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Match analysis

FranceLigue 1

Toulouse vs Lens

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Ligue 1 fixture.

Full time0:3HT 0–0

Match Timeline

23'
Emersonn🟥
Red Card
30'
R. Nicolaisen🔄
Substitution 1 → S. Koumbassa
38'
O. Edouard🔄
Substitution 1 → R. Fofana
50'
Florian Thauvin🟨
Yellow Card
57'
Charlie Cresswell🟨
Yellow Card
57'
W. Said⚽
Normal Goal
63'
A. Vossah🔄
Substitution 2 → M. Sauer
63'
R. Messali🔄
Substitution 3 → S. Hidalgo
74'
F. Thauvin🔄
Substitution 2 → M. Guilavogui
77'
Unknown Player🔄
Substitution 4 → W. Kamanzi
77'
A. Donnum🔄
Substitution 5 → J. Vignolo
85'
A. Thomasson⚽
Normal Goal
87'
Mario Sauer🟨
Yellow Card
88'
Andrija Bulatovic🟨
Yellow Card
90'
S. Abdulhamid🔄
Substitution 3 → A. Bermont
90'
A. Bulatovic🔄
Substitution 4 → F. Sotoca
90'
I. Ganiou⚽
Normal Goal → A. Thomasson
90+2'
Robin Risser🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal7
3Shots off Goal8
8Total Shots16
3Blocked Shots1
6Shots insidebox11
2Shots outsidebox5
16Fouls16
2Corner Kicks8
32Ball Possession68
2Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards0
4Goalkeeper Saves2
269Total passes573
199Passes accurate509
74Passes %89
0.66expected_goals1.53
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (6)

PajimonWon

Lens Look to Extend Lead Against Stubborn Toulouse

The pickLens win

Chance
48%
Odds
2.55
Model EV
+22.4%

Alright, braai masters and beer lovers, let's talk some proper football! We've got a cracking Ligue 1 clash coming up as league leaders Lens travel to face a solid Toulouse side. On paper, this looks like a classic top vs mid-table battle, but the stats tell a deeper story. Lens…

Umery UnderdogLost

Can Toulouse Derail Lens's Title Charge?

The pickDraw

Chance
35%
Odds
3.30
Model EV
+15.5%

The league leaders come to town, and all eyes will be on whether the high-flying Lens can continue their remarkable run or if a resilient Toulouse can spring a surprise. As someone who always roots for the little puppy, I'm looking closely at the value in backing the underdog…

Mr SimpleWon

Top Dogs Lens Look to Extend Lead in Toulouse Tussle

The pickLens win

Chance
45%
Odds
2.55
Model EV
+14.8%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one. Toulouse welcome the league leaders, Lens, and on paper, it's a proper test for the home side. Lens are sitting pretty at the top of Ligue 1, a point ahead of PSG, and they've been absolutely flying. Nine wins in their last ten…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Toulouse

4W 4D 2L1.60 pts/game

Lens

9W 0D 1L2.70 pts/game

Per game

Toulouse at home vs Lens away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Ligue 1

Overall edge
+134Lens
Venue edge
+147Lens
Rating period
Match snapshot
Toulouse versus Lens: long term Elo, before the match
ToulouseHomeRatingLensAway
Strength
1,571Overall1,705
1,484Match venue1,631
1,484At home1,653
1,565Away1,631
Attack & defence
1,525Attack1,555
1,615Defence1,662
1,494Home attack1,555
1,505Away attack1,518
1,553Home defence1,638
1,609Away defence1,624
Match profile
1,518Goal environment1,563
1,555Home goals1,527
1,463Away goals1,537
1,474Possession1,496
Specialist ratings
1,489Set-piece attack1,517
1,490Set-piece defence1,516
1,497Close games1,639
1,598Winning margin1,734

Match venue compares Toulouse at home with Lens away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

ToulouseToulouse1:1

Starting XI

1Guillaume RestesG
2Rasmus NicolaisenD
19Djibril SidibéM
10Yann GbohoF
20EmersonnF
4Charlie CresswellD
45Alexis VossahM
22Rafik MessaliF
3Mark McKenzieD
23Cristian Cásseres Jr.M
15Aron DønnumM

LensLens1:1

Starting XI

40Robin RisserG
20Malang SarrD
14Matthieu UdolM
22Wesley SaïdF
11Odsonne ÉdouardF
6Samson BaidooD
5Andrija BulatovicM
10Florian ThauvinF
25Ismaelo GaniouD
28Adrien ThomassonM
23Saud AbdulhamidM