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Match analysis

FranceLigue 1

Lens vs Nice

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Ligue 1 fixture.

Full time2:0HT 1–0

Match Timeline

10'
Charles Vanhoutte🟨
Yellow Card
15'
O. Edouard⚽
Normal Goal → M. Udol
46'
C. Vanhoutte🔄
Substitution 1 → Kevin
57'
O. Edouard⚽
Normal Goal → M. Udol
70'
K. Peprah🔄
Substitution 2 → A. Abdi
70'
H. Boudaoui🔄
Substitution 3 → S. Abdul Samed
70'
M. Sanson🔄
Substitution 4 → T. Ndombele
70'
I. Jansson🔄
Substitution 5 → T. Gouveia
78'
W. Said🔄
Substitution 1 → F. Sotoca
78'
F. Thauvin🔄
Substitution 2 → M. Guilavogui
83'
Salis Abdul Samed🟨
Yellow Card
86'
O. Edouard🔄
Substitution 3 → R. Fofana
90+3'
A. Thomasson🔄
Substitution 4 → A. Bulatovic

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal4
5Shots off Goal2
15Total Shots8
5Blocked Shots2
8Shots insidebox4
7Shots outsidebox4
17Fouls13
2Corner Kicks5
0Offsides2
46Ball Possession54
0Yellow Cards2
4Goalkeeper Saves4
416Total passes493
345Passes accurate422
83Passes %86
1.11expected_goals0.8
-1goals_prevented-1

Tipster previews (6)

PajimonWon

Lens to Continue Title Charge Against Struggling Nice

The pickLens win

Chance
75%
Odds
1.48
Model EV
+11.0%

Listen up, braai masters and football fanatics! We've got a proper top-of-the-table clash here... well, sort of. Lens are sitting pretty at the summit of Ligue 1, while Nice are languishing down in 12th. This isn't just a game – it's a form guide on steroids. Lens are absolutely…

Mr SimpleWon

Top of the Table Lens to School Struggling Nice

The pickLens win

Chance
72%
Odds
1.48
Model EV
+6.6%

Right then, let's talk about the big one at the top of Ligue 1. Lens are sitting pretty in first place, and they welcome a Nice side who look like they've forgotten how to win. On paper, this should be a walk in the park for the hosts, but let's have a proper look. Lens are…

Mr CertaintyWon

Lens to Extend Lead Against Struggling Nice

The pickLens win

Chance
70%
Odds
1.48
Model EV
+3.6%

The Ligue 1 summit meets the mid-table slump as league leaders Lens host a Nice side in freefall. The data paints a stark picture of two teams moving in opposite directions, and for a tipster who values certainty above all else, this fixture presents a rare opportunity where the…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Lens

8W 1D 1L2.50 pts/game

Nice

2W 0D 8L0.60 pts/game

Per game

Lens at home vs Nice away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Ligue 1

Overall edge
+124Lens
Venue edge
+102Lens
Rating period
Match snapshot
Lens versus Nice: long term Elo, before the match
LensHomeRatingNiceAway
Strength
1,694Overall1,570
1,644Match venue1,542
1,644At home1,635
1,631Away1,542
Attack & defence
1,549Attack1,535
1,652Defence1,563
1,551Home attack1,539
1,518Away attack1,518
1,628Home defence1,631
1,624Away defence1,542
Match profile
1,565Goal environment1,417
1,528Home goals1,470
1,537Away goals1,447
1,497Possession1,492
Specialist ratings
1,524Set-piece attack1,501
1,523Set-piece defence1,502
1,639Close games1,533
1,722Winning margin1,572

Match venue compares Lens at home with Nice away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

LensLens1:1

Starting XI

40R. RisserG
20M. SarrD
14M. UdolM
22W. SaidF
11O. EdouardF
6S. BaidooD
28A. ThomassonM
10F. ThauvinF
25I. GaniouD
8M. SangareM
2R. AguilarM

NiceNice1:1

Starting XI

80Y. DioufG
26M. BardD
8M. SansonM
21I. JanssonF
37K. PeprahD
24C. VanhoutteM
10S. DiopF
33A. MendyD
6H. BoudaouiM
25M. ChoF
92J. ClaussD