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Match analysis

FranceLigue 1

Rennes vs Stade Brestois 29

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Ligue 1 fixture.

Match Timeline

13'
M. Balde⚽
Normal Goal → K. Doumbia
24'
E. Lepaul⚽
Normal Goal → M. Tamari
25'
M. Tamari⚽
Normal Goal
29'
Mousa Tamari🟨
Yellow Card
51'
P. Frankowski🔄
Substitution 1 → Q. Merlin
58'
D. Cisse🔄
Substitution 2 → L. Blas
64'
Kamory Doumbia🟨
Yellow Card
70'
M. Balde🔄
Substitution 1 → R. Labeau Lascary
78'
E. Lepaul🔄
Substitution 3 → M. Meite
79'
M. Tamari🔄
Substitution 4 → A. Seidu
79'
B. Embolo🔄
Substitution 5 → S. Fofana
81'
H. Magnetti🔄
Substitution 2 → L. Tousart
81'
K. Doumbia🔄
Substitution 3 → J. Dina Ebimbe
86'
Soumaila Coulibaly🟨
Yellow Card
87'
M. Meite⚽
Normal Goal → Q. Merlin
88'
D. Guindo🔄
Substitution 4 → B. Locko
88'
R. Del Castillo🔄
Substitution 5 → H. Makalou
90'
Brice Samba🟨
Yellow Card
90+1'
Junior Dina Ebimbe🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal7
1Shots off Goal5
9Total Shots14
3Blocked Shots2
6Shots insidebox9
3Shots outsidebox5
16Fouls22
5Corner Kicks7
2Offsides4
61Ball Possession39
2Yellow Cards3
6Goalkeeper Saves2
484Total passes302
402Passes accurate221
83Passes %73
2.13expected_goals0.77
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (6)

The Big "O"Won

Rennes vs Brest: Expect Fireworks at Roazhon Park

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
62%
Odds
1.73
Model EV
+7.3%

Alright, let's talk about the only thing that matters in football: goals. And when Rennes hosts Stade Brestois this weekend, the data screams that we're in for a proper show. Forget parking the bus; these two have a history of leaving the back door wide open, and I'm here for…

Mr CertaintyWon

Rennes and Brest Set for Goal-Fueled Clash

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
70%
Odds
1.67
Model EV
+16.9%

Two sides with contrasting recent fortunes meet at Roazhon Park this weekend, with Rennes looking to bounce back from a heavy defeat and Stade Brestois 29 aiming to extend a positive run. The hosts sit sixth with 24 points, five points and five places above their visitors, but…

Mr SimpleWon

Rennes vs Brest: Goals on the Menu in Brittany Derby

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
65%
Odds
1.73
Model EV
+12.4%

Alright, gather 'round. We've got a proper Brittany derby on our hands this weekend, and if the history books are anything to go by, we could be in for a treat. Rennes, sitting pretty in 6th, welcome neighbours Brest, who are down in 10th but riding a nice little wave of form…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Rennes

4W 4D 2L1.60 pts/game

Stade Brestois 29

4W 3D 3L1.50 pts/game

Per game

Rennes at home vs Stade Brestois 29 away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Ligue 1

Overall edge
+1Rennes
Venue edge
+135Rennes
Rating period
Match snapshot
Rennes versus Stade Brestois 29: long term Elo, before the match
RennesHomeRatingStade Brestois 29Away
Strength
1,591Overall1,590
1,634Match venue1,500
1,634At home1,621
1,484Away1,500
Attack & defence
1,548Attack1,520
1,571Defence1,540
1,584Home attack1,536
1,493Away attack1,489
1,623Home defence1,602
1,509Away defence1,483
Match profile
1,683Goal environment1,650
1,608Home goals1,557
1,575Away goals1,593
1,499Possession1,486
Specialist ratings
1,508Set-piece attack1,471
1,508Set-piece defence1,472
1,487Close games1,590
1,624Winning margin1,591

Match venue compares Rennes at home with Stade Brestois 29 away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

RennesRennes1:1

Starting XI

30Brice SambaG
3Lilian BrassierD
11Mousa TamariM
7Breel EmboloF
24Anthony RouaultD
6Djaoui CisséM
9Esteban LepaulF
48Abdelhamid Ait BoudlalD
21Valentin RongierM
45Mahdi CamaraM
95Przemysław FrankowskiM

Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 291:1

Starting XI

30Grégoire CoudertG
27Daouda GuindoD
8Hugo MagnettiM
99Pathé MboupM
17Mama BaldéF
44Soumaila CoulibalyD
13Joris ChotardM
23Kamory DoumbiaM
5Brendan ChardonnetD
10Romain Del CastilloM
77Kenny LalaD