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Match analysis

FranceLigue 1

Nice vs Stade Brestois 29

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Ligue 1 fixture.

Full time2:2HT 0–2

Match Timeline

13'
S. Abdul Samed🟨
Yellow Card
15'
R. Del Castillo
Penalty
23'
K. Doumbia⚽
Normal Goal → L. Ajorque
33'
E. Wahi🟨
Yellow Card
42'
K. Doumbia🟨
Yellow Card
44'
R. Labeau Lascary🟨
Yellow Card
46'
S. Abdul Samed🔄
Substitution 1 → K. Boudache
58'
K. Peprah🟨
Yellow Card
63'
A. Abdi⚽
Normal Goal → J. Clauss
66'
S. Coulibaly🟨
Yellow Card
67'
M. Cho🔄
Substitution 2 → Kevin
68'
C. Vanhoutte🟨
Yellow Card
70'
R. Labeau Lascary🔄
Substitution 1 → P. Mboup
71'
E. Wahi⚽
Normal Goal → S. Diop
73'
C. Vanhoutte🔄
Substitution 3 → H. Boudaoui
74'
S. Coulibaly🔄
Substitution 2 → J. M. Diaz
82'
E. Wahi🔄
Substitution 4 → T. Louchet
83'
S. Diop🔄
Substitution 5 → I. Jansson
85'
R. Del Castillo🔄
Substitution 3 → J. Dina Ebimbe
87'
H. Boudaoui🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

7Shots on Goal2
2Shots off Goal6
15Total Shots12
6Blocked Shots4
10Shots insidebox6
5Shots outsidebox6
14Fouls20
6Corner Kicks5
1Offsides0
60Ball Possession40
5Yellow Cards3
1Goalkeeper Saves5
492Total passes331
420Passes accurate258
85Passes %78
1.35expected_goals1.69
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (5)

The Big "O"Won

Nice vs Brest: Goals Galore on the French Riviera?

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
62%
Odds
1.73
Model EV
+7.3%

Get ready for some fireworks on the Côte d'Azur! This mid-table Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Stade Brestois 29 might not decide the title, but it has all the ingredients for a thrilling, goal-filled spectacle. And you know what that means – it's time for The Big O to get…

Value VinnyWon

Nice vs Brest: Value Lies in Goals Galore

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
65%
Odds
1.73
Model EV
+12.4%

The Ligue 1 table tells us this is a mid-table scrap, with 13th-placed Nice hosting 12th-placed Brest. But the numbers beneath the surface scream one thing: goals. And where there's a screaming market inefficiency, Value Vinnie comes knocking. Let's cut through the noise. Nice's…

Mr SimpleLost

Nice to Continue Revival Against Leaky Brest?

The pickNice win

Chance
60%
Odds
2.15
Model EV
+29.0%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Ligue 1 clash. Nice at home to Brest. It's a proper mid-table scrap, with just one point separating them in the standings. But the form book, and more importantly the recent results, are telling two very different stories. Nice have…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Nice

3W 2D 5L1.10 pts/game

Stade Brestois 29

4W 2D 4L1.40 pts/game

Per game

Nice at home vs Stade Brestois 29 away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Ligue 1

Overall edge
+1Nice
Venue edge
+145Nice
Rating period
Match snapshot
Nice versus Stade Brestois 29: long term Elo, before the match
NiceHomeRatingStade Brestois 29Away
Strength
1,557Overall1,556
1,630Match venue1,485
1,630At home1,612
1,528Away1,485
Attack & defence
1,537Attack1,510
1,547Defence1,530
1,534Home attack1,526
1,520Away attack1,489
1,630Home defence1,601
1,522Away defence1,474
Match profile
1,433Goal environment1,653
1,468Home goals1,553
1,465Away goals1,600
1,492Possession1,481
Specialist ratings
1,498Set-piece attack1,469
1,498Set-piece defence1,470
1,532Close games1,575
1,557Winning margin1,556

Match venue compares Nice at home with Stade Brestois 29 away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

NiceNice1:1

Starting XI

31Maxime DupéG
2Ali AbdiD
99Salis Abdul SamedM
10Sofiane DiopM
11Elye WahiF
4DanteD
24Charles VanhoutteM
8Morgan SansonM
37Kojo Peprah OppongD
25Mohamed-Ali ChoM
92Jonathan ClaussD

Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 291:1

Starting XI

30Grégoire CoudertG
27Daouda GuindoD
8Hugo MagnettiM
14Remy Labeau LascaryM
19Ludovic AjorqueF
44Soumaila CoulibalyD
13Joris ChotardM
23Kamory DoumbiaM
5Brendan ChardonnetD
10Romain Del CastilloM
77Kenny LalaD