. Ramos
74'
Jérémy Jacquet🟨
Yellow Card
74'
Jérémy Jacquet🟥
Red Card
76'
E. Lepaul🔄
Substitution 2 → A. Rouault
80'
W. Zaire-Emery🔄
Substitution 4 → Q. Ndjantou
80'
J. Neves🔄
Substitution 5 → I. Mbaye
82'
M. Camara🔄
Substitution 3 → L. Blas
82'
M. Tamari🔄
Substitution 4 → E. Legendre
82'
B. Embolo🔄
Substitution 5 → M. Meite
88'
I. Mbaye
Normal Goal → Q. Ndjantou
90'
G. Ramos
Normal Goal → O. Dembele

Match Statistics

9Shots on Goal2
7Shots off Goal2
20Total Shots6
4Blocked Shots2
14Shots insidebox1
6Shots outsidebox5
9Fouls5
8Corner Kicks6
0Offsides2
66Ball Possession34
0Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
2Goalkeeper Saves4
715Total passes355
658Passes accurate305
92Passes %86
2.23expected_goals0.24
-1goals_prevented-1

Starting Lineups

Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain1:1

Starting XI

39Matvey SafonovG
21Lucas HernándezD
24Senny MayuluM
7Khvicha KvaratskheliaF
51Willian PachoD
17VitinhaM
19Kang-in LeeF
5MarquinhosD
87João NevesM
29Bradley BarcolaF
33Warren Zaïre-EmeryD

RennesRennes1:1

Starting XI

30Brice SambaG
3Lilian BrassierD
11Mousa TamariM
9Esteban LepaulF
97Jérémy JacquetD
6Djaoui CisséM
7Breel EmboloF
48Abdelhamid Ait BoudlalD
21Valentin RongierM
45Mahdi CamaraM
95Przemysław FrankowskiM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
Form: L-W-W-W-L
Rennes
Rennes
Form: W-W-W-W-D
Record
6 W
2 D
2 L
4 W
5 D
1 L
Goals Per Game
2.7
Scored
vs
1.9
Scored
1.4
Conceded
vs
1.2
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
30%
Clean Sheets
30%
BTTS
60%
BTTS
70%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:2.6
Away:2.8
Conceded
Home:1.6
Away:1.2
Scored
Home:2.2
Away:1.6
Conceded
Home:1.2
Away:1.2

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1792
Good
1634
Good
Short Term Elo Rating
1845
↑ Momentum (+53)
1660
↑ Momentum (+26)
Expected Outcome
52%
Home Win
27%
Draw
21%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1712
Attack
1584
1644
Defence
1581
Recent Form
1726
Attack
1585
1666
Defence
1614
Post-Match Changes
+4
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

PSG vs Rennes: Goal Fest Expected at Home
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.70
Expected Value:+10.5%

Right then, let's get down to business! PSG are sitting pretty in 2nd spot with 30 points, while Rennes are hanging around in 5th with 24. Both teams know what they're doing, but the data tells us this could be a proper goal-fest! PSG have been scoring for fun lately - 2.7 goals per game over their last 10 matches. They've put 5 past Tottenham, smashed Leverkusen 7-2, and generally look dangerous every time they step on the pitch. But here's the thing - they're also letting goals in at the other end (1.4 per game), which keeps things interesting! Rennes might not be as flashy, but they're consistent as hell. Only 1 loss in their last 10 games, and they've been grinding out results everywhere. They're scoring 1.9 goals per game and have been solid on the road too - unbeaten in their last 5 away matches with 3 wins and 2 draws. Looking at the head-to-head, PSG usually have the edge at home (3-1-1 record), and they smashed Rennes 4-1 last time they met. But Rennes have been tough to break down recently. The stats that catch my eye: PSG are averaging 20.3 shots per game with 70% possession - they're dominating teams. Rennes are more modest but effective with 12.8 shots and 52% possession. Both teams have similar shot accuracy around 37-38%, so when they get chances, they're taking them. PSG have been playing more games recently (3 in 14 days vs Rennes' 1), which could play a factor. But with PSG's home attack firing and Rennes scoring consistently away, I'm expecting both teams to find the net here. Key Points: * PSG scoring 2.7 goals per game at home * Rennes unbeaten in last 5 away matches * Both teams scoring regularly: PSG 60% BTTS, Rennes 70% BTTS * PSG conceding 1.4 goals per game despite strong attack * Head-to-head shows PSG dominance but recent Rennes form is solid The home win at 1.30 is too short for my liking - not enough value for a braai and beer kind of bet! But both teams to score at 1.70? That's more like it. PSG's attack is lethal, but their defense isn't watertight, and Rennes have been scoring consistently. This looks like the smart play for value hunters who love winning as much as I do!

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📝 Match Preview

PSG vs Rennes: High-Scoring Encounter Expected
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.75
Expected Value:+24.3%

Paris Saint Germain hosts Rennes in what promises to be an entertaining Ligue 1 clash between two of the league's most potent attacking sides. PSG sits second in the table with 30 points, while Rennes occupies fifth place with 24 points, both teams demonstrating strong offensive capabilities throughout the season. PSG's recent form has been explosive, averaging 2.70 goals per game over their last 10 matches. Their recent results include a spectacular 7-2 victory over Bayer Leverkusen and a 5-3 win against Tottenham, though they did suffer a surprising 1-0 loss to Monaco in their last league outing. At home, PSG has been particularly dangerous, scoring 2.60 goals per game while maintaining a solid 60% win rate. Rennes arrives in Paris unbeaten in their last five away matches, showing remarkable resilience on the road with two wins and three draws. Their attack has been consistent, averaging 1.90 goals per game, highlighted by impressive 4-1 victories over both Monaco and Strasbourg. However, their defensive record shows room for improvement, conceding 1.20 goals per game away from home. The head-to-head record slightly favors PSG with five wins from nine meetings, but recent encounters have been closely contested. Both teams have demonstrated a tendency to both score and concede regularly this season, with PSG recording BTTS in 60% of their recent games and Rennes in 70%. The statistical patterns strongly suggest both teams will find the net in this encounter. PSG's defensive vulnerabilities (conceding in 7 of 10 games) combined with Rennes' consistent away scoring record (1.60 goals per game) create a compelling case for both teams to score. The goal expectancy of 3.50 total goals further supports this scenario. Key Points: - PSG averages 2.70 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game - Rennes averages 1.90 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game - Both teams have BTTS in 60-70% of recent matches - Rennes unbeaten in last 5 away games (2W-3D) - Combined goal expectancy stands at 3.50 goals - PSG has scored in 9 of 10 recent games - Rennes has scored in 9 of 10 recent games Summary: This match presents a clear betting opportunity based on both teams' attacking prowess and defensive vulnerabilities. The statistical evidence strongly supports both teams finding the net, making BTTS Yes the most confident recommendation with probability exceeding 70%.

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📝 Match Preview

Rennes Ready to Bark at PSG's Door
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.75
Expected Value:+5.0%

Oh, what a delightful matchup we have here! While everyone's eyes will be on the big favorites from Paris, I'm here to shine a light on our plucky underdogs from Rennes. Let me tell you why these puppies shouldn't be underestimated! First, let's talk about form. PSG might be sitting pretty in 2nd place, but they've shown some cracks lately. They've lost 2 of their last 5 games, including a surprising 1-0 defeat to Monaco and that 3-3 thriller with Strasbourg where they couldn't hold a lead. Yes, they score goals (27 in their last 10), but they also concede plenty (14 in the same period). At home, they've been leaky too - letting in 1.6 goals per game. Now, for our heroes in red and black! Rennes have been absolutely resilient lately. Would you believe they've only lost ONCE in their last 10 games? That's right - 4 wins, 5 draws, and just 1 defeat. They're unbeaten in their last 5 away matches (2 wins, 3 draws), showing they don't fear anyone's home ground. They've kept things tight at the back too, conceding just 1.2 goals per game away from home. The head-to-head history gives us hope too! While PSG leads overall, Rennes have won 3 of the 9 meetings between these sides. They even put four past PSG back in March, showing they can hurt the big guns when they want to. What really catches my eye is the both teams to score market. PSG have seen both teams score in 60% of their recent games, while Rennes have hit that mark in 70% of theirs. With PSG's attack firing (2.7 goals per game) and Rennes finding the net consistently (1.9 per game), we could be in for a real treat! The odds suggest this is a straightforward PSG win, but I see a match where our underdogs can make their mark. Rennes have shown they can compete with anyone, and their defensive solidity combined with PSG's occasional lapses makes for an intriguing contest.

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📝 Match Preview

Wisdom of the Force: PSG vs Rennes Battle
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.75
Expected Value:+13.8%

In the grand theater of Ligue 1, two forces converge on December 6th. Paris Saint Germain, second in the standings with 30 points, welcomes Rennes, who sit fifth with 24 points. The Force flows strongly through both sides, yet in different ways. PSG's recent journey reveals the duality of power. In their last ten encounters, they have scored 27 goals while conceding 14 - a testament to their attacking prowess but also their defensive vulnerability. Their home form shows 60% victory rate, with 2.6 goals scored per game but 1.6 conceded. The recent 5-3 triumph over Tottenham and the spectacular 7-2 victory against Bayer Leverkusen demonstrate their offensive might, yet the 1-0 defeat to Monaco reminds us that even the strongest can fall. Rennes, the patient warriors, have shown remarkable consistency. Their last ten games brought four wins, five draws, and only one loss. Away from home, they remain undefeated in their last five matches with a 40% win rate and 60% draw rate. Their defensive solidity shines through, conceding only 1.2 goals per game while scoring 1.6. The 4-1 victory over Monaco and the 1-0 win against Paris FC reveal their growing strength. The historical balance favors PSG, who have won five of nine meetings against Rennes. At home, PSG holds a 3-1-1 record against these visitors. Their last encounter ended 4-1 in PSG's favor, but as the wise know, past victories do not guarantee future triumphs. The statistical landscape reveals interesting patterns. PSG dominates possession with 70.4% compared to Rennes' 52.4%, and attempts 20.3 shots per game versus Rennes' 12.8. Yet Rennes' defensive organization cannot be underestimated, as they concede fewer goals per game than their hosts. In football, as in the Force, balance is essential. PSG's great attacking strength comes with defensive vulnerability, while Rennes demonstrates the power of consistency and resilience. The path to victory often lies not in overwhelming force, but in understanding one's own limitations and exploiting the opponent's weaknesses. Key Points: - PSG averages 2.7 goals scored per game but concedes 1.4 - Rennes remains unbeaten in last 5 away matches (2W-3D) - Both teams score in 60% of PSG's home games and 70% of Rennes' away games - Historical H2H favors PSG 5-3-1 overall, 3-1-1 at home - PSG has 70.4% possession vs Rennes' 52.4% The betting odds favor PSG at 1.28, but wisdom suggests looking deeper. Both teams to score offers value at 1.75, given the attacking capabilities of PSG and Rennes' consistent away scoring record. The expected goals (1.90 for PSG, 1.60 for Rennes) suggest an open game where both sides may find the net. Remember, young padawan: in the dance of football, as in life, the most beautiful patterns emerge when opposing forces find their balance. This match may well showcase that harmony.

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📝 Match Preview

PSG vs Rennes: Value Found in Both Teams To Score Market
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.75
Expected Value:+5.0%

Let's cut through the noise and look at the mathematical reality here. PSG sits second in Ligue 1 with 30 points, but their recent form tells a story of inconsistency - 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last 10. They've been explosive offensively (2.70 goals per game) but defensively vulnerable (1.40 conceded per game), keeping just 3 clean sheets in that span. Rennes, meanwhile, has been the model of consistency. Only 1 loss in 10 games, with 5 draws showing their resilience. They've scored in 9 of their last 10 matches while averaging 1.90 goals per game. Crucially, they're unbeaten in their last 5 away matches (2W-3D-0L), demonstrating they can travel. The head-to-head favors PSG historically (5 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses), but recent meetings have been goal-heavy affairs. The last encounter ended 4-1 to PSG, but that doesn't tell the whole story. Looking at the underlying stats, PSG dominates possession (70.4% vs 52.4%) and shots (20.3 vs 12.8 per game), but both teams convert at similar rates (37-38% accuracy). The goal expectancy model suggests around 3.5 goals in this match. Here's where the value lies: Both Teams To Score Yes is priced at 1.75 (57.1% implied probability). Given that PSG has seen BTTS in 60% of recent games and Rennes in 70%, combined with both sides' defensive records showing only 30% clean sheets each, this looks mispriced. PSG's home form shows they concede regularly (1.60 goals per game at home), while Rennes has scored in 90% of their recent matches. The market appears to be overvaluing PSG's defensive capabilities and undervaluing Rennes' attacking threat. With both teams averaging over 1.2 goals conceded per game and both scoring frequently, the mathematics point toward value in the BTTS market.

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📝 Match Preview

PSG vs Rennes: Goals Galore on the Cards?
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.75
Expected Value:+13.8%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one. PSG are sitting second in the table with 30 points, while Rennes are fifth with 24, so there's a bit of a gap between these two sides. But as we all know, league positions don't always tell the full story, do they? PSG have been a bit of a mixed bag lately, haven't they? They've had some absolute belters - that 7-2 hammering of Bayer Leverkusen was proper stuff - but they've also had some shockers. That 1-0 loss to Monaco will still be stinging, I reckon. They're scoring for fun at home (2.6 per game) but they're also letting goals in at the other end (1.6 per game). Only 30% clean sheets tells you their defence isn't exactly watertight. Rennes, on the other hand, are the draw kings - five draws in their last ten matches! But here's the thing that catches my eye: they're unbeaten in their last five away games. That's proper grit on the road, that is. They're scoring 1.6 per game away from home and only conceding 1.2, which is decent going. The head-to-head record favors PSG, especially at home where they've won three out of five against Rennes. That 4-1 last meeting will still be fresh in the memory, but Rennes have improved since then. Looking at the stats, both teams have been scoring regularly. PSG have seen both teams score in 60% of their recent games, while for Rennes it's 70%. PSG's defense is leaky enough to concede, and Rennes have been finding the net consistently even on their travels. The goal expectancies suggest we're looking at about 3.5 goals in this one, which points towards a proper entertaining match. PSG will likely score at home, but their defensive record suggests Rennes can get one too. Key Points: - PSG scoring 2.6 goals per game at home - Rennes unbeaten in last 5 away matches (2W-3D) - Both teams scoring in 60-70% of recent matches - PSG's defensive record: only 30% clean sheets - Head-to-head favors PSG but Rennes are tough on the road Given both teams' attacking prowess and defensive vulnerabilities, I'm fancying both teams to get on the scoresheet here. PSG should have too much quality overall, but Rennes have shown they can trouble anyone on their day.

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